Climate Change Impacts on Sugarcane Production in Thailand
This study investigated the impact of climate change on yield, harvested area, and production of sugarcane in Thailand using spatial regression together with an instrumental variable approach to address the possible selection bias. The data were comprised of new fine-scale weather outcomes merged to...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2020-04-01
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| Series: | Atmosphere |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11/4/408 |
| _version_ | 1797570221212434432 |
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| author | Siwabhorn Pipitpukdee Witsanu Attavanich Somskaow Bejranonda |
| author_facet | Siwabhorn Pipitpukdee Witsanu Attavanich Somskaow Bejranonda |
| author_sort | Siwabhorn Pipitpukdee |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study investigated the impact of climate change on yield, harvested area, and production of sugarcane in Thailand using spatial regression together with an instrumental variable approach to address the possible selection bias. The data were comprised of new fine-scale weather outcomes merged together with a provincial-level panel of crops that spanned all provinces in Thailand from 1989–2016. We found that in general climate variables, both mean and variability, statistically determined the yield and harvested area of sugarcane. Increased population density reduced the harvested area for non-agricultural use. Considering simultaneous changes in climate and demand of land for non-agricultural development, we reveal that the future sugarcane yield, harvested area, and production are projected to decrease by 23.95–33.26%, 1.29–2.49%, and 24.94–34.93% during 2046–2055 from the baseline, respectively. Sugarcane production is projected to have the largest drop in the eastern and lower section of the central regions. Given the role of Thailand as a global exporter of sugar and the importance of sugarcane production in Thai agriculture, the projected declines in the production could adversely affect the well-being of one million sugarcane growers and the stability of sugar price in the world market. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T20:22:49Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-fe321a14609b4127af8ae75c4c97150b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2073-4433 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T20:22:49Z |
| publishDate | 2020-04-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Atmosphere |
| spelling | doaj.art-fe321a14609b4127af8ae75c4c97150b2023-11-19T22:06:17ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332020-04-0111440810.3390/atmos11040408Climate Change Impacts on Sugarcane Production in ThailandSiwabhorn Pipitpukdee0Witsanu Attavanich1Somskaow Bejranonda2Department of Economics, Kasetsart University, 50 Phahonyothin Rd., Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900, ThailandDepartment of Economics, Kasetsart University, 50 Phahonyothin Rd., Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900, ThailandDepartment of Economics, Kasetsart University, 50 Phahonyothin Rd., Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900, ThailandThis study investigated the impact of climate change on yield, harvested area, and production of sugarcane in Thailand using spatial regression together with an instrumental variable approach to address the possible selection bias. The data were comprised of new fine-scale weather outcomes merged together with a provincial-level panel of crops that spanned all provinces in Thailand from 1989–2016. We found that in general climate variables, both mean and variability, statistically determined the yield and harvested area of sugarcane. Increased population density reduced the harvested area for non-agricultural use. Considering simultaneous changes in climate and demand of land for non-agricultural development, we reveal that the future sugarcane yield, harvested area, and production are projected to decrease by 23.95–33.26%, 1.29–2.49%, and 24.94–34.93% during 2046–2055 from the baseline, respectively. Sugarcane production is projected to have the largest drop in the eastern and lower section of the central regions. Given the role of Thailand as a global exporter of sugar and the importance of sugarcane production in Thai agriculture, the projected declines in the production could adversely affect the well-being of one million sugarcane growers and the stability of sugar price in the world market.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11/4/408climate change impactssugarcaneyieldharvested areaproductionThai agriculture |
| spellingShingle | Siwabhorn Pipitpukdee Witsanu Attavanich Somskaow Bejranonda Climate Change Impacts on Sugarcane Production in Thailand Atmosphere climate change impacts sugarcane yield harvested area production Thai agriculture |
| title | Climate Change Impacts on Sugarcane Production in Thailand |
| title_full | Climate Change Impacts on Sugarcane Production in Thailand |
| title_fullStr | Climate Change Impacts on Sugarcane Production in Thailand |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate Change Impacts on Sugarcane Production in Thailand |
| title_short | Climate Change Impacts on Sugarcane Production in Thailand |
| title_sort | climate change impacts on sugarcane production in thailand |
| topic | climate change impacts sugarcane yield harvested area production Thai agriculture |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11/4/408 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT siwabhornpipitpukdee climatechangeimpactsonsugarcaneproductioninthailand AT witsanuattavanich climatechangeimpactsonsugarcaneproductioninthailand AT somskaowbejranonda climatechangeimpactsonsugarcaneproductioninthailand |