Simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania

Abstract Background Screening for gestational diabetes mellitus in Tanzania is challenged by limited resources. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania. Methods This study used data from a c...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Safiness Simon Msollo, Haikael David Martin, Akwilina Wendelin Mwanri, Pammla Petrucka
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-07-01
Series:BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-022-04838-1
_version_ 1811323611519123456
author Safiness Simon Msollo
Haikael David Martin
Akwilina Wendelin Mwanri
Pammla Petrucka
author_facet Safiness Simon Msollo
Haikael David Martin
Akwilina Wendelin Mwanri
Pammla Petrucka
author_sort Safiness Simon Msollo
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Screening for gestational diabetes mellitus in Tanzania is challenged by limited resources. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania. Methods This study used data from a cross sectional study, that was conducted between March and December 2018 in Arusha District involving 468 pregnant women who were not known to have diabetes before pregnancy. Urine glucose was tested using urine multistics and blood glucose levels by Gluco-Plus™ and diagnosed in accordance with the World Health Organization’s criteria. Anthropometrics were measured using standard procedures and maternal characteristics were collected through face-to-face interviews using a questionnaire with structured questions. Univariate analysis assessed individual variables association with gestational diabetes mellitus where variables with p-value of < 0.05 were included in multivariable analysis and predictors with p-value < 0.1 remained in the final model. Each variable was scored based on its estimated coefficients and risk scores were calculated by multiplying the corresponding coefficients by ten to get integers. The model’s performance was assessed using c-statistic. Data were analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Science™. Results The risk score included body fat ≥ 38%, delivery to macrosomic babies, mid-upper arm circumference ≥ 28 cm, and family history of type 2 diabetes mellitus. The score correctly identified 98% of women with gestational diabetes with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.97 (95% CI 0.96–0.99, p < 0.001), sensitivity of 0.98, and specificity of 0.46. Conclusion The developed screening tool is highly sensitive and correctly differentiates women with and without gestational diabetes mellitus in a Tanzanian sub-population.
first_indexed 2024-04-13T13:58:16Z
format Article
id doaj.art-ff263e0c92b7494cb48f400f155834b2
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1471-2393
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-13T13:58:16Z
publishDate 2022-07-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
spelling doaj.art-ff263e0c92b7494cb48f400f155834b22022-12-22T02:44:08ZengBMCBMC Pregnancy and Childbirth1471-23932022-07-0122111110.1186/s12884-022-04838-1Simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, TanzaniaSafiness Simon Msollo0Haikael David Martin1Akwilina Wendelin Mwanri2Pammla Petrucka3Depertment of Food Technology, Nutrition and Consumer Sciences, Sokoine University of AgricultureSchool of Life Sciences, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and TechnologyDepertment of Food Technology, Nutrition and Consumer Sciences, Sokoine University of AgricultureCollege of Nursing, University of SaskatchewanAbstract Background Screening for gestational diabetes mellitus in Tanzania is challenged by limited resources. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania. Methods This study used data from a cross sectional study, that was conducted between March and December 2018 in Arusha District involving 468 pregnant women who were not known to have diabetes before pregnancy. Urine glucose was tested using urine multistics and blood glucose levels by Gluco-Plus™ and diagnosed in accordance with the World Health Organization’s criteria. Anthropometrics were measured using standard procedures and maternal characteristics were collected through face-to-face interviews using a questionnaire with structured questions. Univariate analysis assessed individual variables association with gestational diabetes mellitus where variables with p-value of < 0.05 were included in multivariable analysis and predictors with p-value < 0.1 remained in the final model. Each variable was scored based on its estimated coefficients and risk scores were calculated by multiplying the corresponding coefficients by ten to get integers. The model’s performance was assessed using c-statistic. Data were analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Science™. Results The risk score included body fat ≥ 38%, delivery to macrosomic babies, mid-upper arm circumference ≥ 28 cm, and family history of type 2 diabetes mellitus. The score correctly identified 98% of women with gestational diabetes with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.97 (95% CI 0.96–0.99, p < 0.001), sensitivity of 0.98, and specificity of 0.46. Conclusion The developed screening tool is highly sensitive and correctly differentiates women with and without gestational diabetes mellitus in a Tanzanian sub-population.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-022-04838-1Risk scoreChecklistGestational diabetes mellitusTanzania
spellingShingle Safiness Simon Msollo
Haikael David Martin
Akwilina Wendelin Mwanri
Pammla Petrucka
Simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania
BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
Risk score
Checklist
Gestational diabetes mellitus
Tanzania
title Simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania
title_full Simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania
title_fullStr Simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania
title_full_unstemmed Simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania
title_short Simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in Arusha urban, Tanzania
title_sort simple method for identification of women at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in arusha urban tanzania
topic Risk score
Checklist
Gestational diabetes mellitus
Tanzania
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-022-04838-1
work_keys_str_mv AT safinesssimonmsollo simplemethodforidentificationofwomenatriskofgestationaldiabetesmellitusinarushaurbantanzania
AT haikaeldavidmartin simplemethodforidentificationofwomenatriskofgestationaldiabetesmellitusinarushaurbantanzania
AT akwilinawendelinmwanri simplemethodforidentificationofwomenatriskofgestationaldiabetesmellitusinarushaurbantanzania
AT pammlapetrucka simplemethodforidentificationofwomenatriskofgestationaldiabetesmellitusinarushaurbantanzania