Lipase and factor V (but not viral load) are prognostic factors for the evolution of severe yellow fever cases

BACKGROUND Despite a highly efficacious vaccine, yellow fever (YF) is still a major threat in developing countries and a cause of outbreaks. In 2018, the Brazilian state of São Paulo witnessed a new YF outbreak in areas where the virus has not been detected before. OBJECTIVE The aim is to describe...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Luciana Vilas Boas Casadio, Ana Paula Moreira Salles, Fernanda de Mello Malta, Gabriel Fialkovitz Leite, Yeh-Li Ho, Michele Soares Gomes-Gouvêa, Luiz Marcelo Sá Malbouisson, Anna S Levin, Raymundo Soares de Azevedo Neto, Flair José Carrilho, Ana Catharina Seixas Santos Nastri, João Renato Rebello Pinho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ) 2019-05-01
Series:Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762019000100327&lng=en&tlng=en
_version_ 1827879826795528192
author Luciana Vilas Boas Casadio
Ana Paula Moreira Salles
Fernanda de Mello Malta
Gabriel Fialkovitz Leite
Yeh-Li Ho
Michele Soares Gomes-Gouvêa
Luiz Marcelo Sá Malbouisson
Anna S Levin
Raymundo Soares de Azevedo Neto
Flair José Carrilho
Ana Catharina Seixas Santos Nastri
João Renato Rebello Pinho
author_facet Luciana Vilas Boas Casadio
Ana Paula Moreira Salles
Fernanda de Mello Malta
Gabriel Fialkovitz Leite
Yeh-Li Ho
Michele Soares Gomes-Gouvêa
Luiz Marcelo Sá Malbouisson
Anna S Levin
Raymundo Soares de Azevedo Neto
Flair José Carrilho
Ana Catharina Seixas Santos Nastri
João Renato Rebello Pinho
author_sort Luciana Vilas Boas Casadio
collection DOAJ
description BACKGROUND Despite a highly efficacious vaccine, yellow fever (YF) is still a major threat in developing countries and a cause of outbreaks. In 2018, the Brazilian state of São Paulo witnessed a new YF outbreak in areas where the virus has not been detected before. OBJECTIVE The aim is to describe the clinical and laboratorial characteristics of severe cases of YF, evaluate viral to determine markers associated with fatal outcome. METHODS Acute severe YF cases (n = 62) were admitted to the Intensive Care Unit of a reference hospital and submitted to routine laboratorial evaluation on admission. YFV-RNA was detected in serum and urine by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) and then sequenced. Patients were classified in two groups: survival or death. FINDINGS In the univariate analysis the following variables were associated with outcome: alanin aminotransferase (ALT), aspartat aminotransferase (AST), AST/ALT ratio, total bilirubin (TB), chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI), ammonia, lipase, factor V, international normalised ratio (INR), lactate and bicarbonate. Logistic regression model showed two independent variables associated with death: lipase [odds ratio (OR) 1.018, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.007 to 1.030, p = 0.002], and factor V (OR -0.955, 95% CI 0.929 to 0.982, p = 0.001). The estimated lipase and factor V cut-off values that maximised sensitivity and specificity for death prediction were 147.5 U/L [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.879], and 56.5% (AUC = 0.913). MAIN CONCLUSIONS YF acute severe cases show a generalised involvement of different organs (liver, spleen, heart, kidneys, intestines and pancreas), and different parameters were related to outcome. Factor V and lipase are independent variables associated with death, reinforcing the importance of hemorrhagic events due to fulminant liver failure and pointing to pancreatitis as a relevant event in the outcome of the disease.
