The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?

Abstract Background The European Union (EU) has committed to achieve climate neutrality by 2050. This requires a rapid reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and ensuring that any remaining emissions are balanced through CO2 removals. Forests play a crucial role in this plan: they are currently...

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Main Authors: Anu Korosuo, Roberto Pilli, Raúl Abad Viñas, Viorel N. B. Blujdea, Rene R. Colditz, Giulia Fiorese, Simone Rossi, Matteo Vizzarri, Giacomo Grassi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-07-01
Series:Carbon Balance and Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-023-00234-0
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author Anu Korosuo
Roberto Pilli
Raúl Abad Viñas
Viorel N. B. Blujdea
Rene R. Colditz
Giulia Fiorese
Simone Rossi
Matteo Vizzarri
Giacomo Grassi
author_facet Anu Korosuo
Roberto Pilli
Raúl Abad Viñas
Viorel N. B. Blujdea
Rene R. Colditz
Giulia Fiorese
Simone Rossi
Matteo Vizzarri
Giacomo Grassi
author_sort Anu Korosuo
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The European Union (EU) has committed to achieve climate neutrality by 2050. This requires a rapid reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and ensuring that any remaining emissions are balanced through CO2 removals. Forests play a crucial role in this plan: they are currently the main option for removing CO2 from the atmosphere and additionally, wood use can store carbon durably and help reduce fossil emissions. To stop and reverse the decline of the forest carbon sink, the EU has recently revised the regulation on land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF), and set a target of − 310 Mt CO2e net removals for the LULUCF sector in 2030. Results In this study, we clarify the role of common concepts in forest management – net annual increment, harvest and mortality – in determining the forest sink. We then evaluate to what extent the forest sink is on track to meet the climate goals of the EU. For this assessment we use data from the latest national GHG inventories and a forest model (Carbon Budget Model). Our findings indicate that on the EU level, the recent decrease in increment and the increase in harvest and mortality are causing a rapid drop in the forest sink. Furthermore, continuing the past forest management practices is projected to further decrease the sink. Finally, we discuss options for enhancing the sinks through forest management while taking into account adaptation and resilience. Conclusions Our findings show that the EU forest sink is quickly developing away from the EU climate targets. Stopping and reversing this trend requires rapid implementation of climate-smart forest management, with improved and more timely monitoring of GHG fluxes. This enhancement is crucial for tracking progress towards the EU’s climate targets, where the role of forests has become – and is expected to remain – more prominent than ever before.
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spelling doaj.art-fc332d8d8c9348f78bef54f985bf39bf2023-07-30T11:06:58ZengBMCCarbon Balance and Management1750-06802023-07-0118111410.1186/s13021-023-00234-0The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?Anu Korosuo0Roberto Pilli1Raúl Abad Viñas2Viorel N. B. Blujdea3Rene R. Colditz4Giulia Fiorese5Simone Rossi6Matteo Vizzarri7Giacomo Grassi8Joint Research Centre, European CommissionIndependent researcher providing service to the Joint Research Centre, European CommissionIndependent researcher providing service to the Joint Research Centre, European CommissionJoint Research Centre, European CommissionJoint Research Centre, European CommissionIndependent researcher providing service to the Joint Research Centre, European CommissionIndependent researcher providing service to the Joint Research Centre, European CommissionJoint Research Centre, European CommissionJoint Research Centre, European CommissionAbstract Background The European Union (EU) has committed to achieve climate neutrality by 2050. This requires a rapid reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and ensuring that any remaining emissions are balanced through CO2 removals. Forests play a crucial role in this plan: they are currently the main option for removing CO2 from the atmosphere and additionally, wood use can store carbon durably and help reduce fossil emissions. To stop and reverse the decline of the forest carbon sink, the EU has recently revised the regulation on land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF), and set a target of − 310 Mt CO2e net removals for the LULUCF sector in 2030. Results In this study, we clarify the role of common concepts in forest management – net annual increment, harvest and mortality – in determining the forest sink. We then evaluate to what extent the forest sink is on track to meet the climate goals of the EU. For this assessment we use data from the latest national GHG inventories and a forest model (Carbon Budget Model). Our findings indicate that on the EU level, the recent decrease in increment and the increase in harvest and mortality are causing a rapid drop in the forest sink. Furthermore, continuing the past forest management practices is projected to further decrease the sink. Finally, we discuss options for enhancing the sinks through forest management while taking into account adaptation and resilience. Conclusions Our findings show that the EU forest sink is quickly developing away from the EU climate targets. Stopping and reversing this trend requires rapid implementation of climate-smart forest management, with improved and more timely monitoring of GHG fluxes. This enhancement is crucial for tracking progress towards the EU’s climate targets, where the role of forests has become – and is expected to remain – more prominent than ever before.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-023-00234-0Carbon sinksClimate legislationEuropean UnionForest managementForest monitoringLULUCF
spellingShingle Anu Korosuo
Roberto Pilli
Raúl Abad Viñas
Viorel N. B. Blujdea
Rene R. Colditz
Giulia Fiorese
Simone Rossi
Matteo Vizzarri
Giacomo Grassi
The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?
Carbon Balance and Management
Carbon sinks
Climate legislation
European Union
Forest management
Forest monitoring
LULUCF
title The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?
title_full The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?
title_fullStr The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?
title_full_unstemmed The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?
title_short The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?
title_sort role of forests in the eu climate policy are we on the right track
topic Carbon sinks
Climate legislation
European Union
Forest management
Forest monitoring
LULUCF
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-023-00234-0
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