Electoral effects of intergovernmental fiscal transfers: An application to local elections in the province of Cordoba, 1995-2011
We examine the impact of decentralized public policy in the form of intergovernmental fiscal transfers on local election outcomes –the probability of reelection. We assemble a new and unique dataset recording every local executive election in the period 1995-2011 and examine the electoral effect of...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Universidad Nacional de Córdoba
2014-12-01
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| Series: | Revista de Economía y Estadística |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/14938 |
| _version_ | 1819274526700077056 |
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| author | Sebastián Freille Marcelo Capello |
| author_facet | Sebastián Freille Marcelo Capello |
| author_sort | Sebastián Freille |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
We examine the impact of decentralized public policy in the form of intergovernmental fiscal transfers on local election outcomes –the probability of reelection. We assemble a new and unique dataset recording every local executive election in the period 1995-2011 and examine the electoral effect of various types of intergovernmental fiscal transfers. We find that the odds of reelecting local incumbents are increasing in the incumbency dummies for both major parties. Local governments which receive a positive discretionary transfer from the provincial government have also associated higher odds of being reelected. The probability of reelection is also increasing in the difference in the vote share between the winner and the runner-up in the previous election. Finally, we find evidence that the amount of discretionary transfers per capita affect positively the probability of reelection only in those governments aligned with the provincial government. Our results are robust to controlling for other potential explanatory variables.
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| first_indexed | 2024-12-23T23:09:50Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-fe120a18444448c6a3f4cc1026fb8957 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0034-8066 2451-7321 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-23T23:09:50Z |
| publishDate | 2014-12-01 |
| publisher | Universidad Nacional de Córdoba |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Revista de Economía y Estadística |
| spelling | doaj.art-fe120a18444448c6a3f4cc1026fb89572022-12-21T17:26:41ZengUniversidad Nacional de CórdobaRevista de Economía y Estadística0034-80662451-73212014-12-01521Electoral effects of intergovernmental fiscal transfers: An application to local elections in the province of Cordoba, 1995-2011Sebastián Freille0Marcelo Capello1Universidad Católica de Córdoba, Unidad Asociada al Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas ( Córdoba, Argentina)Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas (Córdoba, Argentina). IERAL de Fundación Mediterránea (Córdoba, Argentina) We examine the impact of decentralized public policy in the form of intergovernmental fiscal transfers on local election outcomes –the probability of reelection. We assemble a new and unique dataset recording every local executive election in the period 1995-2011 and examine the electoral effect of various types of intergovernmental fiscal transfers. We find that the odds of reelecting local incumbents are increasing in the incumbency dummies for both major parties. Local governments which receive a positive discretionary transfer from the provincial government have also associated higher odds of being reelected. The probability of reelection is also increasing in the difference in the vote share between the winner and the runner-up in the previous election. Finally, we find evidence that the amount of discretionary transfers per capita affect positively the probability of reelection only in those governments aligned with the provincial government. Our results are robust to controlling for other potential explanatory variables. https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/14938reelectiontransfersfiscal policylocal governments |
| spellingShingle | Sebastián Freille Marcelo Capello Electoral effects of intergovernmental fiscal transfers: An application to local elections in the province of Cordoba, 1995-2011 Revista de Economía y Estadística reelection transfers fiscal policy local governments |
| title | Electoral effects of intergovernmental fiscal transfers: An application to local elections in the province of Cordoba, 1995-2011 |
| title_full | Electoral effects of intergovernmental fiscal transfers: An application to local elections in the province of Cordoba, 1995-2011 |
| title_fullStr | Electoral effects of intergovernmental fiscal transfers: An application to local elections in the province of Cordoba, 1995-2011 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Electoral effects of intergovernmental fiscal transfers: An application to local elections in the province of Cordoba, 1995-2011 |
| title_short | Electoral effects of intergovernmental fiscal transfers: An application to local elections in the province of Cordoba, 1995-2011 |
| title_sort | electoral effects of intergovernmental fiscal transfers an application to local elections in the province of cordoba 1995 2011 |
| topic | reelection transfers fiscal policy local governments |
| url | https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/14938 |
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