first_indexed 2024-03-12T18:11:50Z
format Article
id doaj.art-fbb5678ec3e14484b201760213c2921c
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1678-8060
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-12T18:11:50Z
publishDate 2019-05-01
publisher Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
record_format Article
series Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz
spelling doaj.art-fbb5678ec3e14484b201760213c2921c2023-08-02T09:15:30ZengFundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz1678-80602019-05-01114010.1590/0074-02760190033S0074-02762019000100327Lipase and factor V (but not viral load) are prognostic factors for the evolution of severe yellow fever casesLuciana Vilas Boas CasadioAna Paula Moreira SallesFernanda de Mello MaltaGabriel Fialkovitz LeiteYeh-Li HoMichele Soares Gomes-GouvêaLuiz Marcelo Sá MalbouissonAnna S LevinRaymundo Soares de Azevedo NetoFlair José CarrilhoAna Catharina Seixas Santos NastriJoão Renato Rebello PinhoBACKGROUND Despite a highly efficacious vaccine, yellow fever (YF) is still a major threat in developing countries and a cause of outbreaks. In 2018, the Brazilian state of São Paulo witnessed a new YF outbreak in areas where the virus has not been detected before. OBJECTIVE The aim is to describe the clinical and laboratorial characteristics of severe cases of YF, evaluate viral to determine markers associated with fatal outcome. METHODS Acute severe YF cases (n = 62) were admitted to the Intensive Care Unit of a reference hospital and submitted to routine laboratorial evaluation on admission. YFV-RNA was detected in serum and urine by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) and then sequenced. Patients were classified in two groups: survival or death. FINDINGS In the univariate analysis the following variables were associated with outcome: alanin aminotransferase (ALT), aspartat aminotransferase (AST), AST/ALT ratio, total bilirubin (TB), chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI), ammonia, lipase, factor V, international normalised ratio (INR), lactate and bicarbonate. Logistic regression model showed two independent variables associated with death: lipase [odds ratio (OR) 1.018, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.007 to 1.030, p = 0.002], and factor V (OR -0.955, 95% CI 0.929 to 0.982, p = 0.001). The estimated lipase and factor V cut-off values that maximised sensitivity and specificity for death prediction were 147.5 U/L [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.879], and 56.5% (AUC = 0.913). MAIN CONCLUSIONS YF acute severe cases show a generalised involvement of different organs (liver, spleen, heart, kidneys, intestines and pancreas), and different parameters were related to outcome. Factor V and lipase are independent variables associated with death, reinforcing the importance of hemorrhagic events due to fulminant liver failure and pointing to pancreatitis as a relevant event in the outcome of the disease.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762019000100327&lng=en&tlng=enyellow feverlipasefactor vviral load
spellingShingle Luciana Vilas Boas Casadio
Ana Paula Moreira Salles
Fernanda de Mello Malta
Gabriel Fialkovitz Leite
Yeh-Li Ho
Michele Soares Gomes-Gouvêa
Luiz Marcelo Sá Malbouisson
Anna S Levin
Raymundo Soares de Azevedo Neto
Flair José Carrilho
Ana Catharina Seixas Santos Nastri
João Renato Rebello Pinho
Lipase and factor V (but not viral load) are prognostic factors for the evolution of severe yellow fever cases
Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz
yellow fever
lipase
factor v
viral load
title Lipase and factor V (but not viral load) are prognostic factors for the evolution of severe yellow fever cases
title_full Lipase and factor V (but not viral load) are prognostic factors for the evolution of severe yellow fever cases
title_fullStr Lipase and factor V (but not viral load) are prognostic factors for the evolution of severe yellow fever cases
title_full_unstemmed Lipase and factor V (but not viral load) are prognostic factors for the evolution of severe yellow fever cases
title_short Lipase and factor V (but not viral load) are prognostic factors for the evolution of severe yellow fever cases
title_sort lipase and factor v but not viral load are prognostic factors for the evolution of severe yellow fever cases
topic yellow fever
lipase
factor v
viral load
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762019000100327&lng=en&tlng=en
work_keys_str_mv AT lucianavilasboascasadio lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT anapaulamoreirasalles lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT fernandademellomalta lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT gabrielfialkovitzleite lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT yehliho lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT michelesoaresgomesgouvea lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT luizmarcelosamalbouisson lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT annaslevin lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT raymundosoaresdeazevedoneto lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT flairjosecarrilho lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT anacatharinaseixassantosnastri lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases
AT joaorenatorebellopinho lipaseandfactorvbutnotviralloadareprognosticfactorsfortheevolutionofsevereyellowfevercases