Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey study

Background: Strong primary health care (PHC) is the cornerstone for universal health coverage and a country’s health emergency response. PHC includes public health and first-contact primary care (PC). Internationally, the spread of COVID-19 and mortality rates vary widely. The authors hypothesised t...

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Main Authors: Felicity Goodyear-Smith, Karen Kinder, Cristina Mannie, Stefan Strydom, Andrew Bazemore, Robert L Phillips
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Royal College of General Practitioners 2020-09-01
Series:BJGP Open
Subjects:
Online Access:https://bjgpopen.org/content/4/4/bjgpopen20X101129
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author Felicity Goodyear-Smith
Karen Kinder
Cristina Mannie
Stefan Strydom
Andrew Bazemore
Robert L Phillips
author_facet Felicity Goodyear-Smith
Karen Kinder
Cristina Mannie
Stefan Strydom
Andrew Bazemore
Robert L Phillips
author_sort Felicity Goodyear-Smith
collection DOAJ
description Background: Strong primary health care (PHC) is the cornerstone for universal health coverage and a country’s health emergency response. PHC includes public health and first-contact primary care (PC). Internationally, the spread of COVID-19 and mortality rates vary widely. The authors hypothesised that countries perceived to have strong PHC have lower COVID-19 mortality rates. Aim: To compare perceptions of PC experts on PC system strength, pandemic preparedness, and response with COVID-19 mortality rates in countries globally. Design & setting: A convenience sample of international PHC experts (clinicians, researchers, and policymakers) completed an online survey (in English or Spanish) on country-level PC attributes and pandemic responses. Method: Analyses of perceived PC strength, pandemic plan use, border controls, movement restriction, and testing against COVID-19 mortality were undertaken for 38 countries with ≥5 responses. Results: In total, 1035 responses were received from 111 countries, with 1 to 163 responders per country. The 38 countries with ≥5 responses were included in the analyses. All world regions and economic tiers were represented. No correlation was found between PC strength and mortality. Country-level mortality negatively correlated with perceived stringent border control, movement restriction, and testing regimes. Conclusion: Countries perceived by expert participants as having a prepared pandemic plan and a strong PC system did not necessarily experience lower COVID-19 mortality rates. What appears to make a difference to containment is if and when the plan is implemented, and how PHC is mobilised to respond. Many factors contribute to spread and outcomes. Important responses are first to limit COVID-19 entry across borders, then to mobilise PHC, integrating the public health and PC sectors to mitigate spread and reduce burden on hospitals through hygiene, physical distancing, testing, triaging, and contract-tracing measures.
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spelling doaj.art-fb6d871d75e4450e90139c71253678112022-12-22T00:33:36ZengRoyal College of General PractitionersBJGP Open2398-37952020-09-014410.3399/bjgpopen20X101129Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey studyFelicity Goodyear-Smith0Karen Kinder1Cristina Mannie2Stefan Strydom3Andrew Bazemore4Robert L Phillips5Department of General Practice & Primary Health Care, University of Auckland, Auckland, New ZealandFachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, GermanyDepartment of General Practice & Primary Health Care, University of Auckland, Auckland, New ZealandDepartment of General Practice & Primary Health Care, University of Auckland, Auckland, New ZealandAmerican Board of Family Medicine, Washington, DC, USAmerican Board of Family Medicine, Washington, DC, USBackground: Strong primary health care (PHC) is the cornerstone for universal health coverage and a country’s health emergency response. PHC includes public health and first-contact primary care (PC). Internationally, the spread of COVID-19 and mortality rates vary widely. The authors hypothesised that countries perceived to have strong PHC have lower COVID-19 mortality rates. Aim: To compare perceptions of PC experts on PC system strength, pandemic preparedness, and response with COVID-19 mortality rates in countries globally. Design & setting: A convenience sample of international PHC experts (clinicians, researchers, and policymakers) completed an online survey (in English or Spanish) on country-level PC attributes and pandemic responses. Method: Analyses of perceived PC strength, pandemic plan use, border controls, movement restriction, and testing against COVID-19 mortality were undertaken for 38 countries with ≥5 responses. Results: In total, 1035 responses were received from 111 countries, with 1 to 163 responders per country. The 38 countries with ≥5 responses were included in the analyses. All world regions and economic tiers were represented. No correlation was found between PC strength and mortality. Country-level mortality negatively correlated with perceived stringent border control, movement restriction, and testing regimes. Conclusion: Countries perceived by expert participants as having a prepared pandemic plan and a strong PC system did not necessarily experience lower COVID-19 mortality rates. What appears to make a difference to containment is if and when the plan is implemented, and how PHC is mobilised to respond. Many factors contribute to spread and outcomes. Important responses are first to limit COVID-19 entry across borders, then to mobilise PHC, integrating the public health and PC sectors to mitigate spread and reduce burden on hospitals through hygiene, physical distancing, testing, triaging, and contract-tracing measures.https://bjgpopen.org/content/4/4/bjgpopen20X101129primary health carecovid-19mortality rate
spellingShingle Felicity Goodyear-Smith
Karen Kinder
Cristina Mannie
Stefan Strydom
Andrew Bazemore
Robert L Phillips
Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey study
BJGP Open
primary health care
covid-19
mortality rate
title Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey study
title_full Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey study
title_fullStr Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey study
title_full_unstemmed Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey study
title_short Relationship between the perceived strength of countries’ primary care system and COVID-19 mortality: an international survey study
title_sort relationship between the perceived strength of countries primary care system and covid 19 mortality an international survey study
topic primary health care
covid-19
mortality rate
url https://bjgpopen.org/content/4/4/bjgpopen20X101129
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