The Price Difference and Trend Analysis of Yesso Scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) in Changhai County, China

This paper focuses on the difference in inter-group and intra-group price of Yesso scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) and the simulation accuracy of three different exponential smoothing models in the price. Based on the farm-gate price and wholesale price data of <i>P. yesso...

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Main Authors: Daomin Peng, Qian Yang, Yongtong Mu, Hongzhi Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-06-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/9/7/696
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author Daomin Peng
Qian Yang
Yongtong Mu
Hongzhi Zhang
author_facet Daomin Peng
Qian Yang
Yongtong Mu
Hongzhi Zhang
author_sort Daomin Peng
collection DOAJ
description This paper focuses on the difference in inter-group and intra-group price of Yesso scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) and the simulation accuracy of three different exponential smoothing models in the price. Based on the farm-gate price and wholesale price data of <i>P. yessoensis</i> in Changhai county from January 2017 to December 2018, this study uses the Wilcoxon rank sum test to compare the inter- and intra-group price and applies simple exponential smoothing (SES), Holt’s linear trend method, and Holt-Winters’ additive method to simulate and predict the price. The results suggest that (i) to improve economic benefits, it is necessary to formulate reasonable farming area and establish low-density ecological cultivation mode; (ii) the price’s Akaike information criterion (AIC) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values by the SES model are optimal, and the MAPE value is lower than 4%; and (iii) the result of SES analysis shows no obvious change from January to March 2019.
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spelling doaj.art-fc731d6b001944188bd83048fe53f5202023-11-22T01:38:57ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122021-06-019769610.3390/jmse9070696The Price Difference and Trend Analysis of Yesso Scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) in Changhai County, ChinaDaomin Peng0Qian Yang1Yongtong Mu2Hongzhi Zhang3Key Laboratory of Mariculture (Ministry of Education), Fisheries College, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266003, ChinaKey Laboratory of Mariculture (Ministry of Education), Fisheries College, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266003, ChinaKey Laboratory of Mariculture (Ministry of Education), Fisheries College, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266003, ChinaOrganization and Personnel Department, Shandong Foreign Trade Vocational College, Qingdao 266100, ChinaThis paper focuses on the difference in inter-group and intra-group price of Yesso scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) and the simulation accuracy of three different exponential smoothing models in the price. Based on the farm-gate price and wholesale price data of <i>P. yessoensis</i> in Changhai county from January 2017 to December 2018, this study uses the Wilcoxon rank sum test to compare the inter- and intra-group price and applies simple exponential smoothing (SES), Holt’s linear trend method, and Holt-Winters’ additive method to simulate and predict the price. The results suggest that (i) to improve economic benefits, it is necessary to formulate reasonable farming area and establish low-density ecological cultivation mode; (ii) the price’s Akaike information criterion (AIC) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values by the SES model are optimal, and the MAPE value is lower than 4%; and (iii) the result of SES analysis shows no obvious change from January to March 2019.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/9/7/696<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>farm-gate pricewholesale pricedifference
spellingShingle Daomin Peng
Qian Yang
Yongtong Mu
Hongzhi Zhang
The Price Difference and Trend Analysis of Yesso Scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) in Changhai County, China
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>
farm-gate price
wholesale price
difference
title The Price Difference and Trend Analysis of Yesso Scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) in Changhai County, China
title_full The Price Difference and Trend Analysis of Yesso Scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) in Changhai County, China
title_fullStr The Price Difference and Trend Analysis of Yesso Scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) in Changhai County, China
title_full_unstemmed The Price Difference and Trend Analysis of Yesso Scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) in Changhai County, China
title_short The Price Difference and Trend Analysis of Yesso Scallop (<i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>) in Changhai County, China
title_sort price difference and trend analysis of yesso scallop i patinopecten yessoensis i in changhai county china
topic <i>Patinopecten yessoensis</i>
farm-gate price
wholesale price
difference
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/9/7/696
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