Prediction of ultra-short-term wind power based on CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN

So as to decrease those cacoethic impact of a huge amount of wind energy generation systems associated with the electric power system and improve the utilization rate and the budgetary profits of wind power era, this paper raises a neural network in view of CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN. Firstly, CEEMDAN is used...

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Main Authors: Chenjia Hu, Yan Zhao, He Jiang, Mingkun Jiang, Fucai You, Qian Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-11-01
Series:Energy Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722018959
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author Chenjia Hu
Yan Zhao
He Jiang
Mingkun Jiang
Fucai You
Qian Liu
author_facet Chenjia Hu
Yan Zhao
He Jiang
Mingkun Jiang
Fucai You
Qian Liu
author_sort Chenjia Hu
collection DOAJ
description So as to decrease those cacoethic impact of a huge amount of wind energy generation systems associated with the electric power system and improve the utilization rate and the budgetary profits of wind power era, this paper raises a neural network in view of CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN. Firstly, CEEMDAN is used to break down the wind velocity arrangement to decrease the sway of arbitrariness Furthermore variance about wind velocity. Secondly, the ultra-short-term wind power forecast depend upon LSTM and TCN is built to realize the real-time prediction for wind energy. Finally, the simulation results show that LSTM-TCN can deal with multi time order characteristics and predict ultra-short period wind energy with effect, which is better than LSTM and TCN. It also has a scientific reference for local power dispatching.
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spelling doaj.art-fd38836cfd724779af72da508d03c5d42023-01-18T04:31:44ZengElsevierEnergy Reports2352-48472022-11-018483492Prediction of ultra-short-term wind power based on CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCNChenjia Hu0Yan Zhao1He Jiang2Mingkun Jiang3Fucai You4Qian Liu5Shenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang 110136, China; Key Laboratory of Regional Multi-energy System Integration and Control of Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110136, ChinaShenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang 110136, China; Key Laboratory of Regional Multi-energy System Integration and Control of Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110136, China; Corresponding author at: Shenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang 110136, China.Shenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang 110136, China; Key Laboratory of Regional Multi-energy System Integration and Control of Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110136, ChinaShenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang 110136, China; Key Laboratory of Regional Multi-energy System Integration and Control of Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110136, ChinaShenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang 110136, China; Key Laboratory of Regional Multi-energy System Integration and Control of Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110136, ChinaLiaoning Province Information Centre, Shenyang 110002, ChinaSo as to decrease those cacoethic impact of a huge amount of wind energy generation systems associated with the electric power system and improve the utilization rate and the budgetary profits of wind power era, this paper raises a neural network in view of CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN. Firstly, CEEMDAN is used to break down the wind velocity arrangement to decrease the sway of arbitrariness Furthermore variance about wind velocity. Secondly, the ultra-short-term wind power forecast depend upon LSTM and TCN is built to realize the real-time prediction for wind energy. Finally, the simulation results show that LSTM-TCN can deal with multi time order characteristics and predict ultra-short period wind energy with effect, which is better than LSTM and TCN. It also has a scientific reference for local power dispatching.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722018959Wind power generation systemWind powerRenewable energyUltra short-term wind power forecast
spellingShingle Chenjia Hu
Yan Zhao
He Jiang
Mingkun Jiang
Fucai You
Qian Liu
Prediction of ultra-short-term wind power based on CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN
Energy Reports
Wind power generation system
Wind power
Renewable energy
Ultra short-term wind power forecast
title Prediction of ultra-short-term wind power based on CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN
title_full Prediction of ultra-short-term wind power based on CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN
title_fullStr Prediction of ultra-short-term wind power based on CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of ultra-short-term wind power based on CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN
title_short Prediction of ultra-short-term wind power based on CEEMDAN-LSTM-TCN
title_sort prediction of ultra short term wind power based on ceemdan lstm tcn
topic Wind power generation system
Wind power
Renewable energy
Ultra short-term wind power forecast
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722018959
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AT hejiang predictionofultrashorttermwindpowerbasedonceemdanlstmtcn
AT mingkunjiang predictionofultrashorttermwindpowerbasedonceemdanlstmtcn
AT fucaiyou predictionofultrashorttermwindpowerbasedonceemdanlstmtcn
AT qianliu predictionofultrashorttermwindpowerbasedonceemdanlstmtcn