Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model
Abstract Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang is a rare and endangered traditional Chinese medicinal plant. In this research, we built a comprehensive habitat suitability (CHS) model to analyze the potential suitable habitat distribution of this species in the present and future in China. First...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2020-03-01
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| Series: | Ecology and Evolution |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6117 |
| _version_ | 1818415029085536256 |
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| author | Zefang Zhao Yanlong Guo Haiyan Wei Qiao Ran Jing Liu Quanzhong Zhang Wei Gu |
| author_facet | Zefang Zhao Yanlong Guo Haiyan Wei Qiao Ran Jing Liu Quanzhong Zhang Wei Gu |
| author_sort | Zefang Zhao |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang is a rare and endangered traditional Chinese medicinal plant. In this research, we built a comprehensive habitat suitability (CHS) model to analyze the potential suitable habitat distribution of this species in the present and future in China. First, using nine different algorithms, we built an ensemble model to explore the possible impacts of climate change on the habitat distribution of this species. Then, based on this model, we built a CHS model to further identify the distribution characteristics of N. incisum‐suitable habitats in three time periods (current, 2050s, and 2070s) while considering the effects of soil and vegetation conditions. The results indicated that the current suitable habitat for N. incisum covers approximately 83.76 × 103 km2, and these locations were concentrated in the Tibet Autonomous Region, Gansu Province, Qinghai Province, and Sichuan Province. In the future, the areas of suitable habitat for N. incisum would significantly decrease and would be 69.53 × 103 km2 and 60.21 × 103 km2 in the 2050s and 2070s, respectively. However, the area of marginally suitable habitat would remain relatively stable. This study provides a more reliable and comprehensive method for modelling the current and future distributions of N. incisum, and it provides valuable insights for highlighting priority areas for medicinal plant conservation and resource utilization. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-14T11:28:29Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-ff5d480c626742f180959057ba9aa75b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2045-7758 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-14T11:28:29Z |
| publishDate | 2020-03-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecology and Evolution |
| spelling | doaj.art-ff5d480c626742f180959057ba9aa75b2022-12-21T23:03:25ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582020-03-011063004301610.1002/ece3.6117Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability modelZefang Zhao0Yanlong Guo1Haiyan Wei2Qiao Ran3Jing Liu4Quanzhong Zhang5Wei Gu6School of Geography and Tourism Shaanxi Normal University Xi'an ChinaNational Tibetan Plateau Data Centre Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaSchool of Geography and Tourism Shaanxi Normal University Xi'an ChinaSchool of Geography and Tourism Shaanxi Normal University Xi'an ChinaSchool of Geography and Tourism Shaanxi Normal University Xi'an ChinaSchool of Geography and Tourism Shaanxi Normal University Xi'an ChinaNational Engineering Laboratory for Resource Development of Endangered Crude Drugs in Northwest China Shaanxi Normal University Xi'an ChinaAbstract Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang is a rare and endangered traditional Chinese medicinal plant. In this research, we built a comprehensive habitat suitability (CHS) model to analyze the potential suitable habitat distribution of this species in the present and future in China. First, using nine different algorithms, we built an ensemble model to explore the possible impacts of climate change on the habitat distribution of this species. Then, based on this model, we built a CHS model to further identify the distribution characteristics of N. incisum‐suitable habitats in three time periods (current, 2050s, and 2070s) while considering the effects of soil and vegetation conditions. The results indicated that the current suitable habitat for N. incisum covers approximately 83.76 × 103 km2, and these locations were concentrated in the Tibet Autonomous Region, Gansu Province, Qinghai Province, and Sichuan Province. In the future, the areas of suitable habitat for N. incisum would significantly decrease and would be 69.53 × 103 km2 and 60.21 × 103 km2 in the 2050s and 2070s, respectively. However, the area of marginally suitable habitat would remain relatively stable. This study provides a more reliable and comprehensive method for modelling the current and future distributions of N. incisum, and it provides valuable insights for highlighting priority areas for medicinal plant conservation and resource utilization.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6117climate changeensemble modelNotopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Changpotential distributionspecies distribution models |
| spellingShingle | Zefang Zhao Yanlong Guo Haiyan Wei Qiao Ran Jing Liu Quanzhong Zhang Wei Gu Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model Ecology and Evolution climate change ensemble model Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang potential distribution species distribution models |
| title | Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model |
| title_full | Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model |
| title_fullStr | Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model |
| title_full_unstemmed | Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model |
| title_short | Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model |
| title_sort | potential distribution of notopterygium incisum ting ex h t chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model |
| topic | climate change ensemble model Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang potential distribution species distribution models |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6117 |
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