Residential real estate analysis in Serbia

The analysis of Serbia's residential real estate market is the main goal of this paper. Price movements in that part of the market affect price and financial stability equally, which are thus the main goals of most central banks. Prior to the highly contagious COVID-19 pandemic, there was a gra...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Martin Vesna
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Novi Sad - Faculty of Economics, Subotica 2023-01-01
Series:Anali Ekonomskog fakulteta u Subotici
Subjects:
Online Access:https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0350-2120/2023/0350-21202350067M.pdf
_version_ 1797366987379179520
author Martin Vesna
author_facet Martin Vesna
author_sort Martin Vesna
collection DOAJ
description The analysis of Serbia's residential real estate market is the main goal of this paper. Price movements in that part of the market affect price and financial stability equally, which are thus the main goals of most central banks. Prior to the highly contagious COVID-19 pandemic, there was a gradual increase in the number of transactions involving real estate and prices, with oscillations observed throughout the second quarter of 2020. In this paper, we will present the available databases from the Serbian residential real estate market, as well as regulations that have been in place since the 2000s. By analyzing the trajectory in the long run of the housing credit share to GDP by using a Hodrick-Prescott one-sided filter with the parameter set to 400,000 and correlation and regression analysis, the paper's concluding part will determine whether there is a price bubble in this market segment. According to the analysis, there is currently no price bubble in Serbia's residential real estate market.
first_indexed 2024-03-08T17:12:27Z
format Article
id doaj.art-fbab486ed77646a59828850bd24ae0ff
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 0350-2120
2683-4162
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-08T17:12:27Z
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher University of Novi Sad - Faculty of Economics, Subotica
record_format Article
series Anali Ekonomskog fakulteta u Subotici
spelling doaj.art-fbab486ed77646a59828850bd24ae0ff2024-01-03T21:19:10ZengUniversity of Novi Sad - Faculty of Economics, SuboticaAnali Ekonomskog fakulteta u Subotici0350-21202683-41622023-01-01202350678110.5937/AnEkSub2300019M0350-21202350067MResidential real estate analysis in SerbiaMartin Vesna0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5612-7452Economists Association of Belgrade, Belgrade, SerbiaThe analysis of Serbia's residential real estate market is the main goal of this paper. Price movements in that part of the market affect price and financial stability equally, which are thus the main goals of most central banks. Prior to the highly contagious COVID-19 pandemic, there was a gradual increase in the number of transactions involving real estate and prices, with oscillations observed throughout the second quarter of 2020. In this paper, we will present the available databases from the Serbian residential real estate market, as well as regulations that have been in place since the 2000s. By analyzing the trajectory in the long run of the housing credit share to GDP by using a Hodrick-Prescott one-sided filter with the parameter set to 400,000 and correlation and regression analysis, the paper's concluding part will determine whether there is a price bubble in this market segment. According to the analysis, there is currently no price bubble in Serbia's residential real estate market.https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0350-2120/2023/0350-21202350067M.pdfresidential real estatehousing loanfinancial stabilitylegal frameworkprice bubble
spellingShingle Martin Vesna
Residential real estate analysis in Serbia
Anali Ekonomskog fakulteta u Subotici
residential real estate
housing loan
financial stability
legal framework
price bubble
title Residential real estate analysis in Serbia
title_full Residential real estate analysis in Serbia
title_fullStr Residential real estate analysis in Serbia
title_full_unstemmed Residential real estate analysis in Serbia
title_short Residential real estate analysis in Serbia
title_sort residential real estate analysis in serbia
topic residential real estate
housing loan
financial stability
legal framework
price bubble
url https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0350-2120/2023/0350-21202350067M.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT martinvesna residentialrealestateanalysisinserbia