Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines
This study quantifies the impact of typhoons on rice production in the Philippines. To this end, satellite-derived reflectance data are used to detect the location of rice fields at 500-m resolution. Utilizing typhoon-track data within a wind field model and satellite-derived precipitation measures,...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | en_US |
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American Meteorological Society
2017
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/107001 |
| _version_ | 1826200602069172224 |
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| author | Strobl, Eric Blanc, Elodie |
| author2 | MIT Energy Initiative |
| author_facet | MIT Energy Initiative Strobl, Eric Blanc, Elodie |
| author_sort | Strobl, Eric |
| collection | MIT |
| description | This study quantifies the impact of typhoons on rice production in the Philippines. To this end, satellite-derived reflectance data are used to detect the location of rice fields at 500-m resolution. Utilizing typhoon-track data within a wind field model and satellite-derived precipitation measures, fragility curves are then employed to proxy the damage of storms on rice production within each rice field. The results from a panel spatial regression model show that typhoons substantially reduced local provincial production in the quarter of the strike, having caused losses of up to 12.5 million tons since 2001. Using extreme value theory to predict future losses, the results suggest that a typhoon like the recent Haiyan, which is estimated to have caused losses of around 260 000 tons, has a return period of 13 years. This methodology can provide a relatively timely tool for rice damage assessments after tropical cyclones in the region. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T11:38:59Z |
| format | Article |
| id | mit-1721.1/107001 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| language | en_US |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T11:38:59Z |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/1070012022-09-27T21:00:13Z Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines Strobl, Eric Blanc, Elodie MIT Energy Initiative Blanc, Elodie This study quantifies the impact of typhoons on rice production in the Philippines. To this end, satellite-derived reflectance data are used to detect the location of rice fields at 500-m resolution. Utilizing typhoon-track data within a wind field model and satellite-derived precipitation measures, fragility curves are then employed to proxy the damage of storms on rice production within each rice field. The results from a panel spatial regression model show that typhoons substantially reduced local provincial production in the quarter of the strike, having caused losses of up to 12.5 million tons since 2001. Using extreme value theory to predict future losses, the results suggest that a typhoon like the recent Haiyan, which is estimated to have caused losses of around 260 000 tons, has a return period of 13 years. This methodology can provide a relatively timely tool for rice damage assessments after tropical cyclones in the region. United States. Dept. of Energy. Office of Science (Grant DE-FG02-94ER61937) United States. Environmental Protection Agency (Grant XA-83600001-1) Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change 2017-02-21T15:59:40Z 2017-02-21T15:59:40Z 2016-04 2015-07 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1558-8424 1558-8432 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/107001 Blanc, Elodie, and Eric Strobl. “Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines.” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 55.4 (2016): 993–1007. © 2016 American Meteorological Society en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-15-0214.1 Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society |
| spellingShingle | Strobl, Eric Blanc, Elodie Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines |
| title | Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines |
| title_full | Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines |
| title_fullStr | Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines |
| title_short | Assessing the Impact of Typhoons on Rice Production in the Philippines |
| title_sort | assessing the impact of typhoons on rice production in the philippines |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/107001 |
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