Sample size under inverse negative binomial group testing for accuracy in parameter estimation.

BACKGROUND: The group testing method has been proposed for the detection and estimation of genetically modified plants (adventitious presence of unwanted transgenic plants, AP). For binary response variables (presence or absence), group testing is efficient when the prevalence is low, so that estima...

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Main Authors: Osval Antonio Montesinos-López, Abelardo Montesinos-López, José Crossa, Kent Eskridge
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2012-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3310835?pdf=render
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author Osval Antonio Montesinos-López
Abelardo Montesinos-López
José Crossa
Kent Eskridge
author_facet Osval Antonio Montesinos-López
Abelardo Montesinos-López
José Crossa
Kent Eskridge
author_sort Osval Antonio Montesinos-López
collection DOAJ
description BACKGROUND: The group testing method has been proposed for the detection and estimation of genetically modified plants (adventitious presence of unwanted transgenic plants, AP). For binary response variables (presence or absence), group testing is efficient when the prevalence is low, so that estimation, detection, and sample size methods have been developed under the binomial model. However, when the event is rare (low prevalence <0.1), and testing occurs sequentially, inverse (negative) binomial pooled sampling may be preferred. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: This research proposes three sample size procedures (two computational and one analytic) for estimating prevalence using group testing under inverse (negative) binomial sampling. These methods provide the required number of positive pools ([Formula: see text]), given a pool size (k), for estimating the proportion of AP plants using the Dorfman model and inverse (negative) binomial sampling. We give real and simulated examples to show how to apply these methods and the proposed sample-size formula. The Monte Carlo method was used to study the coverage and level of assurance achieved by the proposed sample sizes. An R program to create other scenarios is given in Appendix S2. CONCLUSIONS: The three methods ensure precision in the estimated proportion of AP because they guarantee that the width (W) of the confidence interval (CI) will be equal to, or narrower than, the desired width ([Formula: see text]), with a probability of [Formula: see text]. With the Monte Carlo study we found that the computational Wald procedure (method 2) produces the more precise sample size (with coverage and assurance levels very close to nominal values) and that the samples size based on the Clopper-Pearson CI (method 1) is conservative (overestimates the sample size); the analytic Wald sample size method we developed (method 3) sometimes underestimated the optimum number of pools.
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spelling doaj.art-fb618451581c4d8c9970941ad1c3fcf02022-12-22T00:52:18ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032012-01-0173e3225010.1371/journal.pone.0032250Sample size under inverse negative binomial group testing for accuracy in parameter estimation.Osval Antonio Montesinos-LópezAbelardo Montesinos-LópezJosé CrossaKent EskridgeBACKGROUND: The group testing method has been proposed for the detection and estimation of genetically modified plants (adventitious presence of unwanted transgenic plants, AP). For binary response variables (presence or absence), group testing is efficient when the prevalence is low, so that estimation, detection, and sample size methods have been developed under the binomial model. However, when the event is rare (low prevalence <0.1), and testing occurs sequentially, inverse (negative) binomial pooled sampling may be preferred. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: This research proposes three sample size procedures (two computational and one analytic) for estimating prevalence using group testing under inverse (negative) binomial sampling. These methods provide the required number of positive pools ([Formula: see text]), given a pool size (k), for estimating the proportion of AP plants using the Dorfman model and inverse (negative) binomial sampling. We give real and simulated examples to show how to apply these methods and the proposed sample-size formula. The Monte Carlo method was used to study the coverage and level of assurance achieved by the proposed sample sizes. An R program to create other scenarios is given in Appendix S2. CONCLUSIONS: The three methods ensure precision in the estimated proportion of AP because they guarantee that the width (W) of the confidence interval (CI) will be equal to, or narrower than, the desired width ([Formula: see text]), with a probability of [Formula: see text]. With the Monte Carlo study we found that the computational Wald procedure (method 2) produces the more precise sample size (with coverage and assurance levels very close to nominal values) and that the samples size based on the Clopper-Pearson CI (method 1) is conservative (overestimates the sample size); the analytic Wald sample size method we developed (method 3) sometimes underestimated the optimum number of pools.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3310835?pdf=render
spellingShingle Osval Antonio Montesinos-López
Abelardo Montesinos-López
José Crossa
Kent Eskridge
Sample size under inverse negative binomial group testing for accuracy in parameter estimation.
PLoS ONE
title Sample size under inverse negative binomial group testing for accuracy in parameter estimation.
title_full Sample size under inverse negative binomial group testing for accuracy in parameter estimation.
title_fullStr Sample size under inverse negative binomial group testing for accuracy in parameter estimation.
title_full_unstemmed Sample size under inverse negative binomial group testing for accuracy in parameter estimation.
title_short Sample size under inverse negative binomial group testing for accuracy in parameter estimation.
title_sort sample size under inverse negative binomial group testing for accuracy in parameter estimation
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3310835?pdf=render
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AT josecrossa samplesizeunderinversenegativebinomialgrouptestingforaccuracyinparameterestimation
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