Marginal Abatement Costs and Marginal Welfare Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions: Results from the EPPA Model

Marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves, relationships between tonnes of emissions abated and the CO[subscript 2] (or greenhouse gas (GHG)) price, have been widely used as pedagogic devices to illustrate simple economic concepts such as the benefits of emissions trading. They have also been used to pro...

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Main Authors: Morris, Jennifer Faye, Paltsev, Sergey, Reilly, John M
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Netherlands 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/106558
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3287-0732
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5595-0968
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author Morris, Jennifer Faye
Paltsev, Sergey
Reilly, John M
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change
Morris, Jennifer Faye
Paltsev, Sergey
Reilly, John M
author_sort Morris, Jennifer Faye
collection MIT
description Marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves, relationships between tonnes of emissions abated and the CO[subscript 2] (or greenhouse gas (GHG)) price, have been widely used as pedagogic devices to illustrate simple economic concepts such as the benefits of emissions trading. They have also been used to produce reduced-form models to examine situations where solving the more complex model underlying the MAC is difficult. Some important issues arise in such applications: (1) Are MAC relationships independent of what happens in other regions?, (2) are MACs stable through time regardless of what policies have been implemented in the past?, and (3) can one approximate welfare costs from MACs? This paper explores the basic characteristics of MAC and marginal welfare cost (MWC) curves, deriving them using the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis model. We find that, depending on the method used to construct them, MACs are affected by policies abroad. They are also dependent on policies in place in the past and depend on whether they are CO[subscript 2]-only or include all GHGs. Further, we find that MACs are, in general, not closely related to MWCs and therefore should not be used to derive estimates of welfare change. We also show that, as commonly constructed, MACs may be unreliable in replicating results of the parent model when used to simulate GHG policies. This is especially true if the policy simulations differ from the conditions under which the MACs were simulated.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1065582022-09-29T17:40:31Z Marginal Abatement Costs and Marginal Welfare Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions: Results from the EPPA Model Morris, Jennifer Faye Paltsev, Sergey Reilly, John M Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change Morris, Jennifer Faye Paltsev, Sergey Reilly, John M Marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves, relationships between tonnes of emissions abated and the CO[subscript 2] (or greenhouse gas (GHG)) price, have been widely used as pedagogic devices to illustrate simple economic concepts such as the benefits of emissions trading. They have also been used to produce reduced-form models to examine situations where solving the more complex model underlying the MAC is difficult. Some important issues arise in such applications: (1) Are MAC relationships independent of what happens in other regions?, (2) are MACs stable through time regardless of what policies have been implemented in the past?, and (3) can one approximate welfare costs from MACs? This paper explores the basic characteristics of MAC and marginal welfare cost (MWC) curves, deriving them using the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis model. We find that, depending on the method used to construct them, MACs are affected by policies abroad. They are also dependent on policies in place in the past and depend on whether they are CO[subscript 2]-only or include all GHGs. Further, we find that MACs are, in general, not closely related to MWCs and therefore should not be used to derive estimates of welfare change. We also show that, as commonly constructed, MACs may be unreliable in replicating results of the parent model when used to simulate GHG policies. This is especially true if the policy simulations differ from the conditions under which the MACs were simulated. 2017-01-20T17:24:40Z 2017-01-20T17:24:40Z 2011-11 2010-06 2016-08-18T15:40:39Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1420-2026 1573-2967 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/106558 Morris, Jennifer, Sergey Paltsev, and John Reilly. “Marginal Abatement Costs and Marginal Welfare Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions: Results from the EPPA Model.” Environmental Modeling & Assessment 17.4 (2012): 325–336. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3287-0732 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5595-0968 en http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10666-011-9298-7 Environmental Modeling & Assessment Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. Springer Science+Business Media B.V. application/pdf Springer Netherlands Springer Netherlands
spellingShingle Morris, Jennifer Faye
Paltsev, Sergey
Reilly, John M
Marginal Abatement Costs and Marginal Welfare Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions: Results from the EPPA Model
title Marginal Abatement Costs and Marginal Welfare Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions: Results from the EPPA Model
title_full Marginal Abatement Costs and Marginal Welfare Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions: Results from the EPPA Model
title_fullStr Marginal Abatement Costs and Marginal Welfare Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions: Results from the EPPA Model
title_full_unstemmed Marginal Abatement Costs and Marginal Welfare Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions: Results from the EPPA Model
title_short Marginal Abatement Costs and Marginal Welfare Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions: Results from the EPPA Model
title_sort marginal abatement costs and marginal welfare costs for greenhouse gas emissions reductions results from the eppa model
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/106558
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3287-0732
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5595-0968
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