Timescales and regions of the sensitivity of Atlantic meridional volume and heat transport: Toward observing system design

A dual (adjoint) model is used to explore elements of the oceanic state influencing the meridional volume and heat transports (MVT and MHT) in the sub-tropical North Atlantic so as to understand their variability and to provide the elements of useful observational program design. Focus is on the eff...

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Main Authors: Heimbach, Patrick, Wunsch, Carl Isaac, Ponte, Rui M., Forget, Gael, Hill, Christopher N., Utke, Jean
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Elsevier 2016
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/103949
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6808-3664
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3925-6161
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author Heimbach, Patrick
Wunsch, Carl Isaac
Ponte, Rui M.
Forget, Gael
Hill, Christopher N.
Utke, Jean
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Heimbach, Patrick
Wunsch, Carl Isaac
Ponte, Rui M.
Forget, Gael
Hill, Christopher N.
Utke, Jean
author_sort Heimbach, Patrick
collection MIT
description A dual (adjoint) model is used to explore elements of the oceanic state influencing the meridional volume and heat transports (MVT and MHT) in the sub-tropical North Atlantic so as to understand their variability and to provide the elements of useful observational program design. Focus is on the effect of temperature (and salinity) perturbations. On short timescales (months), as expected, the greatest sensitivities are to local disturbances, but as the timescales extend back to a decade and longer, the region of influence expands to occupy much of the Atlantic basin and significant areas of the global ocean, although the influence of any specific point or small area tends to be quite weak. The propagation of information in the dual solution is a clear manifestation of oceanic teleconnections. It takes place through identifiable “dual” Kelvin, Rossby, and continental shelf-waves with an interpretable physics, in particular in terms of dual expressions of barotropic and baroclinic adjustment processes. Among the notable features are the relatively fast timescales of influence (albeit weak in amplitude) between 26°N and the tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean, the absence of dominance of the sub-polar North Atlantic, significant connections to the Agulhas leakage region in the southeast Atlantic on timescales of 5–10 years, and the marked sensitivity propagation of Doppler-shifted Rossby waves in the Southern Ocean on timescales of a decade and beyond. Regional, as well as time-dependent, differences between MVT and MHT sensitivities highlight the lack of a simple correspondence between their variability. Some implications for observing systems for the purpose of climate science are discussed.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1039492022-09-30T16:21:31Z Timescales and regions of the sensitivity of Atlantic meridional volume and heat transport: Toward observing system design Heimbach, Patrick Wunsch, Carl Isaac Ponte, Rui M. Forget, Gael Hill, Christopher N. Utke, Jean Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Wunsch, Carl Heimbach, Patrick Wunsch, Carl Isaac Forget, Gael Hill, Christopher N. A dual (adjoint) model is used to explore elements of the oceanic state influencing the meridional volume and heat transports (MVT and MHT) in the sub-tropical North Atlantic so as to understand their variability and to provide the elements of useful observational program design. Focus is on the effect of temperature (and salinity) perturbations. On short timescales (months), as expected, the greatest sensitivities are to local disturbances, but as the timescales extend back to a decade and longer, the region of influence expands to occupy much of the Atlantic basin and significant areas of the global ocean, although the influence of any specific point or small area tends to be quite weak. The propagation of information in the dual solution is a clear manifestation of oceanic teleconnections. It takes place through identifiable “dual” Kelvin, Rossby, and continental shelf-waves with an interpretable physics, in particular in terms of dual expressions of barotropic and baroclinic adjustment processes. Among the notable features are the relatively fast timescales of influence (albeit weak in amplitude) between 26°N and the tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean, the absence of dominance of the sub-polar North Atlantic, significant connections to the Agulhas leakage region in the southeast Atlantic on timescales of 5–10 years, and the marked sensitivity propagation of Doppler-shifted Rossby waves in the Southern Ocean on timescales of a decade and beyond. Regional, as well as time-dependent, differences between MVT and MHT sensitivities highlight the lack of a simple correspondence between their variability. Some implications for observing systems for the purpose of climate science are discussed. National Oceanographic Partnership Program (U.S.) (‘‘Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean’’ (ECCO) and the ‘‘Atlantic MOC Observing System Studies Using Adjoint Models’’ projects) National Science Foundation (U.S.) (NSF Collaboration in Mathematics and Geoscience (CMG) project ‘‘Uncertainty Quanti- fication in Geophysical State Estimation’’) 2016-08-17T20:00:39Z 2016-08-17T20:00:39Z 2011-02 2010-10 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 09670645 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/103949 Heimbach, Patrick, Carl Wunsch, Rui M. Ponte, Gael Forget, Chris Hill, and Jean Utke. “Timescales and Regions of the Sensitivity of Atlantic Meridional Volume and Heat Transport: Toward Observing System Design.” Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 58, no. 17–18 (September 2011): 1858–1879. https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6808-3664 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3925-6161 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.10.065 Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ application/pdf Elsevier Prof. Wunsch via Chris Sherratt
spellingShingle Heimbach, Patrick
Wunsch, Carl Isaac
Ponte, Rui M.
Forget, Gael
Hill, Christopher N.
Utke, Jean
Timescales and regions of the sensitivity of Atlantic meridional volume and heat transport: Toward observing system design
title Timescales and regions of the sensitivity of Atlantic meridional volume and heat transport: Toward observing system design
title_full Timescales and regions of the sensitivity of Atlantic meridional volume and heat transport: Toward observing system design
title_fullStr Timescales and regions of the sensitivity of Atlantic meridional volume and heat transport: Toward observing system design
title_full_unstemmed Timescales and regions of the sensitivity of Atlantic meridional volume and heat transport: Toward observing system design
title_short Timescales and regions of the sensitivity of Atlantic meridional volume and heat transport: Toward observing system design
title_sort timescales and regions of the sensitivity of atlantic meridional volume and heat transport toward observing system design
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/103949
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6808-3664
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3925-6161
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