Coffee supply chain planning under climate change

ABSTRACTThe growing demand but uncertain supply makes the sustainability of the coffee industry a shared concern for all participants along the coffee supply chain. This study proposed a decision-making model that comprises the cultivation management, including shade management and annual agricultur...

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Main Authors: Rui Zhou, Yaoping Wang, Mingzhou Jin, Jiafu Mao, Xu Zheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1943815X.2022.2103570
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author Rui Zhou
Yaoping Wang
Mingzhou Jin
Jiafu Mao
Xu Zheng
author_facet Rui Zhou
Yaoping Wang
Mingzhou Jin
Jiafu Mao
Xu Zheng
author_sort Rui Zhou
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACTThe growing demand but uncertain supply makes the sustainability of the coffee industry a shared concern for all participants along the coffee supply chain. This study proposed a decision-making model that comprises the cultivation management, including shade management and annual agriculture management, and the supply chain logistics. A two-stage stochastic program is presented and used within a rolling horizon scheme that periodically updates input data information to deal with uncertainty associated with future climate scenarios. The program minimizes the total expected cost of the entire supply chain of arabica coffee. The study applied the model to the real case study of arabica coffee bean supply to the U.S. market, trying to answer whether arabica coffee supply can meet the U.S. demand from 2022 to 2050 and how to best mitigate any shortage through corporate-farmer partnerships. The results show that the coffee supply will have a 3% shortage in the future; medium-level shade management and more irrigation and fertilization are possible mitigation strategies. These results demonstrate the need for all participants to adopt suitable technologies for the sustainability of global coffee supply chains together.
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spelling doaj.art-fd215eed5c894814af7cf7cf276d09022022-12-22T02:58:50ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Integrative Environmental Sciences1943-815X1943-81682022-12-0119111510.1080/1943815X.2022.2103570Coffee supply chain planning under climate changeRui Zhou0Yaoping Wang1Mingzhou Jin2Jiafu Mao3Xu Zheng4Industrial and Systems Engineering, The University of Tennessee at Knoxville, Knoxville, TN, USAInstitute for a Secure & Sustainable Environment (ISSE), University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USAIndustrial and Systems Engineering, The University of Tennessee at Knoxville, Knoxville, TN, USAEnvironmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USAInstitute for a Secure & Sustainable Environment (ISSE), University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USAABSTRACTThe growing demand but uncertain supply makes the sustainability of the coffee industry a shared concern for all participants along the coffee supply chain. This study proposed a decision-making model that comprises the cultivation management, including shade management and annual agriculture management, and the supply chain logistics. A two-stage stochastic program is presented and used within a rolling horizon scheme that periodically updates input data information to deal with uncertainty associated with future climate scenarios. The program minimizes the total expected cost of the entire supply chain of arabica coffee. The study applied the model to the real case study of arabica coffee bean supply to the U.S. market, trying to answer whether arabica coffee supply can meet the U.S. demand from 2022 to 2050 and how to best mitigate any shortage through corporate-farmer partnerships. The results show that the coffee supply will have a 3% shortage in the future; medium-level shade management and more irrigation and fertilization are possible mitigation strategies. These results demonstrate the need for all participants to adopt suitable technologies for the sustainability of global coffee supply chains together.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1943815X.2022.2103570Coffee supply chainclimate changesustainabilityagriculture management practicesoptimization
spellingShingle Rui Zhou
Yaoping Wang
Mingzhou Jin
Jiafu Mao
Xu Zheng
Coffee supply chain planning under climate change
Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences
Coffee supply chain
climate change
sustainability
agriculture management practices
optimization
title Coffee supply chain planning under climate change
title_full Coffee supply chain planning under climate change
title_fullStr Coffee supply chain planning under climate change
title_full_unstemmed Coffee supply chain planning under climate change
title_short Coffee supply chain planning under climate change
title_sort coffee supply chain planning under climate change
topic Coffee supply chain
climate change
sustainability
agriculture management practices
optimization
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1943815X.2022.2103570
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AT yaopingwang coffeesupplychainplanningunderclimatechange
AT mingzhoujin coffeesupplychainplanningunderclimatechange
AT jiafumao coffeesupplychainplanningunderclimatechange
AT xuzheng coffeesupplychainplanningunderclimatechange