Improving polygenic risk prediction in admixed populations by explicitly modeling ancestral-differential effects via GAUDI

Abstract Polygenic risk scores (PRS) have shown successes in clinics, but most PRS methods focus only on participants with distinct primary continental ancestry without accommodating recently-admixed individuals with mosaic continental ancestry backgrounds for different segments of their genomes. He...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Quan Sun, Bryce T. Rowland, Jiawen Chen, Anna V. Mikhaylova, Christy Avery, Ulrike Peters, Jessica Lundin, Tara Matise, Steve Buyske, Ran Tao, Rasika A. Mathias, Alexander P. Reiner, Paul L. Auer, Nancy J. Cox, Charles Kooperberg, Timothy A. Thornton, Laura M. Raffield, Yun Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-02-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-45135-z
_version_ 1797273927112720384
author Quan Sun
Bryce T. Rowland
Jiawen Chen
Anna V. Mikhaylova
Christy Avery
Ulrike Peters
Jessica Lundin
Tara Matise
Steve Buyske
Ran Tao
Rasika A. Mathias
Alexander P. Reiner
Paul L. Auer
Nancy J. Cox
Charles Kooperberg
Timothy A. Thornton
Laura M. Raffield
Yun Li
author_facet Quan Sun
Bryce T. Rowland
Jiawen Chen
Anna V. Mikhaylova
Christy Avery
Ulrike Peters
Jessica Lundin
Tara Matise
Steve Buyske
Ran Tao
Rasika A. Mathias
Alexander P. Reiner
Paul L. Auer
Nancy J. Cox
Charles Kooperberg
Timothy A. Thornton
Laura M. Raffield
Yun Li
author_sort Quan Sun
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Polygenic risk scores (PRS) have shown successes in clinics, but most PRS methods focus only on participants with distinct primary continental ancestry without accommodating recently-admixed individuals with mosaic continental ancestry backgrounds for different segments of their genomes. Here, we develop GAUDI, a novel penalized-regression-based method specifically designed for admixed individuals. GAUDI explicitly models ancestry-differential effects while borrowing information across segments with shared ancestry in admixed genomes. We demonstrate marked advantages of GAUDI over other methods through comprehensive simulation and real data analyses for traits with associated variants exhibiting ancestral-differential effects. Leveraging data from the Women’s Health Initiative study, we show that GAUDI improves PRS prediction of white blood cell count and C-reactive protein in African Americans by > 64% compared to alternative methods, and even outperforms PRS-CSx with large European GWAS for some scenarios. We believe GAUDI will be a valuable tool to mitigate disparities in PRS performance in admixed individuals.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T14:51:07Z
format Article
id doaj.art-fe84353ad55c46c3a18b767c25d45ba3
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2041-1723
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T14:51:07Z
publishDate 2024-02-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Nature Communications
spelling doaj.art-fe84353ad55c46c3a18b767c25d45ba32024-03-05T19:42:49ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232024-02-0115111410.1038/s41467-024-45135-zImproving polygenic risk prediction in admixed populations by explicitly modeling ancestral-differential effects via GAUDIQuan Sun0Bryce T. Rowland1Jiawen Chen2Anna V. Mikhaylova3Christy Avery4Ulrike Peters5Jessica Lundin6Tara Matise7Steve Buyske8Ran Tao9Rasika A. Mathias10Alexander P. Reiner11Paul L. Auer12Nancy J. Cox13Charles Kooperberg14Timothy A. Thornton15Laura M. Raffield16Yun Li17Department of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel HillDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel HillDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel HillDepartment of Biostatistics, University of WashingtonDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel HillDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer CenterDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer CenterDepartment of Genetics, Rutgers UniversityDepartment of Statistics, Rutgers UniversityVanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical CenterDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology, University of WashingtonDivision of Biostatistics, Institute for Health and Equity, and Cancer Center, Medical College of WisconsinVanderbilt Genetics Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical CenterDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer CenterDepartment of Biostatistics, University of WashingtonDepartment of Genetics, University of North Carolina at Chapel HillDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel HillAbstract Polygenic risk scores (PRS) have shown successes in clinics, but most PRS methods focus only on participants with distinct primary continental ancestry without accommodating recently-admixed individuals with mosaic continental ancestry backgrounds for different segments of their genomes. Here, we develop GAUDI, a novel penalized-regression-based method specifically designed for admixed individuals. GAUDI explicitly models ancestry-differential effects while borrowing information across segments with shared ancestry in admixed genomes. We demonstrate marked advantages of GAUDI over other methods through comprehensive simulation and real data analyses for traits with associated variants exhibiting ancestral-differential effects. Leveraging data from the Women’s Health Initiative study, we show that GAUDI improves PRS prediction of white blood cell count and C-reactive protein in African Americans by > 64% compared to alternative methods, and even outperforms PRS-CSx with large European GWAS for some scenarios. We believe GAUDI will be a valuable tool to mitigate disparities in PRS performance in admixed individuals.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-45135-z
spellingShingle Quan Sun
Bryce T. Rowland
Jiawen Chen
Anna V. Mikhaylova
Christy Avery
Ulrike Peters
Jessica Lundin
Tara Matise
Steve Buyske
Ran Tao
Rasika A. Mathias
Alexander P. Reiner
Paul L. Auer
Nancy J. Cox
Charles Kooperberg
Timothy A. Thornton
Laura M. Raffield
Yun Li
Improving polygenic risk prediction in admixed populations by explicitly modeling ancestral-differential effects via GAUDI
Nature Communications
title Improving polygenic risk prediction in admixed populations by explicitly modeling ancestral-differential effects via GAUDI
title_full Improving polygenic risk prediction in admixed populations by explicitly modeling ancestral-differential effects via GAUDI
title_fullStr Improving polygenic risk prediction in admixed populations by explicitly modeling ancestral-differential effects via GAUDI
title_full_unstemmed Improving polygenic risk prediction in admixed populations by explicitly modeling ancestral-differential effects via GAUDI
title_short Improving polygenic risk prediction in admixed populations by explicitly modeling ancestral-differential effects via GAUDI
title_sort improving polygenic risk prediction in admixed populations by explicitly modeling ancestral differential effects via gaudi
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-45135-z
work_keys_str_mv AT quansun improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT brycetrowland improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT jiawenchen improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT annavmikhaylova improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT christyavery improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT ulrikepeters improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT jessicalundin improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT taramatise improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT stevebuyske improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT rantao improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT rasikaamathias improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT alexanderpreiner improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT paullauer improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT nancyjcox improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT charleskooperberg improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT timothyathornton improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT lauramraffield improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi
AT yunli improvingpolygenicriskpredictioninadmixedpopulationsbyexplicitlymodelingancestraldifferentialeffectsviagaudi