Lessons from movement ecology for the return to work: Modeling contacts and the spread of COVID-19.

Human behavior (movement, social contacts) plays a central role in the spread of pathogens like SARS-CoV-2. The rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 was driven by global human movement, and initial lockdown measures aimed to localize movement and contact in order to slow spread. Thus, movement and contact pat...

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Main Authors: Allison K Shaw, Lauren A White, Matthew Michalska-Smith, Elizabeth T Borer, Meggan E Craft, Eric W Seabloom, Emilie C Snell-Rood, Michael Travisano
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0242955
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author Allison K Shaw
Lauren A White
Matthew Michalska-Smith
Elizabeth T Borer
Meggan E Craft
Eric W Seabloom
Emilie C Snell-Rood
Michael Travisano
author_facet Allison K Shaw
Lauren A White
Matthew Michalska-Smith
Elizabeth T Borer
Meggan E Craft
Eric W Seabloom
Emilie C Snell-Rood
Michael Travisano
author_sort Allison K Shaw
collection DOAJ
description Human behavior (movement, social contacts) plays a central role in the spread of pathogens like SARS-CoV-2. The rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 was driven by global human movement, and initial lockdown measures aimed to localize movement and contact in order to slow spread. Thus, movement and contact patterns need to be explicitly considered when making reopening decisions, especially regarding return to work. Here, as a case study, we consider the initial stages of resuming research at a large research university, using approaches from movement ecology and contact network epidemiology. First, we develop a dynamical pathogen model describing movement between home and work; we show that limiting social contact, via reduced people or reduced time in the workplace are fairly equivalent strategies to slow pathogen spread. Second, we develop a model based on spatial contact patterns within a specific office and lab building on campus; we show that restricting on-campus activities to labs (rather than labs and offices) could dramatically alter (modularize) contact network structure and thus, potentially reduce pathogen spread by providing a workplace mechanism to reduce contact. Here we argue that explicitly accounting for human movement and contact behavior in the workplace can provide additional strategies to slow pathogen spread that can be used in conjunction with ongoing public health efforts.
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spelling doaj.art-fe3fbd3de48a4543818ea5c176479dbb2022-12-21T21:30:50ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032021-01-01161e024295510.1371/journal.pone.0242955Lessons from movement ecology for the return to work: Modeling contacts and the spread of COVID-19.Allison K ShawLauren A WhiteMatthew Michalska-SmithElizabeth T BorerMeggan E CraftEric W SeabloomEmilie C Snell-RoodMichael TravisanoHuman behavior (movement, social contacts) plays a central role in the spread of pathogens like SARS-CoV-2. The rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 was driven by global human movement, and initial lockdown measures aimed to localize movement and contact in order to slow spread. Thus, movement and contact patterns need to be explicitly considered when making reopening decisions, especially regarding return to work. Here, as a case study, we consider the initial stages of resuming research at a large research university, using approaches from movement ecology and contact network epidemiology. First, we develop a dynamical pathogen model describing movement between home and work; we show that limiting social contact, via reduced people or reduced time in the workplace are fairly equivalent strategies to slow pathogen spread. Second, we develop a model based on spatial contact patterns within a specific office and lab building on campus; we show that restricting on-campus activities to labs (rather than labs and offices) could dramatically alter (modularize) contact network structure and thus, potentially reduce pathogen spread by providing a workplace mechanism to reduce contact. Here we argue that explicitly accounting for human movement and contact behavior in the workplace can provide additional strategies to slow pathogen spread that can be used in conjunction with ongoing public health efforts.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0242955
spellingShingle Allison K Shaw
Lauren A White
Matthew Michalska-Smith
Elizabeth T Borer
Meggan E Craft
Eric W Seabloom
Emilie C Snell-Rood
Michael Travisano
Lessons from movement ecology for the return to work: Modeling contacts and the spread of COVID-19.
PLoS ONE
title Lessons from movement ecology for the return to work: Modeling contacts and the spread of COVID-19.
title_full Lessons from movement ecology for the return to work: Modeling contacts and the spread of COVID-19.
title_fullStr Lessons from movement ecology for the return to work: Modeling contacts and the spread of COVID-19.
title_full_unstemmed Lessons from movement ecology for the return to work: Modeling contacts and the spread of COVID-19.
title_short Lessons from movement ecology for the return to work: Modeling contacts and the spread of COVID-19.
title_sort lessons from movement ecology for the return to work modeling contacts and the spread of covid 19
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0242955
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