Invasion and Extirpation Potential of Native and Invasive Spartina Species Under Climate Change
Coastal areas host some of the planet’s most productive ecosystems, providing life-sustaining ecological services and several benefits to humankind, while also being some of the most threatened areas (e.g., by globalization, climate change, and biological invasion). Salt marshes are coastal habitats...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2021-08-01
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| Series: | Frontiers in Marine Science |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2021.696333/full |
| _version_ | 1818718086442778624 |
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| author | Francisco O. Borges Catarina P. Santos José R. Paula Enrique Mateos-Naranjo Susana Redondo-Gomez Janine Barbara Adams Janine Barbara Adams Isabel Caçador Isabel Caçador Vanessa F. Fonseca Vanessa F. Fonseca Patrick Reis-Santos Bernardo Duarte Bernardo Duarte Rui Rosa Rui Rosa |
| author_facet | Francisco O. Borges Catarina P. Santos José R. Paula Enrique Mateos-Naranjo Susana Redondo-Gomez Janine Barbara Adams Janine Barbara Adams Isabel Caçador Isabel Caçador Vanessa F. Fonseca Vanessa F. Fonseca Patrick Reis-Santos Bernardo Duarte Bernardo Duarte Rui Rosa Rui Rosa |
| author_sort | Francisco O. Borges |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Coastal areas host some of the planet’s most productive ecosystems, providing life-sustaining ecological services and several benefits to humankind, while also being some of the most threatened areas (e.g., by globalization, climate change, and biological invasion). Salt marshes are coastal habitats with a key role in food and shelter provisioning, sediment deposition, nutrient cycling and carbon storage. Spartina spp. is a genus of grass halophytes which occurs in salt marshes worldwide, and includes species with different invasive potential. We evaluated the effect of climate change in the distribution and invasion potential of five Spartina species (S. anglica, S. alterniflora, S. densiflora, S. patens, and S. maritima) at a global scale. Species distribution models (SDMs) were applied on species occurrence data and atmospheric environmental predictors (WorldClim 2.1) to project potential changes in habitat suitability and associated changes in distribution and species co-occurrence until the end of the century, across four Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios (i.e., SSP1-2.6 to SSP5-8.5). Projections showed a global trend for increasing species co-occurrence, with a general range expansion potentiated by increasing pathway severity. This study suggests that Spartina species can potentially benefit from climate change, predicting poleward expansions in the Northern Hemisphere for most species, with results pointing at increased conflict and invasion potential in Northern Europe and East Asian shorelines, already under strong invasive pressure. S. anglica is projected to remain a successful invader, with more severe scenarios likely favoring greater expansions. S. alterniflora exhibits very low expansion comparatively, despite exhibiting the same northward distribution shift. SSP1-2.6 produced the smallest change to species co-occurrence, suggesting a smaller potential for invasion-related conflicts, although still registering a potential net expansion for the Genus. Despite their limitations, SDMs can help establish general trends in climate change ecology and inform policymakers and environmental agents to ensure the correct management of these habitats and, ultimately, ecosystems. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-17T19:45:27Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-fc54da5d2523437596b720c4b4efe811 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2296-7745 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-17T19:45:27Z |
| publishDate | 2021-08-01 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Frontiers in Marine Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-fc54da5d2523437596b720c4b4efe8112022-12-21T21:34:54ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452021-08-01810.3389/fmars.2021.696333696333Invasion and Extirpation Potential of Native and Invasive Spartina Species Under Climate ChangeFrancisco O. Borges0Catarina P. Santos1José R. Paula2Enrique Mateos-Naranjo3Susana Redondo-Gomez4Janine Barbara Adams5Janine Barbara Adams6Isabel Caçador7Isabel Caçador8Vanessa F. Fonseca9Vanessa F. Fonseca10Patrick Reis-Santos11Bernardo Duarte12Bernardo Duarte13Rui Rosa14Rui Rosa15Faculdade de Ciências, MARE – Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalFaculdade de Ciências, MARE – Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalFaculdade de Ciências, MARE – Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalDepartamento de Biología Vegetal y Ecología, Facultad de Biología, Universidad de Sevilla, Seville, SpainDepartamento de Biología Vegetal y