Analysis of sensitivity of a company's financial sustainability to random factors

In this article the problem of influence of accidental changes of financial indicators of enterprise activity (equity, long-term/short-term borrowed capital, reserves and costs, etc.) caused by uncertainty of market conditions on values of indicators of financial stability is considered. The study i...

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Main Authors: Avlasenko Ilona, Avlasenko Lyudmila, Peshkhoev Isa, Podkolzin Yuri, Savelyeva Oksana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2020-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/70/e3sconf_itse2020_13002.pdf
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author Avlasenko Ilona
Avlasenko Lyudmila
Peshkhoev Isa
Podkolzin Yuri
Savelyeva Oksana
author_facet Avlasenko Ilona
Avlasenko Lyudmila
Peshkhoev Isa
Podkolzin Yuri
Savelyeva Oksana
author_sort Avlasenko Ilona
collection DOAJ
description In this article the problem of influence of accidental changes of financial indicators of enterprise activity (equity, long-term/short-term borrowed capital, reserves and costs, etc.) caused by uncertainty of market conditions on values of indicators of financial stability is considered. The study is conducted on the basis of the assumption that the studied financial indicators of the enterprise are random values with a normal law of distribution. To estimate the distribution parameters of these random values, statistical data on the values of the financial indicators of the enterprise for previous years are used. Following estimates of probabilities of financial stability levels were built: absolute stability, normal stability, unstable state and crisis financial state. With the help of statistical modeling, numerical experiments were conducted in order to determine the level of financial condition and conclusions were formulated on the impact on the financial condition of the enterprise of the parameters of the distribution of probabilities of random variables - indicators of the financial and economic activity of the enterprise.
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spelling doaj.art-fd610465140d4afab12235d41f23d8022022-12-21T19:04:09ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422020-01-012101300210.1051/e3sconf/202021013002e3sconf_itse2020_13002Analysis of sensitivity of a company's financial sustainability to random factorsAvlasenko Ilona0Avlasenko Lyudmila1Peshkhoev Isa2Podkolzin Yuri3Savelyeva Oksana4Don State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversityIn this article the problem of influence of accidental changes of financial indicators of enterprise activity (equity, long-term/short-term borrowed capital, reserves and costs, etc.) caused by uncertainty of market conditions on values of indicators of financial stability is considered. The study is conducted on the basis of the assumption that the studied financial indicators of the enterprise are random values with a normal law of distribution. To estimate the distribution parameters of these random values, statistical data on the values of the financial indicators of the enterprise for previous years are used. Following estimates of probabilities of financial stability levels were built: absolute stability, normal stability, unstable state and crisis financial state. With the help of statistical modeling, numerical experiments were conducted in order to determine the level of financial condition and conclusions were formulated on the impact on the financial condition of the enterprise of the parameters of the distribution of probabilities of random variables - indicators of the financial and economic activity of the enterprise.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/70/e3sconf_itse2020_13002.pdf
spellingShingle Avlasenko Ilona
Avlasenko Lyudmila
Peshkhoev Isa
Podkolzin Yuri
Savelyeva Oksana
Analysis of sensitivity of a company's financial sustainability to random factors
E3S Web of Conferences
title Analysis of sensitivity of a company's financial sustainability to random factors
title_full Analysis of sensitivity of a company's financial sustainability to random factors
title_fullStr Analysis of sensitivity of a company's financial sustainability to random factors
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of sensitivity of a company's financial sustainability to random factors
title_short Analysis of sensitivity of a company's financial sustainability to random factors
title_sort analysis of sensitivity of a company s financial sustainability to random factors
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/70/e3sconf_itse2020_13002.pdf
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