Assessing the Possible Influences of the Russia – Ukraine War on Economic Growth

Against the background of a major insecurity event with strong economic and social repercussions, more and more analyses, simulations and attempts are being made to identify possible developments and consequences. The experience of previous conflicts and the results of the models and scenarios used...

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Main Author: Florişteanu Elena
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2022-12-01
Series:Scientific Bulletin
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/bsaft-2022-0012
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author Florişteanu Elena
author_facet Florişteanu Elena
author_sort Florişteanu Elena
collection DOAJ
description Against the background of a major insecurity event with strong economic and social repercussions, more and more analyses, simulations and attempts are being made to identify possible developments and consequences. The experience of previous conflicts and the results of the models and scenarios used to estimate the trajectories and disruptions caused by conflicts help with the decision-making process, but the variables in the peace equation are numerous and increase the degree of uncertainty in what regards the impact of the economic, social and security policies adopted. Through the prism of developments in the current geopolitical and security environment, with prospects of profound change after the end of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the paper highlights some of the economic effects of the Russia – Ukraine war and highlights its possible influences on economic growth at regional and global level, and also analyses growth in the states directly involved in the war or that are connected in various forms (economically-wise, neighbouring countries, etc.) with the two states.
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spelling doaj.art-fbc4b240a3d940c493957bd4a2b7019a2023-02-05T17:56:43ZengSciendoScientific Bulletin1224-51782451-31482022-12-0127210211110.2478/bsaft-2022-0012Assessing the Possible Influences of the Russia – Ukraine War on Economic GrowthFlorişteanu Elena0“Nicolae Bălcescu” Land Forces Academy, Sibiu, RomaniaAgainst the background of a major insecurity event with strong economic and social repercussions, more and more analyses, simulations and attempts are being made to identify possible developments and consequences. The experience of previous conflicts and the results of the models and scenarios used to estimate the trajectories and disruptions caused by conflicts help with the decision-making process, but the variables in the peace equation are numerous and increase the degree of uncertainty in what regards the impact of the economic, social and security policies adopted. Through the prism of developments in the current geopolitical and security environment, with prospects of profound change after the end of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the paper highlights some of the economic effects of the Russia – Ukraine war and highlights its possible influences on economic growth at regional and global level, and also analyses growth in the states directly involved in the war or that are connected in various forms (economically-wise, neighbouring countries, etc.) with the two states.https://doi.org/10.2478/bsaft-2022-0012wareconomic effectspropaganda channelseconomic growth
spellingShingle Florişteanu Elena
Assessing the Possible Influences of the Russia – Ukraine War on Economic Growth
Scientific Bulletin
war
economic effects
propaganda channels
economic growth
title Assessing the Possible Influences of the Russia – Ukraine War on Economic Growth
title_full Assessing the Possible Influences of the Russia – Ukraine War on Economic Growth
title_fullStr Assessing the Possible Influences of the Russia – Ukraine War on Economic Growth
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the Possible Influences of the Russia – Ukraine War on Economic Growth
title_short Assessing the Possible Influences of the Russia – Ukraine War on Economic Growth
title_sort assessing the possible influences of the russia ukraine war on economic growth
topic war
economic effects
propaganda channels
economic growth
url https://doi.org/10.2478/bsaft-2022-0012
work_keys_str_mv AT floristeanuelena assessingthepossibleinfluencesoftherussiaukrainewaroneconomicgrowth