Educational outcomes: Pathways and performance in South African high schools

We analysed the pathways and performances in mathematics of high (secondary) school students in South Africa using a panel-like data set of Grade 8 students who participated in the 2002 Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) and who were tracked to Grade 12 examination data se...

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Main Authors: Vijay Reddy, Servaas van der Berg, Dean Janse van Rensburg, Stephen Taylor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Academy of Science of South Africa 2012-03-01
Series:South African Journal of Science
Subjects:
Online Access:http://archive.sajs.co.za/index.php/SAJS/article/view/620
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author Vijay Reddy
Servaas van der Berg
Dean Janse van Rensburg
Stephen Taylor
author_facet Vijay Reddy
Servaas van der Berg
Dean Janse van Rensburg
Stephen Taylor
author_sort Vijay Reddy
collection DOAJ
description We analysed the pathways and performances in mathematics of high (secondary) school students in South Africa using a panel-like data set of Grade 8 students who participated in the 2002 Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) and who were tracked to Grade 12 examination data sets. We examined the relationship between TIMSS mathematics performance and reaching Grade 12, the selection of and performance in Grade 12 mathematics, and success rates in the matriculation examination. The progression of students from schools serving middle-class (Subsystem M) and poorer students (Subsystem P, the majority) was compared. Firstly, mathematics achievement scores in South Africa are low and different performance patterns were shown between the two subsystems. Secondly, students who started with similar Grade 8 mathematics scores had different educational outcomes 4 years later. In Subsystem M schools, Grade 8 mathematics scores were a good indicator of who would pass matric, whilst this relationship was not as strong in Subsystem P schools. Thirdly, there was a stronger association between TIMSS Grade 8 scores and subject choice of matric mathematics in Subsystem M schools than in Subsystem P schools. Fourthly, there was a strong correlation between Grade 8 mathematics performance and matric mathematics achievement. Mathematics performance in the earlier years predicted later mathematics performance. To raise exit level outcomes, mathematics scores need to be raised by Grade 8 or earlier. To improve educational and labour market outcomes, the policy priority should be to build foundational knowledge and skills in numeracy.
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spelling doaj.art-fb8fb3d593d347b88153c258f091f9392022-12-22T02:56:48ZengAcademy of Science of South AfricaSouth African Journal of Science0038-23531996-74892012-03-011083/410.4102/sajs.v108i3/4.620620Educational outcomes: Pathways and performance in South African high schoolsVijay Reddy0Servaas van der Berg1Dean Janse van Rensburg2Stephen Taylor3Human Sciences Research CouncilUniversity of StellenboschHuman Sciences Research CouncilUniversity of StellenboschWe analysed the pathways and performances in mathematics of high (secondary) school students in South Africa using a panel-like data set of Grade 8 students who participated in the 2002 Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) and who were tracked to Grade 12 examination data sets. We examined the relationship between TIMSS mathematics performance and reaching Grade 12, the selection of and performance in Grade 12 mathematics, and success rates in the matriculation examination. The progression of students from schools serving middle-class (Subsystem M) and poorer students (Subsystem P, the majority) was compared. Firstly, mathematics achievement scores in South Africa are low and different performance patterns were shown between the two subsystems. Secondly, students who started with similar Grade 8 mathematics scores had different educational outcomes 4 years later. In Subsystem M schools, Grade 8 mathematics scores were a good indicator of who would pass matric, whilst this relationship was not as strong in Subsystem P schools. Thirdly, there was a stronger association between TIMSS Grade 8 scores and subject choice of matric mathematics in Subsystem M schools than in Subsystem P schools. Fourthly, there was a strong correlation between Grade 8 mathematics performance and matric mathematics achievement. Mathematics performance in the earlier years predicted later mathematics performance. To raise exit level outcomes, mathematics scores need to be raised by Grade 8 or earlier. To improve educational and labour market outcomes, the policy priority should be to build foundational knowledge and skills in numeracy.http://archive.sajs.co.za/index.php/SAJS/article/view/620education pathwaysfoundation phaseearly developmentTIMSSsecondary educationmathematics
spellingShingle Vijay Reddy
Servaas van der Berg
Dean Janse van Rensburg
Stephen Taylor
Educational outcomes: Pathways and performance in South African high schools
South African Journal of Science
education pathways
foundation phase
early development
TIMSS
secondary education
mathematics
title Educational outcomes: Pathways and performance in South African high schools
title_full Educational outcomes: Pathways and performance in South African high schools
title_fullStr Educational outcomes: Pathways and performance in South African high schools
title_full_unstemmed Educational outcomes: Pathways and performance in South African high schools
title_short Educational outcomes: Pathways and performance in South African high schools
title_sort educational outcomes pathways and performance in south african high schools
topic education pathways
foundation phase
early development
TIMSS
secondary education
mathematics
url http://archive.sajs.co.za/index.php/SAJS/article/view/620
work_keys_str_mv AT vijayreddy educationaloutcomespathwaysandperformanceinsouthafricanhighschools
AT servaasvanderberg educationaloutcomespathwaysandperformanceinsouthafricanhighschools
AT deanjansevanrensburg educationaloutcomespathwaysandperformanceinsouthafricanhighschools
AT stephentaylor educationaloutcomespathwaysandperformanceinsouthafricanhighschools