Hospital capacities and response to COVID-19 pandemic surges in Iran: A quantitative model-based study

The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in serious limitations for healthcare systems, and this study aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19 surges on in-patient care capacities in Iran employing the Adaptt tool. Using a cross-sectional study design, our study was carried out in the y...

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Main Authors: Sedighe Hosseini-Jebeli, Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi, Babak Eshrati, Ali Mehrabi, Mahshid Roohravan Benis, Marzieh Nojomi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications 2024-01-01
Series:Journal of Education and Health Promotion
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.jehp.net/article.asp?issn=2277-9531;year=2024;volume=13;issue=1;spage=75;epage=75;aulast=Hosseini-Jebeli
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author Sedighe Hosseini-Jebeli
Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi
Babak Eshrati
Ali Mehrabi
Mahshid Roohravan Benis
Marzieh Nojomi
author_facet Sedighe Hosseini-Jebeli
Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi
Babak Eshrati
Ali Mehrabi
Mahshid Roohravan Benis
Marzieh Nojomi
author_sort Sedighe Hosseini-Jebeli
collection DOAJ
description The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in serious limitations for healthcare systems, and this study aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19 surges on in-patient care capacities in Iran employing the Adaptt tool. Using a cross-sectional study design, our study was carried out in the year 2022 using 1-year epidemiologic (polymerase chain reaction-positive COVID-19 cases) and hospital capacity (beds and human resource) data from the official declaration of the pandemic in Iran in February 2020. We populated several scenarios, and in each scenario, a proportion of hospital capacity is assumed to be allocated to the COVID-19 patients. In most of the scenarios, no significant shortage was found in terms of bed and human resources. However, considering the need for treatment of non- COVID-19 cases, in one of the scenarios, it can be observed that during the peak period, the number of required and available specialists is exactly equal, which was a challenge during surge periods and resulted in extra hours of working and workforce burnout in hospitals. The shortage of intensive care unit beds and doctors specializing in internal medicine, infectious diseases, and anesthesiology also requires more attention for planning during the peak days of COVID-19.
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spelling doaj.art-fe9d6c0572844f72ad3551cdd546540e2024-03-25T11:15:09ZengWolters Kluwer Medknow PublicationsJournal of Education and Health Promotion2277-95312024-01-01131757510.4103/jehp.jehp_956_23Hospital capacities and response to COVID-19 pandemic surges in Iran: A quantitative model-based studySedighe Hosseini-JebeliArash Tehrani-BanihashemiBabak EshratiAli MehrabiMahshid Roohravan BenisMarzieh NojomiThe coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in serious limitations for healthcare systems, and this study aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19 surges on in-patient care capacities in Iran employing the Adaptt tool. Using a cross-sectional study design, our study was carried out in the year 2022 using 1-year epidemiologic (polymerase chain reaction-positive COVID-19 cases) and hospital capacity (beds and human resource) data from the official declaration of the pandemic in Iran in February 2020. We populated several scenarios, and in each scenario, a proportion of hospital capacity is assumed to be allocated to the COVID-19 patients. In most of the scenarios, no significant shortage was found in terms of bed and human resources. However, considering the need for treatment of non- COVID-19 cases, in one of the scenarios, it can be observed that during the peak period, the number of required and available specialists is exactly equal, which was a challenge during surge periods and resulted in extra hours of working and workforce burnout in hospitals. The shortage of intensive care unit beds and doctors specializing in internal medicine, infectious diseases, and anesthesiology also requires more attention for planning during the peak days of COVID-19.http://www.jehp.net/article.asp?issn=2277-9531;year=2024;volume=13;issue=1;spage=75;epage=75;aulast=Hosseini-Jebelicovid-19forecastinghospitalizationpandemicspolicymakingscenario analysis
spellingShingle Sedighe Hosseini-Jebeli
Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi
Babak Eshrati
Ali Mehrabi
Mahshid Roohravan Benis
Marzieh Nojomi
Hospital capacities and response to COVID-19 pandemic surges in Iran: A quantitative model-based study
Journal of Education and Health Promotion
covid-19
forecasting
hospitalization
pandemics
policymaking
scenario analysis
title Hospital capacities and response to COVID-19 pandemic surges in Iran: A quantitative model-based study
title_full Hospital capacities and response to COVID-19 pandemic surges in Iran: A quantitative model-based study
title_fullStr Hospital capacities and response to COVID-19 pandemic surges in Iran: A quantitative model-based study
title_full_unstemmed Hospital capacities and response to COVID-19 pandemic surges in Iran: A quantitative model-based study
title_short Hospital capacities and response to COVID-19 pandemic surges in Iran: A quantitative model-based study
title_sort hospital capacities and response to covid 19 pandemic surges in iran a quantitative model based study
topic covid-19
forecasting
hospitalization
pandemics
policymaking
scenario analysis
url http://www.jehp.net/article.asp?issn=2277-9531;year=2024;volume=13;issue=1;spage=75;epage=75;aulast=Hosseini-Jebeli
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