Minimizing an Insurer’s Ultimate Ruin Probability by Reinsurance and Investments

In this paper, we work with a diffusion-perturbed risk model comprising a surplus generating process and an investment return process. The investment return process is of standard a Black⁻Scholes type, that is, it comprises a single risk-free asset that earns interest at a constant rate an...

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Main Author: Christian Kasumo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-02-01
Series:Mathematical and Computational Applications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2297-8747/24/1/21
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author Christian Kasumo
author_facet Christian Kasumo
author_sort Christian Kasumo
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description In this paper, we work with a diffusion-perturbed risk model comprising a surplus generating process and an investment return process. The investment return process is of standard a Black⁻Scholes type, that is, it comprises a single risk-free asset that earns interest at a constant rate and a single risky asset whose price process is modelled by a geometric Brownian motion. Additionally, the company is allowed to purchase noncheap proportional reinsurance priced via the expected value principle. Using the Hamilton⁻Jacobi⁻Bellman (HJB) approach, we derive a second-order Volterra integrodifferential equation which we transform into a linear Volterra integral equation of the second kind. We proceed to solve this integral equation numerically using the block-by-block method for the optimal reinsurance retention level that minimizes the ultimate ruin probability. The numerical results based on light- and heavy-tailed individual claim amount distributions show that proportional reinsurance and investments play a vital role in enhancing the survival of insurance companies. But the ruin probability exhibits sensitivity to the volatility of the stock price.
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spelling doaj.art-ff8b8391804d448ca2b3b0201f948a242022-12-22T03:58:25ZengMDPI AGMathematical and Computational Applications2297-87472019-02-012412110.3390/mca24010021mca24010021Minimizing an Insurer’s Ultimate Ruin Probability by Reinsurance and InvestmentsChristian Kasumo0Department of Science and Mathematics, School of Science, Engineering and Technology, Mulungushi University, P.O. Box 80415 Kabwe, ZambiaIn this paper, we work with a diffusion-perturbed risk model comprising a surplus generating process and an investment return process. The investment return process is of standard a Black⁻Scholes type, that is, it comprises a single risk-free asset that earns interest at a constant rate and a single risky asset whose price process is modelled by a geometric Brownian motion. Additionally, the company is allowed to purchase noncheap proportional reinsurance priced via the expected value principle. Using the Hamilton⁻Jacobi⁻Bellman (HJB) approach, we derive a second-order Volterra integrodifferential equation which we transform into a linear Volterra integral equation of the second kind. We proceed to solve this integral equation numerically using the block-by-block method for the optimal reinsurance retention level that minimizes the ultimate ruin probability. The numerical results based on light- and heavy-tailed individual claim amount distributions show that proportional reinsurance and investments play a vital role in enhancing the survival of insurance companies. But the ruin probability exhibits sensitivity to the volatility of the stock price.https://www.mdpi.com/2297-8747/24/1/21ruin probabilityjump-diffusionHJB equationVolterra equationblock-by-block methodproportional reinsuranceinvestments
spellingShingle Christian Kasumo
Minimizing an Insurer’s Ultimate Ruin Probability by Reinsurance and Investments
Mathematical and Computational Applications
ruin probability
jump-diffusion
HJB equation
Volterra equation
block-by-block method
proportional reinsurance
investments
title Minimizing an Insurer’s Ultimate Ruin Probability by Reinsurance and Investments
title_full Minimizing an Insurer’s Ultimate Ruin Probability by Reinsurance and Investments
title_fullStr Minimizing an Insurer’s Ultimate Ruin Probability by Reinsurance and Investments
title_full_unstemmed Minimizing an Insurer’s Ultimate Ruin Probability by Reinsurance and Investments
title_short Minimizing an Insurer’s Ultimate Ruin Probability by Reinsurance and Investments
title_sort minimizing an insurer s ultimate ruin probability by reinsurance and investments
topic ruin probability
jump-diffusion
HJB equation
Volterra equation
block-by-block method
proportional reinsurance
investments
url https://www.mdpi.com/2297-8747/24/1/21
work_keys_str_mv AT christiankasumo minimizinganinsurersultimateruinprobabilitybyreinsuranceandinvestments