Research on the Life Prediction Method of Meters Based on a Nonlinear Wiener Process

Due to the high reliability of present meters, it is difficult to obtain the failure time of meters through accelerated life tests. Based on the failure data of the accelerated life test, this paper studies the mathematical model based on the Wiener process and establishes the degradation model of t...

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Main Authors: Jiayan Chen, Chaochun Zhong, Xiaoxiao Peng, Shaoyuan Zhou, Juan Zhou, Zhenyu Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-06-01
Series:Electronics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-9292/11/13/2026
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author Jiayan Chen
Chaochun Zhong
Xiaoxiao Peng
Shaoyuan Zhou
Juan Zhou
Zhenyu Zhang
author_facet Jiayan Chen
Chaochun Zhong
Xiaoxiao Peng
Shaoyuan Zhou
Juan Zhou
Zhenyu Zhang
author_sort Jiayan Chen
collection DOAJ
description Due to the high reliability of present meters, it is difficult to obtain the failure time of meters through accelerated life tests. Based on the failure data of the accelerated life test, this paper studies the mathematical model based on the Wiener process and establishes the degradation model of the instrument by the maximum likelihood to estimate the parameters of the Wiener model. With full consideration of the possible nonlinear effects in modeling, the time scale transformation method is used to study and obtain the reliability life prediction model of smart meters based on nonlinear data. Finally, the reliability life prediction model of meters is verified and evaluated through the example data of the accelerated life test of smart meters. Compared with the conventional method, this method has less error in calculating the reliability, greatly saves test time, and has a higher accuracy than estimating the lifetime model using the Wiener process directly.
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spelling doaj.art-fd8f83e25a424f30a0200ea6a60b4df32023-11-23T19:51:40ZengMDPI AGElectronics2079-92922022-06-011113202610.3390/electronics11132026Research on the Life Prediction Method of Meters Based on a Nonlinear Wiener ProcessJiayan Chen0Chaochun Zhong1Xiaoxiao Peng2Shaoyuan Zhou3Juan Zhou4Zhenyu Zhang5College of Quality & Safety Engineering, China Jiliang University, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaCollege of Quality & Safety Engineering, China Jiliang University, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaZhejiang Province Institute of Metrology, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaZhejiang Province Institute of Metrology, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaCollege of Quality & Safety Engineering, China Jiliang University, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaCollege of Quality & Safety Engineering, China Jiliang University, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaDue to the high reliability of present meters, it is difficult to obtain the failure time of meters through accelerated life tests. Based on the failure data of the accelerated life test, this paper studies the mathematical model based on the Wiener process and establishes the degradation model of the instrument by the maximum likelihood to estimate the parameters of the Wiener model. With full consideration of the possible nonlinear effects in modeling, the time scale transformation method is used to study and obtain the reliability life prediction model of smart meters based on nonlinear data. Finally, the reliability life prediction model of meters is verified and evaluated through the example data of the accelerated life test of smart meters. Compared with the conventional method, this method has less error in calculating the reliability, greatly saves test time, and has a higher accuracy than estimating the lifetime model using the Wiener process directly.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-9292/11/13/2026smart metermetrology errorWiener processlife prediction
spellingShingle Jiayan Chen
Chaochun Zhong
Xiaoxiao Peng
Shaoyuan Zhou
Juan Zhou
Zhenyu Zhang
Research on the Life Prediction Method of Meters Based on a Nonlinear Wiener Process
Electronics
smart meter
metrology error
Wiener process
life prediction
title Research on the Life Prediction Method of Meters Based on a Nonlinear Wiener Process
title_full Research on the Life Prediction Method of Meters Based on a Nonlinear Wiener Process
title_fullStr Research on the Life Prediction Method of Meters Based on a Nonlinear Wiener Process
title_full_unstemmed Research on the Life Prediction Method of Meters Based on a Nonlinear Wiener Process
title_short Research on the Life Prediction Method of Meters Based on a Nonlinear Wiener Process
title_sort research on the life prediction method of meters based on a nonlinear wiener process
topic smart meter
metrology error
Wiener process
life prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-9292/11/13/2026
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