On the usefulness of dynamically spilled risk: An optimal portfolio allocation based on cross-sector information contagion

AbstractIt is well known that the volatility spillover increases when a large economic shock occurs, and then the volatility spillover pattern in the market changes. Accordingly, many papers note that clarifying the time-varying pattern of volatility transmission in domestic and international market...

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Main Authors: Hideto Shigemoto, Takayuki Morimoto
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-06-01
Series:Cogent Economics & Finance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2023.2243200
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author Hideto Shigemoto
Takayuki Morimoto
author_facet Hideto Shigemoto
Takayuki Morimoto
author_sort Hideto Shigemoto
collection DOAJ
description AbstractIt is well known that the volatility spillover increases when a large economic shock occurs, and then the volatility spillover pattern in the market changes. Accordingly, many papers note that clarifying the time-varying pattern of volatility transmission in domestic and international markets is useful for investors and policymakers. This paper focuses on information contagion across various industrial sectors, investigates portfolio strategies based on the volatility spillovers, and aims to clarify whether an investment strategy based on volatility spillovers benefits investors. Regarding portfolio reallocation, as soon as we observe an increase or a decrease in the effect/timing of a volatility spillover, we obtain a smaller number of reallocations and a more informative portfolio. Our results compare our proposed method with periodic portfolios, for example, daily or annually, showing that our proposed method has larger returns and a greater Sharpe ratio than the others.
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spelling doaj.art-fbb57b505d854f9184c5b5bbbaafdca62023-08-03T12:00:25ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Economics & Finance2332-20392023-06-0111210.1080/23322039.2023.2243200On the usefulness of dynamically spilled risk: An optimal portfolio allocation based on cross-sector information contagionHideto Shigemoto0Takayuki Morimoto1Group Risk Management Department, Nomura Holdings, Tokyo, JapanDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Kwansei Gakuin University, Sanda, Hyogo, JapanAbstractIt is well known that the volatility spillover increases when a large economic shock occurs, and then the volatility spillover pattern in the market changes. Accordingly, many papers note that clarifying the time-varying pattern of volatility transmission in domestic and international markets is useful for investors and policymakers. This paper focuses on information contagion across various industrial sectors, investigates portfolio strategies based on the volatility spillovers, and aims to clarify whether an investment strategy based on volatility spillovers benefits investors. Regarding portfolio reallocation, as soon as we observe an increase or a decrease in the effect/timing of a volatility spillover, we obtain a smaller number of reallocations and a more informative portfolio. Our results compare our proposed method with periodic portfolios, for example, daily or annually, showing that our proposed method has larger returns and a greater Sharpe ratio than the others.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2023.2243200portfolio managementrealized volatilityVAR modelvolatility spillovercross-sector information contagion
spellingShingle Hideto Shigemoto
Takayuki Morimoto
On the usefulness of dynamically spilled risk: An optimal portfolio allocation based on cross-sector information contagion
Cogent Economics & Finance
portfolio management
realized volatility
VAR model
volatility spillover
cross-sector information contagion
title On the usefulness of dynamically spilled risk: An optimal portfolio allocation based on cross-sector information contagion
title_full On the usefulness of dynamically spilled risk: An optimal portfolio allocation based on cross-sector information contagion
title_fullStr On the usefulness of dynamically spilled risk: An optimal portfolio allocation based on cross-sector information contagion
title_full_unstemmed On the usefulness of dynamically spilled risk: An optimal portfolio allocation based on cross-sector information contagion
title_short On the usefulness of dynamically spilled risk: An optimal portfolio allocation based on cross-sector information contagion
title_sort on the usefulness of dynamically spilled risk an optimal portfolio allocation based on cross sector information contagion
topic portfolio management
realized volatility
VAR model
volatility spillover
cross-sector information contagion
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2023.2243200
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