A Simple Model of Stability in Critical Mass Dynamics

Collective behaviors often spread via the self-reinforcing dynamics of critical mass. In collective behaviors with strongly self-reinforcing dynamics, incentives to participate increase with the number of participants, such that incentives are highest when the full population has adopted the behavio...

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Main Author: Centola, Damon
Other Authors: Sloan School of Management
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer US 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/106992
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author Centola, Damon
author2 Sloan School of Management
author_facet Sloan School of Management
Centola, Damon
author_sort Centola, Damon
collection MIT
description Collective behaviors often spread via the self-reinforcing dynamics of critical mass. In collective behaviors with strongly self-reinforcing dynamics, incentives to participate increase with the number of participants, such that incentives are highest when the full population has adopted the behavior. By contrast, when collective behaviors have weakly self-reinforcing dynamics, incentives to participate “peak out” early, leaving a residual fraction of non-participants. In systems of collective action, this residual fraction constitutes free riders, who enjoy the collective good without contributing anything themselves. This “free rider problem” has given rise to a research tradition in collective action that shows how free riding can be eliminated by increasing the incentives for participation, and thereby making cooperation strongly self-reinforcing. However, we show that when the incentives to participate have weakly self-reinforcing dynamics, which allow free riders, collective behaviors will have significantly greater long term stability than when the incentives have strongly self-reinforcing dynamics leading to full participation.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1069922022-09-30T22:57:50Z A Simple Model of Stability in Critical Mass Dynamics Centola, Damon Sloan School of Management Centola, Damon Collective behaviors often spread via the self-reinforcing dynamics of critical mass. In collective behaviors with strongly self-reinforcing dynamics, incentives to participate increase with the number of participants, such that incentives are highest when the full population has adopted the behavior. By contrast, when collective behaviors have weakly self-reinforcing dynamics, incentives to participate “peak out” early, leaving a residual fraction of non-participants. In systems of collective action, this residual fraction constitutes free riders, who enjoy the collective good without contributing anything themselves. This “free rider problem” has given rise to a research tradition in collective action that shows how free riding can be eliminated by increasing the incentives for participation, and thereby making cooperation strongly self-reinforcing. However, we show that when the incentives to participate have weakly self-reinforcing dynamics, which allow free riders, collective behaviors will have significantly greater long term stability than when the incentives have strongly self-reinforcing dynamics leading to full participation. 2017-02-17T23:23:46Z 2017-02-17T23:23:46Z 2013-01 2012-08 2016-05-23T12:17:02Z Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0022-4715 1572-9613 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/106992 Centola, Damon. “A Simple Model of Stability in Critical Mass Dynamics.” J Stat Phys 151, no. 1–2 (January 5, 2013): 238–253. en http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-012-0679-3 Journal of Statistical Physics Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ Springer Science+Business Media New York application/pdf Springer US Springer US
spellingShingle Centola, Damon
A Simple Model of Stability in Critical Mass Dynamics
title A Simple Model of Stability in Critical Mass Dynamics
title_full A Simple Model of Stability in Critical Mass Dynamics
title_fullStr A Simple Model of Stability in Critical Mass Dynamics
title_full_unstemmed A Simple Model of Stability in Critical Mass Dynamics
title_short A Simple Model of Stability in Critical Mass Dynamics
title_sort simple model of stability in critical mass dynamics
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/106992
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