Projections of Brazilian biomes resilience and socio-environmental risks to climate change
Climate change has been considered, at a global level, as one of the main anthropogenic drivers of environmental transformation, especially on biomes, ecosystems and the most vulnerable population. In this regard, the concept of resilience has been widely used in ecology to explain the ecosystem tra...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Universidade de Brasília
2020-12-01
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| Series: | Sustentabilidade em Debate |
| Online Access: | https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33918 |
| _version_ | 1828135598177648640 |
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| author | Patrícia F. Pinho Luciano J. S. Anjos Saulo Rodrigues-Filho Diogo V. Santos Peter M. Toledo |
| author_facet | Patrícia F. Pinho Luciano J. S. Anjos Saulo Rodrigues-Filho Diogo V. Santos Peter M. Toledo |
| author_sort | Patrícia F. Pinho |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Climate change has been considered, at a global level, as one of the main anthropogenic drivers of environmental transformation, especially on biomes, ecosystems and the most vulnerable population. In this regard, the concept of resilience has been widely used in ecology to explain the ecosystem transition thresholds by which forests and other habitats are able to restructure in the face of various external disturbances. However, the concept of resilience in facing climate change impacts and risks through the lens of socio-environmental risks in Brazil is still underdeveloped, especially at the biome level. This article uses the theory of critical transitions to ecological niche distribution modeling in future global warming scenarios by the end of the century, in order to highlight the change in ecological resilience of the Amazon, Caatinga, Cerrado, Atlantic Forest and Pampa biomes, and how the changes in resilience can lead to an increased exposure, vulnerabilities and risks to socio-environmental security. This article shows how an interdisciplinary approach bringing together modeling of biome resilience may be a tool to support decision making and public policies on mitigation and adaptation to climate change and reduce risks to socio-environmental security. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T17:49:20Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-fc47ba63214e4d7ebc56cfd6a2a528b5 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2177-7675 2179-9067 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T17:49:20Z |
| publishDate | 2020-12-01 |
| publisher | Universidade de Brasília |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Sustentabilidade em Debate |
| spelling | doaj.art-fc47ba63214e4d7ebc56cfd6a2a528b52022-12-22T04:11:10ZengUniversidade de BrasíliaSustentabilidade em Debate2177-76752179-90672020-12-0111310.18472/SustDeb.v11n3.2020.33918Projections of Brazilian biomes resilience and socio-environmental risks to climate changePatrícia F. Pinho0Luciano J. S. Anjos1Saulo Rodrigues-Filho2Diogo V. Santos 3Peter M. Toledo4Universidade de São Paulo (USP), São Paulo, SP, BrasilUniversidade Federal Rural da Amazônia, Parauapebas, PA, BrasilCentro de Desenvolvimento Sustentável, Universidade de Brasília, Brasília, DF, BrazilMinistério de Ciência e Tecnologia e Inovação (MCTI), Brasília, DF, BrasilInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, São José dos Campos, SP, BrasilClimate change has been considered, at a global level, as one of the main anthropogenic drivers of environmental transformation, especially on biomes, ecosystems and the most vulnerable population. In this regard, the concept of resilience has been widely used in ecology to explain the ecosystem transition thresholds by which forests and other habitats are able to restructure in the face of various external disturbances. However, the concept of resilience in facing climate change impacts and risks through the lens of socio-environmental risks in Brazil is still underdeveloped, especially at the biome level. This article uses the theory of critical transitions to ecological niche distribution modeling in future global warming scenarios by the end of the century, in order to highlight the change in ecological resilience of the Amazon, Caatinga, Cerrado, Atlantic Forest and Pampa biomes, and how the changes in resilience can lead to an increased exposure, vulnerabilities and risks to socio-environmental security. This article shows how an interdisciplinary approach bringing together modeling of biome resilience may be a tool to support decision making and public policies on mitigation and adaptation to climate change and reduce risks to socio-environmental security.https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33918 |
| spellingShingle | Patrícia F. Pinho Luciano J. S. Anjos Saulo Rodrigues-Filho Diogo V. Santos Peter M. Toledo Projections of Brazilian biomes resilience and socio-environmental risks to climate change Sustentabilidade em Debate |
| title | Projections of Brazilian biomes resilience and socio-environmental risks to climate change |
| title_full | Projections of Brazilian biomes resilience and socio-environmental risks to climate change |
| title_fullStr | Projections of Brazilian biomes resilience and socio-environmental risks to climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projections of Brazilian biomes resilience and socio-environmental risks to climate change |
| title_short | Projections of Brazilian biomes resilience and socio-environmental risks to climate change |
| title_sort | projections of brazilian biomes resilience and socio environmental risks to climate change |
| url | https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33918 |
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