Ecología, Facultad de Biología, Universidad de Sevilla, Seville, SpainDepartment of Botany, Institute for Coastal and Marine Research, Nelson Mandela University, Port Elizabeth, South AfricaDepartment of Science and Innovation, National Research Foundation, Research Chair in Shallow Water Ecosystems, Nelson Mandela University, Port Elizabeth, South AfricaFaculdade de Ciências, MARE – Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalDepartamento de Biologia Vegetal, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalFaculdade de Ciências, MARE – Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalDepartamento de Biologia Animal, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalSouthern Seas Ecology Laboratories, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, AustraliaFaculdade de Ciências, MARE – Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalDepartamento de Biologia Vegetal, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalFaculdade de Ciências, MARE – Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalDepartamento de Biologia Animal, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, PortugalCoastal areas host some of the planet’s most productive ecosystems, providing life-sustaining ecological services and several benefits to humankind, while also being some of the most threatened areas (e.g., by globalization, climate change, and biological invasion). Salt marshes are coastal habitats with a key role in food and shelter provisioning, sediment deposition, nutrient cycling and carbon storage. Spartina spp. is a genus of grass halophytes which occurs in salt marshes worldwide, and includes species with different invasive potential. We evaluated the effect of climate change in the distribution and invasion potential of five Spartina species (S. anglica, S. alterniflora, S. densiflora, S. patens, and S. maritima) at a global scale. Species distribution models (SDMs) were applied on species occurrence data and atmospheric environmental predictors (WorldClim 2.1) to project potential changes in habitat suitability and associated changes in distribution and species co-occurrence until the end of the century, across four Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios (i.e., SSP1-2.6 to SSP5-8.5). Projections showed a global trend for increasing species co-occurrence, with a general range expansion potentiated by increasing pathway severity. This study suggests that Spartina species can potentially benefit from climate change, predicting poleward expansions in the Northern Hemisphere for most species, with results pointing at increased conflict and invasion potential in Northern Europe and East Asian shorelines, already under strong invasive pressure. S. anglica is projected to remain a successful invader, with more severe scenarios likely favoring greater expansions. S. alterniflora exhibits very low expansion comparatively, despite exhibiting the same northward distribution shift. SSP1-2.6 produced the smallest change to species co-occurrence, suggesting a smaller potential for invasion-related conflicts, although still registering a potential net expansion for the Genus. Despite their limitations, SDMs can help establish general trends in climate change ecology and inform policymakers and environmental agents to ensure the correct management of these habitats and, ultimately, ecosystems.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2021.696333/fullbiological invasioncoastal areassalt marshescordgrassnativespecies distribution model |
| spellingShingle | Francisco O. Borges Catarina P. Santos José R. Paula Enrique Mateos-Naranjo Susana Redondo-Gomez Janine Barbara Adams Janine Barbara Adams Isabel Caçador Isabel Caçador Vanessa F. Fonseca Vanessa F. Fonseca Patrick Reis-Santos Bernardo Duarte Bernardo Duarte Rui Rosa Rui Rosa Invasion and Extirpation Potential of Native and Invasive Spartina Species Under Climate Change Frontiers in Marine Science biological invasion coastal areas salt marshes cordgrass native species distribution model |
| title | Invasion and Extirpation Potential of Native and Invasive Spartina Species Under Climate Change |
| title_full | Invasion and Extirpation Potential of Native and Invasive Spartina Species Under Climate Change |
| title_fullStr | Invasion and Extirpation Potential of Native and Invasive Spartina Species Under Climate Change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Invasion and Extirpation Potential of Native and Invasive Spartina Species Under Climate Change |
| title_short | Invasion and Extirpation Potential of Native and Invasive Spartina Species Under Climate Change |
| title_sort | invasion and extirpation potential of native and invasive spartina species under climate change |
| topic | biological invasion coastal areas salt marshes cordgrass native species distribution model |
| url | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2021.696333/full |
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