Tobacco smoke and all-cause mortality and premature death in China: a cohort study

Abstract Background Tobacco smoke is associated with several diseases, and identified as the second leading risk factor for death from any cause worldwide. The relationship of tobacco smoke to mortality or premature death is not yet available from contemporary cohorts after 2010 in China. This study...

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Main Authors: Liang Zhang, Yonghong Ma, Ke Men, Chao Li, Zhuo Zhang, Guoshuai Shi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-12-01
Series:BMC Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-17421-w
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author Liang Zhang
Yonghong Ma
Ke Men
Chao Li
Zhuo Zhang
Guoshuai Shi
author_facet Liang Zhang
Yonghong Ma
Ke Men
Chao Li
Zhuo Zhang
Guoshuai Shi
author_sort Liang Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Tobacco smoke is associated with several diseases, and identified as the second leading risk factor for death from any cause worldwide. The relationship of tobacco smoke to mortality or premature death is not yet available from contemporary cohorts after 2010 in China. This study aimed to investigate the smoking behavior and the relationship of tobacco smoke to mortality and premature death among a nationally representative cohort starting from 2011 in China. Methods The nationally representative datasets (China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, CHARLS, 2011–2012) was employed and linked with follow-up data (2013). CHARLS was an ongoing nationally representative survey, which longitudinally followed up subjects aged over 45 years. Smoking status (non-smoker, ex-smoker, smoker, pack-years of smoking, age at starting and ceasing smoking) was used as independent variable, and all-cause mortality, premature death (defined as mortality before age 72.7 years in men and 76.9 years in women) were used as dependent variables. The Cox’s proportional hazards regression mode was used to estimate the effect of tobacco smoke and pack-years of smoking on all-cause mortality and premature death. Results A total of 16,701 subjects were included. The association between tobacco smoker (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.37, 95%CI = 1.02, 1.83) / ex-smoker (HR = 1.75, 95%CI = 1.24, 2.46) and all-cause mortality was significant. Tobacco smoker (HR = 1.58, 95%CI = 1.04, 2.39) and ex-smoker (HR = 2.25, 95%CI = 1.38, 3.66) was associated with increase in the risk of premature death. Pack-years of smoking ≥ 30 was associated with increased risk of premature death compared with non-smokers in total (HR = 1.59, 95%CI = 1.03, 2.43) and women (HR = 3.38, 95%CI = 1.22, 9.38). Additionally, our results also revealed that there was a linear trend between pack-years of smoking and premature death in total (P = 0.002) and women (P = 0.010). Conclusion This study found a negative effect of smoking status on all-cause mortality and premature death among a contemporary and nationally representative data in China. The correlation between pack-years of smoking and premature death and the trend of pack-years of smoking with premature death was also identified.
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spelling doaj.art-fd4b1d39bb044afe9c38184413b9f70e2023-12-17T12:32:48ZengBMCBMC Public Health1471-24582023-12-012311710.1186/s12889-023-17421-wTobacco smoke and all-cause mortality and premature death in China: a cohort studyLiang Zhang0Yonghong Ma1Ke Men2Chao Li3Zhuo Zhang4Guoshuai Shi5Cardio-Aortic surgery center, AnHui Chest HospitalSchool of Public Health, Xi’an Medical CollegeSchool of Public Health, Xi’an Medical CollegeDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science CenterSchool of Health Services Management, Xi’an Medical CollegeSchool of Public Health, Xi’an Medical CollegeAbstract Background Tobacco smoke is associated with several diseases, and identified as the second leading risk factor for death from any cause worldwide. The relationship of tobacco smoke to mortality or premature death is not yet available from contemporary cohorts after 2010 in China. This study aimed to investigate the smoking behavior and the relationship of tobacco smoke to mortality and premature death among a nationally representative cohort starting from 2011 in China. Methods The nationally representative datasets (China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, CHARLS, 2011–2012) was employed and linked with follow-up data (2013). CHARLS was an ongoing nationally representative survey, which longitudinally followed up subjects aged over 45 years. Smoking status (non-smoker, ex-smoker, smoker, pack-years of smoking, age at starting and ceasing smoking) was used as independent variable, and all-cause mortality, premature death (defined as mortality before age 72.7 years in men and 76.9 years in women) were used as dependent variables. The Cox’s proportional hazards regression mode was used to estimate the effect of tobacco smoke and pack-years of smoking on all-cause mortality and premature death. Results A total of 16,701 subjects were included. The association between tobacco smoker (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.37, 95%CI = 1.02, 1.83) / ex-smoker (HR = 1.75, 95%CI = 1.24, 2.46) and all-cause mortality was significant. Tobacco smoker (HR = 1.58, 95%CI = 1.04, 2.39) and ex-smoker (HR = 2.25, 95%CI = 1.38, 3.66) was associated with increase in the risk of premature death. Pack-years of smoking ≥ 30 was associated with increased risk of premature death compared with non-smokers in total (HR = 1.59, 95%CI = 1.03, 2.43) and women (HR = 3.38, 95%CI = 1.22, 9.38). Additionally, our results also revealed that there was a linear trend between pack-years of smoking and premature death in total (P = 0.002) and women (P = 0.010). Conclusion This study found a negative effect of smoking status on all-cause mortality and premature death among a contemporary and nationally representative data in China. The correlation between pack-years of smoking and premature death and the trend of pack-years of smoking with premature death was also identified.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-17421-wTobacco smokeMortalityPremature deathCohort study
spellingShingle Liang Zhang
Yonghong Ma
Ke Men
Chao Li
Zhuo Zhang
Guoshuai Shi
Tobacco smoke and all-cause mortality and premature death in China: a cohort study
BMC Public Health
Tobacco smoke
Mortality
Premature death
Cohort study
title Tobacco smoke and all-cause mortality and premature death in China: a cohort study
title_full Tobacco smoke and all-cause mortality and premature death in China: a cohort study
title_fullStr Tobacco smoke and all-cause mortality and premature death in China: a cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Tobacco smoke and all-cause mortality and premature death in China: a cohort study
title_short Tobacco smoke and all-cause mortality and premature death in China: a cohort study
title_sort tobacco smoke and all cause mortality and premature death in china a cohort study
topic Tobacco smoke
Mortality
Premature death
Cohort study
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-17421-w
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