Ionospheric ion temperature climate and upper atmospheric long-term cooling

It is now recognized that Earth's upper atmosphere is experiencing a long-term cooling over the past several solar cycles. The potential impact of the cooling on societal activities is significant, but a fundamental scientific question exists regarding the drivers of the cooling. New observatio...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nicolls, Michael J., McCready, Mary, Kelly, John, Zhang, Shun-Rong, Holt, John M, Erickson, Philip J, Goncharenko, Larisa
Other Authors: Haystack Observatory
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/107625
_version_ 1811081000416968704
author Nicolls, Michael J.
McCready, Mary
Kelly, John
Zhang, Shun-Rong
Holt, John M
Erickson, Philip J
Goncharenko, Larisa
author2 Haystack Observatory
author_facet Haystack Observatory
Nicolls, Michael J.
McCready, Mary
Kelly, John
Zhang, Shun-Rong
Holt, John M
Erickson, Philip J
Goncharenko, Larisa
author_sort Nicolls, Michael J.
collection MIT
description It is now recognized that Earth's upper atmosphere is experiencing a long-term cooling over the past several solar cycles. The potential impact of the cooling on societal activities is significant, but a fundamental scientific question exists regarding the drivers of the cooling. New observations and analyses provide crucial advances in our knowledge of these important processes. We investigate ionospheric ion temperature climatology and long-term trends using up-to-date large and consistent ground-based data sets as measured by multiple incoherent scatter radars (ISRs). The very comprehensive view provided by these unique observations of the upper atmospheric thermal status allows us to address drivers of strong cooling previously observed by ISRs. We use observations from two high-latitude sites at Sondrestrom (invariant latitude 73.2°N) from 1990 to 2015 and Chatanika/Poker Flat (invariant latitude 65.9°N) over the span of 1976–2015 (with a gap from 1983 to 2006). Results are compared to conditions at the midlatitude Millstone Hill site (invariant latitude 52.8°N) from 1968 to 2015. The aggregate radar observations have very comparable and consistent altitude dependence of long-term trends. In particular, the lower F region (<275 km) exhibits dayside cooling trends that are significantly higher (−3 to −1 K/yr at 250 km) than anticipated from model predictions given the anthropogenic increase of greenhouse gases. Above 275 km, cooling trends continue to increase in magnitude but values are strongly dependent on magnetic latitude, suggesting the presence of significant downward influences from nonneutral atmospheric processes.
first_indexed 2024-09-23T11:40:12Z
format Article
id mit-1721.1/107625
institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
language en_US
last_indexed 2024-09-23T11:40:12Z
publishDate 2017
publisher American Geophysical Union (AGU)
record_format dspace
spelling mit-1721.1/1076252022-10-01T05:10:05Z Ionospheric ion temperature climate and upper atmospheric long-term cooling Nicolls, Michael J. McCready, Mary Kelly, John Zhang, Shun-Rong Holt, John M Erickson, Philip J Goncharenko, Larisa Haystack Observatory Zhang, Shun-Rong Zhang, Shun-Rong Holt, John M Erickson, Philip J Goncharenko, Larisa It is now recognized that Earth's upper atmosphere is experiencing a long-term cooling over the past several solar cycles. The potential impact of the cooling on societal activities is significant, but a fundamental scientific question exists regarding the drivers of the cooling. New observations and analyses provide crucial advances in our knowledge of these important processes. We investigate ionospheric ion temperature climatology and long-term trends using up-to-date large and consistent ground-based data sets as measured by multiple incoherent scatter radars (ISRs). The very comprehensive view provided by these unique observations of the upper atmospheric thermal status allows us to address drivers of strong cooling previously observed by ISRs. We use observations from two high-latitude sites at Sondrestrom (invariant latitude 73.2°N) from 1990 to 2015 and Chatanika/Poker Flat (invariant latitude 65.9°N) over the span of 1976–2015 (with a gap from 1983 to 2006). Results are compared to conditions at the midlatitude Millstone Hill site (invariant latitude 52.8°N) from 1968 to 2015. The aggregate radar observations have very comparable and consistent altitude dependence of long-term trends. In particular, the lower F region (<275 km) exhibits dayside cooling trends that are significantly higher (−3 to −1 K/yr at 250 km) than anticipated from model predictions given the anthropogenic increase of greenhouse gases. Above 275 km, cooling trends continue to increase in magnitude but values are strongly dependent on magnetic latitude, suggesting the presence of significant downward influences from nonneutral atmospheric processes. National Science Foundation (U.S.) (Awards AGS-1042569 and AGS-1343056) 2017-03-21T20:07:50Z 2017-03-21T20:07:50Z 2016-09 2016-07 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 2169-9380 2169-9402 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/107625 Zhang, Shun-Rong et al. “Ionospheric Ion Temperature Climate and Upper Atmospheric Long-Term Cooling: UPPER ATMOSPHERIC COOLING.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics 121.9 (2016): 8951–8968. en_US http://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA022971 Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Geophysical Union (AGU) Zhang
spellingShingle Nicolls, Michael J.
McCready, Mary
Kelly, John
Zhang, Shun-Rong
Holt, John M
Erickson, Philip J
Goncharenko, Larisa
Ionospheric ion temperature climate and upper atmospheric long-term cooling
title Ionospheric ion temperature climate and upper atmospheric long-term cooling
title_full Ionospheric ion temperature climate and upper atmospheric long-term cooling
title_fullStr Ionospheric ion temperature climate and upper atmospheric long-term cooling
title_full_unstemmed Ionospheric ion temperature climate and upper atmospheric long-term cooling
title_short Ionospheric ion temperature climate and upper atmospheric long-term cooling
title_sort ionospheric ion temperature climate and upper atmospheric long term cooling
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/107625
work_keys_str_mv AT nicollsmichaelj ionosphericiontemperatureclimateandupperatmosphericlongtermcooling
AT mccreadymary ionosphericiontemperatureclimateandupperatmosphericlongtermcooling
AT kellyjohn ionosphericiontemperatureclimateandupperatmosphericlongtermcooling
AT zhangshunrong ionosphericiontemperatureclimateandupperatmosphericlongtermcooling
AT holtjohnm ionosphericiontemperatureclimateandupperatmosphericlongtermcooling
AT ericksonphilipj ionosphericiontemperatureclimateandupperatmosphericlongtermcooling
AT goncharenkolarisa ionosphericiontemperatureclimateandupperatmosphericlongtermcooling