Enhancing Genomic Prediction Models for Forecasting Days to Maturity in Soybean Genotypes Using Site-Specific and Cumulative Photoperiod Data

Genomic selection (GS) has revolutionized breeding strategies by predicting the rank performance of post-harvest traits via implementing genomic prediction (GP) models. However, predicting pre-harvest traits in unobserved environments might produce serious biases. In soybean, days to maturity (DTM)...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Reyna Persa, George L. Graef, James E. Specht, Esteban Rios, Charlie D. Messina, Diego Jarquin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-04-01
Series:Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/12/4/545
Description
Summary:Genomic selection (GS) has revolutionized breeding strategies by predicting the rank performance of post-harvest traits via implementing genomic prediction (GP) models. However, predicting pre-harvest traits in unobserved environments might produce serious biases. In soybean, days to maturity (DTM) represents a crucial stage with a significant impact on yield potential; thus, genotypes must be carefully selected to ensure latitudinal adaptation in this photoperiod-sensitive crop species. This research assessed the use of daylength for predicting DTM in unobserved environments (CV00). A soybean dataset comprising 367 genotypes spanning nine families of the Soybean Nested Association Mapping Panel (SoyNAM) and tested in 11 environments (year-by-location combinations) was considered in this study. The proposed method (CB) returned a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 5.2 days, a Pearson correlation (PC) of 0.66, and the predicted vs. observed difference in the environmental means (PODEM) ranged from −3.3 to 4.5 days; however, in the absence of daylength data, the conventional GP implementation produced an RMSE of 9 days, a PC of 0.66, and a PODEM range from −14.7 to 7.9 days. These results highlight the importance of dissecting phenotypic variability (G × E) based on photoperiod data and non-predictable environmental stimuli for improving the predictive ability and accuracy of DTM in soybeans.
ISSN:2077-0472