Design Catalogs: A Systematic Approach to Design and Value Flexibility in Engineering Systems

This paper proposes design catalogs as an efficient systematic process for identifying and evaluating improved designs in engineering systems by exploiting ideas of flexibility. Standard design and evaluation approaches typically do not cope well with a range of possible operating conditions. They o...

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Main Authors: Cardin, Michel-Alexandre, Geltner, David M, de Neufville, Richard L
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Elsevier 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/108089
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1024-7555
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author Cardin, Michel-Alexandre
Geltner, David M
de Neufville, Richard L
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning
Cardin, Michel-Alexandre
Geltner, David M
de Neufville, Richard L
author_sort Cardin, Michel-Alexandre
collection MIT
description This paper proposes design catalogs as an efficient systematic process for identifying and evaluating improved designs in engineering systems by exploiting ideas of flexibility. Standard design and evaluation approaches typically do not cope well with a range of possible operating conditions. They often simplify considerations of uncertainty, which may lead to designs that do not perform as well as those responding dynamically to changing conditions. The proposed process addresses the complexity of the design problem under uncertainty, recognizing that it is impossible to analyze all possible combinations of evolutions, and the flexible ways in which the system could adapt over time. The process creates a small subset of designs that collectively perform well over a range of scenarios. It bundles representative scenarios and their flexible responses to enable a more thorough analysis that accounts explicitly for uncertainty—and enable considerations of improved designs. Each element consists of combinations of design variables, parameters, and management decision rules carefully selected, and referred as operating plans. In the example analysis, the process improves economic performance by 37% as compared to standard methods in an infrastructure system case study, while exploring only 3% of the design space. It reaches 86% of the stochastically optimal solution while being 183 times faster computationally in the example numerical study. The systematic property aims for practical applications in industry. In each phase, it gives the freedom to rely on the designer's expertise with the system, or to consider analytical tools already in use at the design organization.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1080892022-09-30T16:20:44Z Design Catalogs: A Systematic Approach to Design and Value Flexibility in Engineering Systems Cardin, Michel-Alexandre Geltner, David M de Neufville, Richard L Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division Geltner, David Geltner, David M de Neufville, Richard L This paper proposes design catalogs as an efficient systematic process for identifying and evaluating improved designs in engineering systems by exploiting ideas of flexibility. Standard design and evaluation approaches typically do not cope well with a range of possible operating conditions. They often simplify considerations of uncertainty, which may lead to designs that do not perform as well as those responding dynamically to changing conditions. The proposed process addresses the complexity of the design problem under uncertainty, recognizing that it is impossible to analyze all possible combinations of evolutions, and the flexible ways in which the system could adapt over time. The process creates a small subset of designs that collectively perform well over a range of scenarios. It bundles representative scenarios and their flexible responses to enable a more thorough analysis that accounts explicitly for uncertainty—and enable considerations of improved designs. Each element consists of combinations of design variables, parameters, and management decision rules carefully selected, and referred as operating plans. In the example analysis, the process improves economic performance by 37% as compared to standard methods in an infrastructure system case study, while exploring only 3% of the design space. It reaches 86% of the stochastically optimal solution while being 183 times faster computationally in the example numerical study. The systematic property aims for practical applications in industry. In each phase, it gives the freedom to rely on the designer's expertise with the system, or to consider analytical tools already in use at the design organization. National University of Singapore (MOE AcRF Tier 1 Grant WBS R-266-000-061-133) Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Real Estate 2017-04-12T20:58:59Z 2017-04-12T20:58:59Z 2015-10 2015-08 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1098-1241 1520-6858 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/108089 Cardin, Michel-Alexandre, Richard de Neufville, and David M. Geltner. “Design Catalogs: A Systematic Approach to Design and Value Flexibility in Engineering Systems.” Systems Engineering 18.5 (2015): 453–471. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1024-7555 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sys.21323 Systems Engineering Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf Elsevier Prof. Geltner
spellingShingle Cardin, Michel-Alexandre
Geltner, David M
de Neufville, Richard L
Design Catalogs: A Systematic Approach to Design and Value Flexibility in Engineering Systems
title Design Catalogs: A Systematic Approach to Design and Value Flexibility in Engineering Systems
title_full Design Catalogs: A Systematic Approach to Design and Value Flexibility in Engineering Systems
title_fullStr Design Catalogs: A Systematic Approach to Design and Value Flexibility in Engineering Systems
title_full_unstemmed Design Catalogs: A Systematic Approach to Design and Value Flexibility in Engineering Systems
title_short Design Catalogs: A Systematic Approach to Design and Value Flexibility in Engineering Systems
title_sort design catalogs a systematic approach to design and value flexibility in engineering systems
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/108089
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1024-7555
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