The effects of free trade agreements on the stock market: Evidence from Vietnam.

This study examines the effects of news events related to the European Union-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA) on the Vietnam stock market from 2010 to 2020. We calculate sectoral abnormal returns prior to, during, and after announcements and find that the Vietnamese stock market is susceptible t...

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Main Authors: Huy Pham, Priyantha Mudalige, Hanh Le, Mai Bui, Van Nguyen, Vikash Ramiah, Tuan Chu, Tuan Hung Vu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2024-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0294456&type=printable
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author Huy Pham
Priyantha Mudalige
Hanh Le
Mai Bui
Van Nguyen
Vikash Ramiah
Tuan Chu
Tuan Hung Vu
author_facet Huy Pham
Priyantha Mudalige
Hanh Le
Mai Bui
Van Nguyen
Vikash Ramiah
Tuan Chu
Tuan Hung Vu
author_sort Huy Pham
collection DOAJ
description This study examines the effects of news events related to the European Union-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA) on the Vietnam stock market from 2010 to 2020. We calculate sectoral abnormal returns prior to, during, and after announcements and find that the Vietnamese stock market is susceptible to these events. We discovered that the announcement had a negative impact on the market, which might diminish the effectiveness of the Agreement. The findings show that more than half of Vietnam's sectors had an immediate reaction to EVFTA announcements, with fourteen reacting negatively and six responding positively. Two of the ten events did not have any immediate impact on these industries but all events resulted in either early or delayed reactions. We also find market scepticism and major changes in the deal led to the emergence of a diamond risk structure. We run multiple robustness tests to account for market integration and other factors that may affect stock returns. In addition, we explore potential sectoral systematic risk changes following these occurrences using different ARCH-type models. These additional tests confirm the robustness of our findings.
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spelling doaj.art-fe16bc5c916d4a8fa79d847d000bc5542024-03-11T05:32:19ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-01192e029445610.1371/journal.pone.0294456The effects of free trade agreements on the stock market: Evidence from Vietnam.Huy PhamPriyantha MudaligeHanh LeMai BuiVan NguyenVikash RamiahTuan ChuTuan Hung VuThis study examines the effects of news events related to the European Union-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA) on the Vietnam stock market from 2010 to 2020. We calculate sectoral abnormal returns prior to, during, and after announcements and find that the Vietnamese stock market is susceptible to these events. We discovered that the announcement had a negative impact on the market, which might diminish the effectiveness of the Agreement. The findings show that more than half of Vietnam's sectors had an immediate reaction to EVFTA announcements, with fourteen reacting negatively and six responding positively. Two of the ten events did not have any immediate impact on these industries but all events resulted in either early or delayed reactions. We also find market scepticism and major changes in the deal led to the emergence of a diamond risk structure. We run multiple robustness tests to account for market integration and other factors that may affect stock returns. In addition, we explore potential sectoral systematic risk changes following these occurrences using different ARCH-type models. These additional tests confirm the robustness of our findings.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0294456&type=printable
spellingShingle Huy Pham
Priyantha Mudalige
Hanh Le
Mai Bui
Van Nguyen
Vikash Ramiah
Tuan Chu
Tuan Hung Vu
The effects of free trade agreements on the stock market: Evidence from Vietnam.
PLoS ONE
title The effects of free trade agreements on the stock market: Evidence from Vietnam.
title_full The effects of free trade agreements on the stock market: Evidence from Vietnam.
title_fullStr The effects of free trade agreements on the stock market: Evidence from Vietnam.
title_full_unstemmed The effects of free trade agreements on the stock market: Evidence from Vietnam.
title_short The effects of free trade agreements on the stock market: Evidence from Vietnam.
title_sort effects of free trade agreements on the stock market evidence from vietnam
url https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0294456&type=printable
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