Algorithmic hospital catchment area estimation using label propagation

Abstract Background Hospital catchment areas define the primary population of a hospital and are central to assessing the potential demand on that hospital, for example, due to infectious disease outbreaks. Methods We present a novel algorithm, based on label propagation, for estimating hospital cat...

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Main Authors: Robert J. Challen, Gareth J. Griffith, Lucas Lacasa, Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-06-01
Series:BMC Health Services Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-022-08127-7
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author Robert J. Challen
Gareth J. Griffith
Lucas Lacasa
Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova
author_facet Robert J. Challen
Gareth J. Griffith
Lucas Lacasa
Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova
author_sort Robert J. Challen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Hospital catchment areas define the primary population of a hospital and are central to assessing the potential demand on that hospital, for example, due to infectious disease outbreaks. Methods We present a novel algorithm, based on label propagation, for estimating hospital catchment areas, from the capacity of the hospital and demographics of the nearby population, and without requiring any data on hospital activity. Results The algorithm is demonstrated to produce a mapping from fine grained geographic regions to larger scale catchment areas, providing contiguous and realistic subdivisions of geographies relating to a single hospital or to a group of hospitals. In validation against an alternative approach predicated on activity data gathered during the COVID-19 outbreak in the UK, the label propagation algorithm is found to have a high level of agreement and perform at a similar level of accuracy. Results The algorithm can be used to make estimates of hospital catchment areas in new situations where activity data is not yet available, such as in the early stages of a infections disease outbreak.
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spelling doaj.art-fe2883514d2c48f5a2722f0bff2a4dcf2022-12-22T02:27:56ZengBMCBMC Health Services Research1472-69632022-06-0122111210.1186/s12913-022-08127-7Algorithmic hospital catchment area estimation using label propagationRobert J. Challen0Gareth J. Griffith1Lucas Lacasa2Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova3Hub for Quantitative Modelling in Healthcare, University of ExeterBristol Medical School, Population Health Sciences, University of BristolSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary University of LondonHub for Quantitative Modelling in Healthcare, University of ExeterAbstract Background Hospital catchment areas define the primary population of a hospital and are central to assessing the potential demand on that hospital, for example, due to infectious disease outbreaks. Methods We present a novel algorithm, based on label propagation, for estimating hospital catchment areas, from the capacity of the hospital and demographics of the nearby population, and without requiring any data on hospital activity. Results The algorithm is demonstrated to produce a mapping from fine grained geographic regions to larger scale catchment areas, providing contiguous and realistic subdivisions of geographies relating to a single hospital or to a group of hospitals. In validation against an alternative approach predicated on activity data gathered during the COVID-19 outbreak in the UK, the label propagation algorithm is found to have a high level of agreement and perform at a similar level of accuracy. Results The algorithm can be used to make estimates of hospital catchment areas in new situations where activity data is not yet available, such as in the early stages of a infections disease outbreak.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-022-08127-7Catchment areaCovid-19
spellingShingle Robert J. Challen
Gareth J. Griffith
Lucas Lacasa
Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova
Algorithmic hospital catchment area estimation using label propagation
BMC Health Services Research
Catchment area
Covid-19
title Algorithmic hospital catchment area estimation using label propagation
title_full Algorithmic hospital catchment area estimation using label propagation
title_fullStr Algorithmic hospital catchment area estimation using label propagation
title_full_unstemmed Algorithmic hospital catchment area estimation using label propagation
title_short Algorithmic hospital catchment area estimation using label propagation
title_sort algorithmic hospital catchment area estimation using label propagation
topic Catchment area
Covid-19
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-022-08127-7
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