Dynamics of the illicit drug market in Italy
Thesis: S.M. in Management Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2016.
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Format: | Thesis |
Language: | eng |
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Massachusetts Institute of Technology
2016
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/104517 |
_version_ | 1811074594231025664 |
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author | Martegiani, Gabriele |
author2 | Hazhir Rahmandad. |
author_facet | Hazhir Rahmandad. Martegiani, Gabriele |
author_sort | Martegiani, Gabriele |
collection | MIT |
description | Thesis: S.M. in Management Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2016. |
first_indexed | 2024-09-23T09:51:59Z |
format | Thesis |
id | mit-1721.1/104517 |
institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
language | eng |
last_indexed | 2024-09-23T09:51:59Z |
publishDate | 2016 |
publisher | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | mit-1721.1/1045172019-04-11T07:18:02Z Dynamics of the illicit drug market in Italy Martegiani, Gabriele Hazhir Rahmandad. Sloan School of Management. Sloan School of Management. Sloan School of Management. Thesis: S.M. in Management Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2016. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (pages 42-44). Alongside street crime, a high prevalence of illicit drug consumption in the population represents a great source of funding for organized crime, and this is especially true in Italy, where the main criminal organizations control almost all the imports of cocaine and heroin: as a consequence, it is of the utmost importance that the policymakers take decisive and effective actions against the prevalence of illicit drugs in the country. However, the fact that the data about the prevalence of consumption is self-reported by substance users might represent an obstacle to an objective planning and evaluation of repressive policies: it is well documented how the reporting rate is lower than the actual prevalence in the population. This research attempt to address this issue by modeling a structure of the Italian market for the two main heavy drugs in the country (cocaine and heroin), using the tools provided by System Dynamics, specifically to analyze the effects of the introduction of the law n.49/2006. The results presented by the model - and consistent with the real data - show that the actual prevalence in the population is increasingly different from the reported one following the implementation of the law. This result implies the necessity for policy makers to adopt more accurate tools for the evaluation of past and proposed policies, in order to be able to estimate the dynamics involved in the complex and little known market of illicit substances. by Gabriele Martegiani. S.M. in Management Studies 2016-09-30T19:33:22Z 2016-09-30T19:33:22Z 2016 2016 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/104517 958296282 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 73 pages application/pdf e-it--- Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
spellingShingle | Sloan School of Management. Martegiani, Gabriele Dynamics of the illicit drug market in Italy |
title | Dynamics of the illicit drug market in Italy |
title_full | Dynamics of the illicit drug market in Italy |
title_fullStr | Dynamics of the illicit drug market in Italy |
title_full_unstemmed | Dynamics of the illicit drug market in Italy |
title_short | Dynamics of the illicit drug market in Italy |
title_sort | dynamics of the illicit drug market in italy |
topic | Sloan School of Management. |
url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/104517 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT martegianigabriele dynamicsoftheillicitdrugmarketinitaly |