Simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networks

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) provide a quick and flexible means of developing flood flow simulation models. An important criterion for the wider applicability of the ANNs is the ability to generalise the events outside the range of training data sets. With respect to flood flow simulation, the...

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Main Authors: R. R. Shrestha, S. Theobald, F. Nestmann
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2005-01-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/9/313/2005/hess-9-313-2005.pdf
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author R. R. Shrestha
R. R. Shrestha
S. Theobald
F. Nestmann
author_facet R. R. Shrestha
R. R. Shrestha
S. Theobald
F. Nestmann
author_sort R. R. Shrestha
collection DOAJ
description Artificial neural networks (ANNs) provide a quick and flexible means of developing flood flow simulation models. An important criterion for the wider applicability of the ANNs is the ability to generalise the events outside the range of training data sets. With respect to flood flow simulation, the ability to extrapolate beyond the range of calibrated data sets is of crucial importance. This study explores methods for improving generalisation of the ANNs using three different flood events data sets from the Neckar River in Germany. An ANN-based model is formulated to simulate flows at certain locations in the river reach, based on the flows at upstream locations. Network training data sets consist of time series of flows from observation stations. Simulated flows from a one-dimensional hydrodynamic numerical model are integrated for network training and validation, at a river section where no measurements are available. Network structures with different activation functions are considered for improving generalisation. The training algorithm involved backpropagation with the Levenberg-Marquardt approximation. The ability of the trained networks to extrapolate is assessed using flow data beyond the range of the training data sets. The results of this study indicate that the ANN in a suitable configuration can extend forecasting capability to a certain extent beyond the range of calibrated data sets.
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spelling doaj.art-ff0382f77d5a42f78129ea4e604d73862022-12-22T02:07:32ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382005-01-0194313321Simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networksR. R. ShresthaR. R. ShresthaS. TheobaldF. NestmannArtificial neural networks (ANNs) provide a quick and flexible means of developing flood flow simulation models. An important criterion for the wider applicability of the ANNs is the ability to generalise the events outside the range of training data sets. With respect to flood flow simulation, the ability to extrapolate beyond the range of calibrated data sets is of crucial importance. This study explores methods for improving generalisation of the ANNs using three different flood events data sets from the Neckar River in Germany. An ANN-based model is formulated to simulate flows at certain locations in the river reach, based on the flows at upstream locations. Network training data sets consist of time series of flows from observation stations. Simulated flows from a one-dimensional hydrodynamic numerical model are integrated for network training and validation, at a river section where no measurements are available. Network structures with different activation functions are considered for improving generalisation. The training algorithm involved backpropagation with the Levenberg-Marquardt approximation. The ability of the trained networks to extrapolate is assessed using flow data beyond the range of the training data sets. The results of this study indicate that the ANN in a suitable configuration can extend forecasting capability to a certain extent beyond the range of calibrated data sets.http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/9/313/2005/hess-9-313-2005.pdf
spellingShingle R. R. Shrestha
R. R. Shrestha
S. Theobald
F. Nestmann
Simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networks
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
title Simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networks
title_full Simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networks
title_fullStr Simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networks
title_full_unstemmed Simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networks
title_short Simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networks
title_sort simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networks
url http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/9/313/2005/hess-9-313-2005.pdf
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