Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example

The atmosphere−ocean coupled Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast model (HWRF) developed at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) is used as an example to illustrate the impact of model vertical resolution on track forecasts of tropical cyclones. A number of HWRF forecasting ex...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zhang, Banglin, Tallapragada, Vijay, Weng, Fuzhong, Liu, Qingfu, Sippel, Jason A., Ma, Zaizhong, Bender, Morris A., Lindzen, Richard Siegmund
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: National Academy of Sciences (U.S.) 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/108791
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7520-7028
_version_ 1811071439104638976
author Zhang, Banglin
Tallapragada, Vijay
Weng, Fuzhong
Liu, Qingfu
Sippel, Jason A.
Ma, Zaizhong
Bender, Morris A.
Lindzen, Richard Siegmund
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Zhang, Banglin
Tallapragada, Vijay
Weng, Fuzhong
Liu, Qingfu
Sippel, Jason A.
Ma, Zaizhong
Bender, Morris A.
Lindzen, Richard Siegmund
author_sort Zhang, Banglin
collection MIT
description The atmosphere−ocean coupled Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast model (HWRF) developed at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) is used as an example to illustrate the impact of model vertical resolution on track forecasts of tropical cyclones. A number of HWRF forecasting experiments were carried out at different vertical resolutions for Hurricane Joaquin, which occurred from September 27 to October 8, 2015, in the Atlantic Basin. The results show that the track prediction for Hurricane Joaquin is much more accurate with higher vertical resolution. The positive impacts of higher vertical resolution on hurricane track forecasts suggest that National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/NCEP should upgrade both HWRF and the Global Forecast System to have more vertical levels.
first_indexed 2024-09-23T08:50:58Z
format Article
id mit-1721.1/108791
institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
language en_US
last_indexed 2024-09-23T08:50:58Z
publishDate 2017
publisher National Academy of Sciences (U.S.)
record_format dspace
spelling mit-1721.1/1087912022-09-26T08:46:44Z Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example Zhang, Banglin Tallapragada, Vijay Weng, Fuzhong Liu, Qingfu Sippel, Jason A. Ma, Zaizhong Bender, Morris A. Lindzen, Richard Siegmund Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Lindzen, Richard Siegmund The atmosphere−ocean coupled Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast model (HWRF) developed at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) is used as an example to illustrate the impact of model vertical resolution on track forecasts of tropical cyclones. A number of HWRF forecasting experiments were carried out at different vertical resolutions for Hurricane Joaquin, which occurred from September 27 to October 8, 2015, in the Atlantic Basin. The results show that the track prediction for Hurricane Joaquin is much more accurate with higher vertical resolution. The positive impacts of higher vertical resolution on hurricane track forecasts suggest that National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/NCEP should upgrade both HWRF and the Global Forecast System to have more vertical levels. 2017-05-10T18:40:31Z 2017-05-10T18:40:31Z 2016-10 2016-04 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0027-8424 1091-6490 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/108791 Zhang, Banglin; Lindzen, Richard S.; Tallapragada, Vijay; Weng, Fuzhong; Liu, Qingfu; Sippel, Jason A.; Ma, Zaizhong and Bender, Morris A. “Increasing Vertical Resolution in US Models to Improve Track Forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an Example.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113, no. 42 (October 2016): 11765–11769. © 2016 National Academy of Sciences (U.S.) https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7520-7028 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1613800113 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf National Academy of Sciences (U.S.) PNAS
spellingShingle Zhang, Banglin
Tallapragada, Vijay
Weng, Fuzhong
Liu, Qingfu
Sippel, Jason A.
Ma, Zaizhong
Bender, Morris A.
Lindzen, Richard Siegmund
Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example
title Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example
title_full Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example
title_fullStr Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example
title_full_unstemmed Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example
title_short Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example
title_sort increasing vertical resolution in us models to improve track forecasts of hurricane joaquin with hwrf as an example
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/108791
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7520-7028
work_keys_str_mv AT zhangbanglin increasingverticalresolutioninusmodelstoimprovetrackforecastsofhurricanejoaquinwithhwrfasanexample
AT tallapragadavijay increasingverticalresolutioninusmodelstoimprovetrackforecastsofhurricanejoaquinwithhwrfasanexample
AT wengfuzhong increasingverticalresolutioninusmodelstoimprovetrackforecastsofhurricanejoaquinwithhwrfasanexample
AT liuqingfu increasingverticalresolutioninusmodelstoimprovetrackforecastsofhurricanejoaquinwithhwrfasanexample
AT sippeljasona increasingverticalresolutioninusmodelstoimprovetrackforecastsofhurricanejoaquinwithhwrfasanexample
AT mazaizhong increasingverticalresolutioninusmodelstoimprovetrackforecastsofhurricanejoaquinwithhwrfasanexample
AT bendermorrisa increasingverticalresolutioninusmodelstoimprovetrackforecastsofhurricanejoaquinwithhwrfasanexample
AT lindzenrichardsiegmund increasingverticalresolutioninusmodelstoimprovetrackforecastsofhurricanejoaquinwithhwrfasanexample