Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example
The atmosphere−ocean coupled Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast model (HWRF) developed at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) is used as an example to illustrate the impact of model vertical resolution on track forecasts of tropical cyclones. A number of HWRF forecasting ex...
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National Academy of Sciences (U.S.)
2017
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/108791 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7520-7028 |
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author | Zhang, Banglin Tallapragada, Vijay Weng, Fuzhong Liu, Qingfu Sippel, Jason A. Ma, Zaizhong Bender, Morris A. Lindzen, Richard Siegmund |
author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences |
author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Zhang, Banglin Tallapragada, Vijay Weng, Fuzhong Liu, Qingfu Sippel, Jason A. Ma, Zaizhong Bender, Morris A. Lindzen, Richard Siegmund |
author_sort | Zhang, Banglin |
collection | MIT |
description | The atmosphere−ocean coupled Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast model (HWRF) developed at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) is used as an example to illustrate the impact of model vertical resolution on track forecasts of tropical cyclones. A number of HWRF forecasting experiments were carried out at different vertical resolutions for Hurricane Joaquin, which occurred from September 27 to October 8, 2015, in the Atlantic Basin. The results show that the track prediction for Hurricane Joaquin is much more accurate with higher vertical resolution. The positive impacts of higher vertical resolution on hurricane track forecasts suggest that National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/NCEP should upgrade both HWRF and the Global Forecast System to have more vertical levels. |
first_indexed | 2024-09-23T08:50:58Z |
format | Article |
id | mit-1721.1/108791 |
institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
language | en_US |
last_indexed | 2024-09-23T08:50:58Z |
publishDate | 2017 |
publisher | National Academy of Sciences (U.S.) |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | mit-1721.1/1087912022-09-26T08:46:44Z Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example Zhang, Banglin Tallapragada, Vijay Weng, Fuzhong Liu, Qingfu Sippel, Jason A. Ma, Zaizhong Bender, Morris A. Lindzen, Richard Siegmund Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Lindzen, Richard Siegmund The atmosphere−ocean coupled Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast model (HWRF) developed at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) is used as an example to illustrate the impact of model vertical resolution on track forecasts of tropical cyclones. A number of HWRF forecasting experiments were carried out at different vertical resolutions for Hurricane Joaquin, which occurred from September 27 to October 8, 2015, in the Atlantic Basin. The results show that the track prediction for Hurricane Joaquin is much more accurate with higher vertical resolution. The positive impacts of higher vertical resolution on hurricane track forecasts suggest that National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/NCEP should upgrade both HWRF and the Global Forecast System to have more vertical levels. 2017-05-10T18:40:31Z 2017-05-10T18:40:31Z 2016-10 2016-04 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0027-8424 1091-6490 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/108791 Zhang, Banglin; Lindzen, Richard S.; Tallapragada, Vijay; Weng, Fuzhong; Liu, Qingfu; Sippel, Jason A.; Ma, Zaizhong and Bender, Morris A. “Increasing Vertical Resolution in US Models to Improve Track Forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an Example.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113, no. 42 (October 2016): 11765–11769. © 2016 National Academy of Sciences (U.S.) https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7520-7028 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1613800113 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf National Academy of Sciences (U.S.) PNAS |
spellingShingle | Zhang, Banglin Tallapragada, Vijay Weng, Fuzhong Liu, Qingfu Sippel, Jason A. Ma, Zaizhong Bender, Morris A. Lindzen, Richard Siegmund Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example |
title | Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example |
title_full | Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example |
title_fullStr | Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example |
title_full_unstemmed | Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example |
title_short | Increasing vertical resolution in US models to improve track forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin with HWRF as an example |
title_sort | increasing vertical resolution in us models to improve track forecasts of hurricane joaquin with hwrf as an example |
url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/108791 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7520-7028 |
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