Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?

Determinants of international capital inflow differ from one country to another, and as such country-specific studies are important in assisting each economy to understand cutting-edge policies which can be implemented to attain and retain desired capital inflow. The purpose of the present empirical...

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Main Authors: Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi, Forget Mingiri Kapingura
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-12-01
Series:Cogent Business & Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311975.2022.2124596
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author Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi
Forget Mingiri Kapingura
author_facet Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi
Forget Mingiri Kapingura
author_sort Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi
collection DOAJ
description Determinants of international capital inflow differ from one country to another, and as such country-specific studies are important in assisting each economy to understand cutting-edge policies which can be implemented to attain and retain desired capital inflow. The purpose of the present empirical effort is to examine the determinants of international capital inflow into the South African economy with special focus on the role of global uncertainty. The study investigated the determinants of portfolio inflow, direct capital inflow and total inflow using time series quarterly data from 1960(Q1) to 2021(Q3). The study employed the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC GARCH) to investigate time-varying correlation among the variables in the light of more current data and Bayesian Linear Regression Model given its ability to deal with the problem of volatility. The overall picture that emerges from the study is that global uncertainty does not significantly correlate or affect portfolio inflow; while on the other hand, it negatively correlates and impacts direct capital inflow and total inflow. The implication is that government and South African policymakers should pay a closer attention to measures to mitigate global uncertainties in attempt to increase direct capital investment flow.
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spelling doaj.art-fed7baedf2584863a28d319a8713adaa2022-12-22T03:13:44ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Business & Management2331-19752022-12-019110.1080/23311975.2022.2124596Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi0Forget Mingiri Kapingura1Department of Economics, University of Fort Hare, Alice, South AfricaDepartment of Economics, University of Fort Hare, Alice, South AfricaDeterminants of international capital inflow differ from one country to another, and as such country-specific studies are important in assisting each economy to understand cutting-edge policies which can be implemented to attain and retain desired capital inflow. The purpose of the present empirical effort is to examine the determinants of international capital inflow into the South African economy with special focus on the role of global uncertainty. The study investigated the determinants of portfolio inflow, direct capital inflow and total inflow using time series quarterly data from 1960(Q1) to 2021(Q3). The study employed the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC GARCH) to investigate time-varying correlation among the variables in the light of more current data and Bayesian Linear Regression Model given its ability to deal with the problem of volatility. The overall picture that emerges from the study is that global uncertainty does not significantly correlate or affect portfolio inflow; while on the other hand, it negatively correlates and impacts direct capital inflow and total inflow. The implication is that government and South African policymakers should pay a closer attention to measures to mitigate global uncertainties in attempt to increase direct capital investment flow.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311975.2022.2124596Capital inflowglobal uncertainty indexDCCBLRdeterminants
spellingShingle Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi
Forget Mingiri Kapingura
Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?
Cogent Business & Management
Capital inflow
global uncertainty index
DCC
BLR
determinants
title Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?
title_full Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?
title_fullStr Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?
title_full_unstemmed Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?
title_short Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?
title_sort drivers of capital inflow does global uncertainty matter
topic Capital inflow
global uncertainty index
DCC
BLR
determinants
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311975.2022.2124596
work_keys_str_mv AT kazeemabimbolasanusi driversofcapitalinflowdoesglobaluncertaintymatter
AT forgetmingirikapingura driversofcapitalinflowdoesglobaluncertaintymatter