Predictive Value of National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score in Outcome of Patients With Poisoning

Background: Using different scores to predict the outcome of patients and determine the severity of their illness could be effective in making better clinical decisions and helping patients. The purpose of this study is to determine the predictive value of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and...

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Main Authors: Saeedehsadat Valiollahzadeh, Ali Ostadi, Farzad Rahmani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Shaheed Beheshti University of Medical Sciences 2022-11-01
Series:International Journal of Medical Toxicology and Forensic Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.sbmu.ac.ir/ijmtfm/article/view/38299
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author Saeedehsadat Valiollahzadeh
Ali Ostadi
Farzad Rahmani
author_facet Saeedehsadat Valiollahzadeh
Ali Ostadi
Farzad Rahmani
author_sort Saeedehsadat Valiollahzadeh
collection DOAJ
description Background: Using different scores to predict the outcome of patients and determine the severity of their illness could be effective in making better clinical decisions and helping patients. The purpose of this study is to determine the predictive value of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) of in-hospital mortality in patients with a suicide attempt. Methods: In a diagnostic study, we included 453 patients with suicide attempts in the poisoning unit and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) poisoning unit of Sina Hospital from December 2019 to September 2021. Patients’ vital signs and level of consciousness were recorded and then analyzed by statistical methods. Results: The mean±SD of patients’ age was 31.82±12.28 and the mortality rate was 7.7%. The median (25%-75%) of NEWS and MEWS in all patients was 4(2-7) and 2(1-3), respectively. Based on the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of NEWS, the Area Under The Curve (AUC) (CI95%), standard error, and cut off point were 0.915(0.876-0.995), 0.020, and 7.5 respectively (85% sensitivity and 81% specificity) (P˂0.001). The results of MEWS based on Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve were 0.87 (0.805-0.932), 0.033, and 3.5 respectively (74% sensitivity and 84% specificity) (P˂0.001). Conclusion: Based on our study results, we concluded that in hospitalized patients with suicide attempts, the accuracy of NEWS in predicting hospital mortality is higher than MEWS.
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spelling doaj.art-fd5ec04101c240ec843dde29fe58e2ec2022-12-22T04:17:23ZengShaheed Beheshti University of Medical SciencesInternational Journal of Medical Toxicology and Forensic Medicine2251-87622251-87702022-11-01124382993829910.32598/ijmtfm.v12i4.3829938299Predictive Value of National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score in Outcome of Patients With PoisoningSaeedehsadat ValiollahzadehAli Ostadihttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9868-0080Farzad Rahmanihttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5582-9156Background: Using different scores to predict the outcome of patients and determine the severity of their illness could be effective in making better clinical decisions and helping patients. The purpose of this study is to determine the predictive value of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) of in-hospital mortality in patients with a suicide attempt. Methods: In a diagnostic study, we included 453 patients with suicide attempts in the poisoning unit and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) poisoning unit of Sina Hospital from December 2019 to September 2021. Patients’ vital signs and level of consciousness were recorded and then analyzed by statistical methods. Results: The mean±SD of patients’ age was 31.82±12.28 and the mortality rate was 7.7%. The median (25%-75%) of NEWS and MEWS in all patients was 4(2-7) and 2(1-3), respectively. Based on the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of NEWS, the Area Under The Curve (AUC) (CI95%), standard error, and cut off point were 0.915(0.876-0.995), 0.020, and 7.5 respectively (85% sensitivity and 81% specificity) (P˂0.001). The results of MEWS based on Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve were 0.87 (0.805-0.932), 0.033, and 3.5 respectively (74% sensitivity and 84% specificity) (P˂0.001). Conclusion: Based on our study results, we concluded that in hospitalized patients with suicide attempts, the accuracy of NEWS in predicting hospital mortality is higher than MEWS.https://journals.sbmu.ac.ir/ijmtfm/article/view/38299outcomemortalitypoisoningsuicideemergency ward
spellingShingle Saeedehsadat Valiollahzadeh
Ali Ostadi
Farzad Rahmani
Predictive Value of National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score in Outcome of Patients With Poisoning
International Journal of Medical Toxicology and Forensic Medicine
outcome
mortality
poisoning
suicide
emergency ward
title Predictive Value of National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score in Outcome of Patients With Poisoning
title_full Predictive Value of National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score in Outcome of Patients With Poisoning
title_fullStr Predictive Value of National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score in Outcome of Patients With Poisoning
title_full_unstemmed Predictive Value of National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score in Outcome of Patients With Poisoning
title_short Predictive Value of National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score in Outcome of Patients With Poisoning
title_sort predictive value of national early warning score and modified early warning score in outcome of patients with poisoning
topic outcome
mortality
poisoning
suicide
emergency ward
url https://journals.sbmu.ac.ir/ijmtfm/article/view/38299
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AT aliostadi predictivevalueofnationalearlywarningscoreandmodifiedearlywarningscoreinoutcomeofpatientswithpoisoning
AT farzadrahmani predictivevalueofnationalearlywarningscoreandmodifiedearlywarningscoreinoutcomeofpatientswithpoisoning