Were the May 2012 Emilia-Romagna earthquakes induced? A coupled flow-geomechanics modeling assessment

Seismicity induced by fluid injection and withdrawal has emerged as a central element of the scientific discussion around subsurface technologies that tap into water and energy resources. Here we present the application of coupled flow-geomechanics simulation technology to the post mortem analysis o...

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Main Authors: Shaw, J. H., Plesch, A., Astiz, L., Dieterich, J. H., Frohlich, C., Juanes, Ruben, Jha, Birendra, Hager, Bradford H
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU)/Wiley 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/106543
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7370-2332
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3855-1441
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author Shaw, J. H.
Plesch, A.
Astiz, L.
Dieterich, J. H.
Frohlich, C.
Juanes, Ruben
Jha, Birendra
Hager, Bradford H
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Shaw, J. H.
Plesch, A.
Astiz, L.
Dieterich, J. H.
Frohlich, C.
Juanes, Ruben
Jha, Birendra
Hager, Bradford H
author_sort Shaw, J. H.
collection MIT
description Seismicity induced by fluid injection and withdrawal has emerged as a central element of the scientific discussion around subsurface technologies that tap into water and energy resources. Here we present the application of coupled flow-geomechanics simulation technology to the post mortem analysis of a sequence of damaging earthquakes (Mw = 6.0 and 5.8) in May 2012 near the Cavone oil field, in northern Italy. This sequence raised the question of whether these earthquakes might have been triggered by activities due to oil and gas production. Our analysis strongly suggests that the combined effects of fluid production and injection from the Cavone field were not a driver for the observed seismicity. More generally, our study illustrates that computational modeling of coupled flow and geomechanics permits the integration of geologic, seismotectonic, well log, fluid pressure and flow rate, and geodetic data and provides a promising approach for assessing and managing hazards associated with induced seismicity.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1065432022-10-01T13:13:18Z Were the May 2012 Emilia-Romagna earthquakes induced? A coupled flow-geomechanics modeling assessment Shaw, J. H. Plesch, A. Astiz, L. Dieterich, J. H. Frohlich, C. Juanes, Ruben Jha, Birendra Hager, Bradford H Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Juanes, Ruben Jha, Birendra Hager, Bradford H Seismicity induced by fluid injection and withdrawal has emerged as a central element of the scientific discussion around subsurface technologies that tap into water and energy resources. Here we present the application of coupled flow-geomechanics simulation technology to the post mortem analysis of a sequence of damaging earthquakes (Mw = 6.0 and 5.8) in May 2012 near the Cavone oil field, in northern Italy. This sequence raised the question of whether these earthquakes might have been triggered by activities due to oil and gas production. Our analysis strongly suggests that the combined effects of fluid production and injection from the Cavone field were not a driver for the observed seismicity. More generally, our study illustrates that computational modeling of coupled flow and geomechanics permits the integration of geologic, seismotectonic, well log, fluid pressure and flow rate, and geodetic data and provides a promising approach for assessing and managing hazards associated with induced seismicity. 2017-01-19T21:24:23Z 2017-01-19T21:24:23Z 2016-07 2016-04 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 00948276 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/106543 Juanes, R., B. Jha, B. H. Hager,et al. “Were the May 2012 Emilia-Romagna Earthquakes Induced? A Coupled Flow-Geomechanics Modeling Assessment.” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 43, no. 13, 2016, pp. 6891-6897. © 2016 American Geophysical Union. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7370-2332 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3855-1441 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069284 Geophysical Research Letters Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Geophysical Union (AGU)/Wiley MIT Web Domain
spellingShingle Shaw, J. H.
Plesch, A.
Astiz, L.
Dieterich, J. H.
Frohlich, C.
Juanes, Ruben
Jha, Birendra
Hager, Bradford H
Were the May 2012 Emilia-Romagna earthquakes induced? A coupled flow-geomechanics modeling assessment
title Were the May 2012 Emilia-Romagna earthquakes induced? A coupled flow-geomechanics modeling assessment
title_full Were the May 2012 Emilia-Romagna earthquakes induced? A coupled flow-geomechanics modeling assessment
title_fullStr Were the May 2012 Emilia-Romagna earthquakes induced? A coupled flow-geomechanics modeling assessment
title_full_unstemmed Were the May 2012 Emilia-Romagna earthquakes induced? A coupled flow-geomechanics modeling assessment
title_short Were the May 2012 Emilia-Romagna earthquakes induced? A coupled flow-geomechanics modeling assessment
title_sort were the may 2012 emilia romagna earthquakes induced a coupled flow geomechanics modeling assessment
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/106543
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7370-2332
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3855-1441
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