Intensive and Extensive Margins of Export: Determinants of Economic Growth in Russian Regions under Sanctions

The impact of foreign trade on the Russian economy’s growth remains debatable. In 2014, the economy faced initial sanctions, leading to export restructuring and affecting growth. In 2022, a second unprecedented wave of sanctions necessitated export restructuring and intensified the challenge of sou...

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Main Authors: Анна Андреевна Федюнина, Юрий Вячеславович Симачёв, Игорь Михайлович Драпкин
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch 2023-09-01
Series:Экономика региона
Subjects:
Online Access:https://economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/533
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author Анна Андреевна Федюнина
Юрий Вячеславович Симачёв
Игорь Михайлович Драпкин
author_facet Анна Андреевна Федюнина
Юрий Вячеславович Симачёв
Игорь Михайлович Драпкин
author_sort Анна Андреевна Федюнина
collection DOAJ
description The impact of foreign trade on the Russian economy’s growth remains debatable. In 2014, the economy faced initial sanctions, leading to export restructuring and affecting growth. In 2022, a second unprecedented wave of sanctions necessitated export restructuring and intensified the challenge of sourcing economic growth. This study evaluates the impact of intensive and extensive export margins on Russian regions’ growth from 2015 to 2021 and discusses post-2022 implications. It is hypothesised that new export goods and markets are vital for economic growth in Russian regions. The study shows that both intensive and extensive margins are positively related to the level of development in Russian regions, and developed regions with diversified economic structures had higher values of export margins. The methodology uses panel regression with random and fixed effects. The empirical results show Russian regions’ market share in the products they export and in the countries where they export (i. e. intensive product and geographic margin) is important for the economic growth of Russian regions, while the results for extensive margin are ambiguous. The obtained findings have implications for industrial policy, which should prioritise the development of measures aimed at supporting existing exporting companies in expanding their presence in familiar markets. The task of export diversification should primarily be addressed through working with existing exporters and export products, while the export of innovative products should be viewed as a gradual evolutionary process within the framework of long-term planning.
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spelling doaj.art-ff57ed73c60e4cd18a44892df97a96682024-02-02T21:16:06ZengRussian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics of the Ural BranchЭкономика региона2072-64142411-14062023-09-0119310.17059/ekon.reg.2023-3-20Intensive and Extensive Margins of Export: Determinants of Economic Growth in Russian Regions under SanctionsАнна Андреевна Федюнина 0Юрий Вячеславович Симачёв 1Игорь Михайлович Драпкин2Ural Federal UniversityUral Federal UniversityUral Federal University The impact of foreign trade on the Russian economy’s growth remains debatable. In 2014, the economy faced initial sanctions, leading to export restructuring and affecting growth. In 2022, a second unprecedented wave of sanctions necessitated export restructuring and intensified the challenge of sourcing economic growth. This study evaluates the impact of intensive and extensive export margins on Russian regions’ growth from 2015 to 2021 and discusses post-2022 implications. It is hypothesised that new export goods and markets are vital for economic growth in Russian regions. The study shows that both intensive and extensive margins are positively related to the level of development in Russian regions, and developed regions with diversified economic structures had higher values of export margins. The methodology uses panel regression with random and fixed effects. The empirical results show Russian regions’ market share in the products they export and in the countries where they export (i. e. intensive product and geographic margin) is important for the economic growth of Russian regions, while the results for extensive margin are ambiguous. The obtained findings have implications for industrial policy, which should prioritise the development of measures aimed at supporting existing exporting companies in expanding their presence in familiar markets. The task of export diversification should primarily be addressed through working with existing exporters and export products, while the export of innovative products should be viewed as a gradual evolutionary process within the framework of long-term planning. https://economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/533extensive margin, intensive margin, Russian regions, economic growth, sanctions
spellingShingle Анна Андреевна Федюнина
Юрий Вячеславович Симачёв
Игорь Михайлович Драпкин
Intensive and Extensive Margins of Export: Determinants of Economic Growth in Russian Regions under Sanctions
Экономика региона
extensive margin, intensive margin, Russian regions, economic growth, sanctions
title Intensive and Extensive Margins of Export: Determinants of Economic Growth in Russian Regions under Sanctions
title_full Intensive and Extensive Margins of Export: Determinants of Economic Growth in Russian Regions under Sanctions
title_fullStr Intensive and Extensive Margins of Export: Determinants of Economic Growth in Russian Regions under Sanctions
title_full_unstemmed Intensive and Extensive Margins of Export: Determinants of Economic Growth in Russian Regions under Sanctions
title_short Intensive and Extensive Margins of Export: Determinants of Economic Growth in Russian Regions under Sanctions
title_sort intensive and extensive margins of export determinants of economic growth in russian regions under sanctions
topic extensive margin, intensive margin, Russian regions, economic growth, sanctions
url https://economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/533
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