Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis

Faced with numerous potential catastrophes--nuclear and bioterrorism, mega-viruses, climate change, and others--which should society attempt to avert? A policy to avert one catastrophe considered in isolation might be evaluated in cost-benefit terms. But because society faces multiple catastrophes,...

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Main Authors: Martin, Ian W. R., Pindyck, Robert S
Other Authors: Sloan School of Management
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Economic Association 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/109147
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8296-9875
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author Martin, Ian W. R.
Pindyck, Robert S
author2 Sloan School of Management
author_facet Sloan School of Management
Martin, Ian W. R.
Pindyck, Robert S
author_sort Martin, Ian W. R.
collection MIT
description Faced with numerous potential catastrophes--nuclear and bioterrorism, mega-viruses, climate change, and others--which should society attempt to avert? A policy to avert one catastrophe considered in isolation might be evaluated in cost-benefit terms. But because society faces multiple catastrophes, simple cost-benefit analysis fails: even if the benefit of averting each one exceeds the cost, we should not necessarily avert them all. We explore the policy interdependence of catastrophic events, and develop a rule for determining which catastrophes should be averted and which should not. (JEL D61, Q51, Q54)
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spelling mit-1721.1/1091472022-09-30T16:06:31Z Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis Martin, Ian W. R. Pindyck, Robert S Sloan School of Management Pindyck, Robert S Faced with numerous potential catastrophes--nuclear and bioterrorism, mega-viruses, climate change, and others--which should society attempt to avert? A policy to avert one catastrophe considered in isolation might be evaluated in cost-benefit terms. But because society faces multiple catastrophes, simple cost-benefit analysis fails: even if the benefit of averting each one exceeds the cost, we should not necessarily avert them all. We explore the policy interdependence of catastrophic events, and develop a rule for determining which catastrophes should be averted and which should not. (JEL D61, Q51, Q54) 2017-05-17T19:28:47Z 2017-05-17T19:28:47Z 2015-10 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0002-8282 1944-7981 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/109147 Martin, Ian W. R. and Pindyck, Robert S. “Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis.” American Economic Review 105, no. 10 (October 2015): 2947–2985. © 2015 American Economic Association https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8296-9875 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20140806 American Economic Review Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Economic Association American Economic Association
spellingShingle Martin, Ian W. R.
Pindyck, Robert S
Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis
title Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis
title_full Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis
title_fullStr Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis
title_full_unstemmed Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis
title_short Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis
title_sort averting catastrophes the strange economics of scylla and charybdis
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/109147
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8296-9875
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