Learning Assurance Analysis for Further Certification Process of Machine Learning Techniques: Case-Study Air Traffic Conflict Detection Predictor

Designing and developing artificial intelligence (AI)-based systems that can be trusted justifiably is one of the main issues aviation must face in the coming years. European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has developed a user guide that could be potentially transformed as means of compliance f...

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Main Authors: Javier A. Pérez-Castán, Luis Pérez Sanz, Marta Fernández-Castellano, Tomislav Radišić, Kristina Samardžić, Ivan Tukarić
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/22/19/7680
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author Javier A. Pérez-Castán
Luis Pérez Sanz
Marta Fernández-Castellano
Tomislav Radišić
Kristina Samardžić
Ivan Tukarić
author_facet Javier A. Pérez-Castán
Luis Pérez Sanz
Marta Fernández-Castellano
Tomislav Radišić
Kristina Samardžić
Ivan Tukarić
author_sort Javier A. Pérez-Castán
collection DOAJ
description Designing and developing artificial intelligence (AI)-based systems that can be trusted justifiably is one of the main issues aviation must face in the coming years. European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has developed a user guide that could be potentially transformed as means of compliance for future AI-based regulation. Designers and developers must understand how the learning assurance process of any machine learning (ML) model impacts trust. ML is a narrow branch of AI that uses statistical models to perform predictions. This work deals with the learning assurance process for ML-based systems in the field of air traffic control. A conflict detection tool has been developed to identify separation infringements among aircraft pairs, and the ML algorithm used for classification and regression was extreme gradient boosting. This paper analyses the validity and adaptability of EASA W-shaped methodology for ML-based systems. The results have identified the lack of the EASA W-shaped methodology in time-dependent analysis, by showing how time can impact ML algorithms designed in the case where no time requirements are considered. Another meaningful conclusion is, for systems that depend highly on when the prediction is made, classification and regression metrics cannot be one-size-fits-all because they vary over time.
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spelling doaj.art-fe88aa3394384d7db102da76b2dc8ed32023-11-23T21:53:05ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202022-10-012219768010.3390/s22197680Learning Assurance Analysis for Further Certification Process of Machine Learning Techniques: Case-Study Air Traffic Conflict Detection PredictorJavier A. Pérez-Castán0Luis Pérez Sanz1Marta Fernández-Castellano2Tomislav Radišić3Kristina Samardžić4Ivan Tukarić5ETSI Aeronáutica y del Espacio, Plaza Cardenal Cisneros, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, 28008 Madrid, SpainETSI Aeronáutica y del Espacio, Plaza Cardenal Cisneros, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, 28008 Madrid, SpainETSI Aeronáutica y del Espacio, Plaza Cardenal Cisneros, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, 28008 Madrid, SpainFaculty of Transport and Traffic Sciences, University of Zagreb, Borongajska Cesta, 10000 Zagreb, CroatiaFaculty of Transport and Traffic Sciences, University of Zagreb, Borongajska Cesta, 10000 Zagreb, CroatiaFaculty of Transport and Traffic Sciences, University of Zagreb, Borongajska Cesta, 10000 Zagreb, CroatiaDesigning and developing artificial intelligence (AI)-based systems that can be trusted justifiably is one of the main issues aviation must face in the coming years. European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has developed a user guide that could be potentially transformed as means of compliance for future AI-based regulation. Designers and developers must understand how the learning assurance process of any machine learning (ML) model impacts trust. ML is a narrow branch of AI that uses statistical models to perform predictions. This work deals with the learning assurance process for ML-based systems in the field of air traffic control. A conflict detection tool has been developed to identify separation infringements among aircraft pairs, and the ML algorithm used for classification and regression was extreme gradient boosting. This paper analyses the validity and adaptability of EASA W-shaped methodology for ML-based systems. The results have identified the lack of the EASA W-shaped methodology in time-dependent analysis, by showing how time can impact ML algorithms designed in the case where no time requirements are considered. Another meaningful conclusion is, for systems that depend highly on when the prediction is made, classification and regression metrics cannot be one-size-fits-all because they vary over time.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/22/19/7680air transportconflict detectionmachine learninglearning assurancetrustworthiness
spellingShingle Javier A. Pérez-Castán
Luis Pérez Sanz
Marta Fernández-Castellano
Tomislav Radišić
Kristina Samardžić
Ivan Tukarić
Learning Assurance Analysis for Further Certification Process of Machine Learning Techniques: Case-Study Air Traffic Conflict Detection Predictor
Sensors
air transport
conflict detection
machine learning
learning assurance
trustworthiness
title Learning Assurance Analysis for Further Certification Process of Machine Learning Techniques: Case-Study Air Traffic Conflict Detection Predictor
title_full Learning Assurance Analysis for Further Certification Process of Machine Learning Techniques: Case-Study Air Traffic Conflict Detection Predictor
title_fullStr Learning Assurance Analysis for Further Certification Process of Machine Learning Techniques: Case-Study Air Traffic Conflict Detection Predictor
title_full_unstemmed Learning Assurance Analysis for Further Certification Process of Machine Learning Techniques: Case-Study Air Traffic Conflict Detection Predictor
title_short Learning Assurance Analysis for Further Certification Process of Machine Learning Techniques: Case-Study Air Traffic Conflict Detection Predictor
title_sort learning assurance analysis for further certification process of machine learning techniques case study air traffic conflict detection predictor
topic air transport
conflict detection
machine learning
learning assurance
trustworthiness
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/22/19/7680
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