Second Order Expansion of the T-Statistic in AR(1) Models

The purpose of this paper is to differentiate between several asymptotically valid methods for confidence set construction for the autoregressive coefficient in AR(1) models. We show that the nonparametric grid bootstrap procedure suggested by Hansen (1999, Review of Economics and Statistics 81, 594...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mikusheva, Anna
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Cambridge University Press 2016
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/105179
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0724-5428
Description
Summary:The purpose of this paper is to differentiate between several asymptotically valid methods for confidence set construction for the autoregressive coefficient in AR(1) models. We show that the nonparametric grid bootstrap procedure suggested by Hansen (1999, Review of Economics and Statistics 81, 594–607) achieves a second order refinement in the local-to-unity asymptotic approach when compared with a modified version of Stock’s (1991, Journal of Monetary Economics 28, 435–459) and Andrews’ (1993, Econometrica 61, 139–165) grid testing procedures. We establish a second order expansion of the t-statistic in an AR(1) model in the local-to-unity asymptotic approach, which differs drastically from the usual Edgeworth-type expansions by approximating the statistic around a nonstandard and nonpivotal limit.