The Impact of Climate Policy on Carbon Capture and Storage Deployment in China

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) from coal combustion is widely viewed as an important approach for China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emission mitigation, but the pace of its development is still fairly slow. In addition to the technological and economic uncertainties of CCS, lack of strong policy incent...

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Main Authors: Zhang, X., Qi, T.
Format: Technical Report
Language:en_US
Published: MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change 2016
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/102613
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author Zhang, X.
Qi, T.
Zhang, X.
author_facet Zhang, X.
Qi, T.
Zhang, X.
author_sort Zhang, X.
collection MIT
description Carbon capture and storage (CCS) from coal combustion is widely viewed as an important approach for China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emission mitigation, but the pace of its development is still fairly slow. In addition to the technological and economic uncertainties of CCS, lack of strong policy incentive is another main reason for the wide gap between early expectations and the actual progress towards its demonstration and commercialization. China’s mitigation scenario and targets are crucial to long-term development of CCS. In this research, impacts of CCS on energy and CO2 emissions are evaluated under two mitigation scenarios reflecting different policy effort levels for China using the China-in-Global Energy Model (C-GEM). Results indicate that with CCS applications in the power sector China can achieve an added emissions reduction of 0.3 to 0.6 Gigatons CO2 (GtCO2) in 2050 at the same level of carbon taxes respectively in the two mitigation scenarios. Under the more ambitious mitigation scenario, approximately 56% of China’s fossil fuel fired power plants will have CCS installed, and CO2 emission amounting to 1.4 GtCO2 will be captured in 2050. A carbon price not lower than $35/tCO2 appears to be necessary for the large-scale application of CCS in the power sector, indicating the vital role of policy in the deployment of CCS in China’s power sector.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1026132019-04-12T16:13:54Z The Impact of Climate Policy on Carbon Capture and Storage Deployment in China Zhang, X. Qi, T. Zhang, X. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) from coal combustion is widely viewed as an important approach for China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emission mitigation, but the pace of its development is still fairly slow. In addition to the technological and economic uncertainties of CCS, lack of strong policy incentive is another main reason for the wide gap between early expectations and the actual progress towards its demonstration and commercialization. China’s mitigation scenario and targets are crucial to long-term development of CCS. In this research, impacts of CCS on energy and CO2 emissions are evaluated under two mitigation scenarios reflecting different policy effort levels for China using the China-in-Global Energy Model (C-GEM). Results indicate that with CCS applications in the power sector China can achieve an added emissions reduction of 0.3 to 0.6 Gigatons CO2 (GtCO2) in 2050 at the same level of carbon taxes respectively in the two mitigation scenarios. Under the more ambitious mitigation scenario, approximately 56% of China’s fossil fuel fired power plants will have CCS installed, and CO2 emission amounting to 1.4 GtCO2 will be captured in 2050. A carbon price not lower than $35/tCO2 appears to be necessary for the large-scale application of CCS in the power sector, indicating the vital role of policy in the deployment of CCS in China’s power sector. This work was supported by the founding sponsors of the China Energy and Climate Project, Eni S.p.A., ICF International, Shell International Limited, and the French Development Agency (AFD). We are also grateful for support from the Ministry of Science and Technology of China, the National Development and Reform Commission of China, the National Energy Administration of China, and the Asian Development Bank. Financial support was also provided by the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change through a consortium of industrial sponsors and federal grants. 2016-05-23T15:14:23Z 2016-05-23T15:14:23Z 2015-12 Technical Report Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/102613 Report 289 en_US MIT Joint Program Report Series;289 application/pdf MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
spellingShingle Zhang, X.
Qi, T.
Zhang, X.
The Impact of Climate Policy on Carbon Capture and Storage Deployment in China
title The Impact of Climate Policy on Carbon Capture and Storage Deployment in China
title_full The Impact of Climate Policy on Carbon Capture and Storage Deployment in China
title_fullStr The Impact of Climate Policy on Carbon Capture and Storage Deployment in China
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Climate Policy on Carbon Capture and Storage Deployment in China
title_short The Impact of Climate Policy on Carbon Capture and Storage Deployment in China
title_sort impact of climate policy on carbon capture and storage deployment in china
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/102613
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