Universal Local Epidemic Model and Its Usage in the Assessment of Novosibirsk Region Resource Preparedness to a Bioterrorist Attack
Objective of the study is to substantiate the possibility to assess local/regional resource capacity needed for a large-scale epidemic response as concerns emerging infectious diseases caused by pathogenic agents of particularly dangerous infections, such as smallpox, anthrax, plague, and Ebola, Mar...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
| Published: |
Federal Government Health Institution, Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”
2014-12-01
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| Series: | Проблемы особо опасных инфекций |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/179 |
| _version_ | 1797220913797660672 |
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| author | L. F. Nizolenko A. G. Bachinsky |
| author_facet | L. F. Nizolenko A. G. Bachinsky |
| author_sort | L. F. Nizolenko |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Objective of the study is to substantiate the possibility to assess local/regional resource capacity needed for a large-scale epidemic response as concerns emerging infectious diseases caused by pathogenic agents of particularly dangerous infections, such as smallpox, anthrax, plague, and Ebola, Marburg, Lassa, Crimean-Congo fevers. Investigations are conducted using a designed at the SRC VB “Vector” universal local epidemic/outbreak (developing within a closed population) model. The results of epidemic dynamics modeling suggest that in case of mass infection of the population in the Novosibirsk Region its resources are well sufficient for tularemia, anthrax, and Marburg and Crimean-Congo fever outbreak control. Response measures for smallpox, plague, Ebola and Lassa fever epidemic control will require additional large-scale federal support. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T13:44:01Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-fbad3ce3d400496fb0308a272992b8c3 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0370-1069 2658-719X |
| language | Russian |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-24T12:57:06Z |
| publishDate | 2014-12-01 |
| publisher | Federal Government Health Institution, Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe” |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Проблемы особо опасных инфекций |
| spelling | doaj.art-fbad3ce3d400496fb0308a272992b8c32024-04-05T16:47:10ZrusFederal Government Health Institution, Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”Проблемы особо опасных инфекций0370-10692658-719X2014-12-0104212410.21055/0370-1069-2014-4-21-24179Universal Local Epidemic Model and Its Usage in the Assessment of Novosibirsk Region Resource Preparedness to a Bioterrorist AttackL. F. Nizolenko0A. G. Bachinsky1State Research Centre of Virology and Biotechnology “Vector”State Research Centre of Virology and Biotechnology “Vector”Objective of the study is to substantiate the possibility to assess local/regional resource capacity needed for a large-scale epidemic response as concerns emerging infectious diseases caused by pathogenic agents of particularly dangerous infections, such as smallpox, anthrax, plague, and Ebola, Marburg, Lassa, Crimean-Congo fevers. Investigations are conducted using a designed at the SRC VB “Vector” universal local epidemic/outbreak (developing within a closed population) model. The results of epidemic dynamics modeling suggest that in case of mass infection of the population in the Novosibirsk Region its resources are well sufficient for tularemia, anthrax, and Marburg and Crimean-Congo fever outbreak control. Response measures for smallpox, plague, Ebola and Lassa fever epidemic control will require additional large-scale federal support.https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/179эпидемияособо опасные инфекцииматематическая модельмеры противодействияepidemicparticularly dangerous infectionsmathematical modelresponse measures |
| spellingShingle | L. F. Nizolenko A. G. Bachinsky Universal Local Epidemic Model and Its Usage in the Assessment of Novosibirsk Region Resource Preparedness to a Bioterrorist Attack Проблемы особо опасных инфекций эпидемия особо опасные инфекции математическая модель меры противодействия epidemic particularly dangerous infections mathematical model response measures |
| title | Universal Local Epidemic Model and Its Usage in the Assessment of Novosibirsk Region Resource Preparedness to a Bioterrorist Attack |
| title_full | Universal Local Epidemic Model and Its Usage in the Assessment of Novosibirsk Region Resource Preparedness to a Bioterrorist Attack |
| title_fullStr | Universal Local Epidemic Model and Its Usage in the Assessment of Novosibirsk Region Resource Preparedness to a Bioterrorist Attack |
| title_full_unstemmed | Universal Local Epidemic Model and Its Usage in the Assessment of Novosibirsk Region Resource Preparedness to a Bioterrorist Attack |
| title_short | Universal Local Epidemic Model and Its Usage in the Assessment of Novosibirsk Region Resource Preparedness to a Bioterrorist Attack |
| title_sort | universal local epidemic model and its usage in the assessment of novosibirsk region resource preparedness to a bioterrorist attack |
| topic | эпидемия особо опасные инфекции математическая модель меры противодействия epidemic particularly dangerous infections mathematical model response measures |
| url | https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/179 |
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