Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II

Under the Federal Aviation Administration’s (FAA) Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI), non-CO[subscript 2] climatic impacts of commercial aviation are assessed for current (2006) and for future (2050) baseline and mitigation scenarios. The effects of the non-CO[subscript 2] aircraft...

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Main Authors: Barrett, Steven R. H., Prinn, Ronald G, Sokolov, Andrei P, Wolfe, Philip James
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Global Change Science
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Meteorological Society 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/109270
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4642-9545
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5925-3801
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9253-707X
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author Barrett, Steven R. H.
Prinn, Ronald G
Sokolov, Andrei P
Wolfe, Philip James
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Global Change Science
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Global Change Science
Barrett, Steven R. H.
Prinn, Ronald G
Sokolov, Andrei P
Wolfe, Philip James
author_sort Barrett, Steven R. H.
collection MIT
description Under the Federal Aviation Administration’s (FAA) Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI), non-CO[subscript 2] climatic impacts of commercial aviation are assessed for current (2006) and for future (2050) baseline and mitigation scenarios. The effects of the non-CO[subscript 2] aircraft emissions are examined using a number of advanced climate and atmospheric chemistry transport models. Radiative forcing (RF) estimates for individual forcing effects are provided as a range for comparison against those published in the literature. Preliminary results for selected RF components for 2050 scenarios indicate that a 2% increase in fuel efficiency and a decrease in NO[subscript x] emissions due to advanced aircraft technologies and operational procedures, as well as the introduction of renewable alternative fuels, will significantly decrease future aviation climate impacts. In particular, the use of renewable fuels will further decrease RF associated with sulfate aerosol and black carbon. While this focused ACCRI program effort has yielded significant new knowledge, fundamental uncertainties remain in our understanding of aviation climate impacts. These include several chemical and physical processes associated with NO[subscript x]–O[subscript 3]–CH[subscript 4] interactions and the formation of aviation-produced contrails and the effects of aviation soot aerosols on cirrus clouds as well as on deriving a measure of change in temperature from RF for aviation non-CO[subscript 2] climate impacts—an important metric that informs decision-making.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1092702022-09-30T23:00:33Z Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II Barrett, Steven R. H. Prinn, Ronald G Sokolov, Andrei P Wolfe, Philip James Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Global Change Science Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics Barrett, Steven R. H. Prinn, Ronald G Sokolov, Andrei P Wolfe, Philip James Under the Federal Aviation Administration’s (FAA) Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI), non-CO[subscript 2] climatic impacts of commercial aviation are assessed for current (2006) and for future (2050) baseline and mitigation scenarios. The effects of the non-CO[subscript 2] aircraft emissions are examined using a number of advanced climate and atmospheric chemistry transport models. Radiative forcing (RF) estimates for individual forcing effects are provided as a range for comparison against those published in the literature. Preliminary results for selected RF components for 2050 scenarios indicate that a 2% increase in fuel efficiency and a decrease in NO[subscript x] emissions due to advanced aircraft technologies and operational procedures, as well as the introduction of renewable alternative fuels, will significantly decrease future aviation climate impacts. In particular, the use of renewable fuels will further decrease RF associated with sulfate aerosol and black carbon. While this focused ACCRI program effort has yielded significant new knowledge, fundamental uncertainties remain in our understanding of aviation climate impacts. These include several chemical and physical processes associated with NO[subscript x]–O[subscript 3]–CH[subscript 4] interactions and the formation of aviation-produced contrails and the effects of aviation soot aerosols on cirrus clouds as well as on deriving a measure of change in temperature from RF for aviation non-CO[subscript 2] climate impacts—an important metric that informs decision-making. 2017-05-22T19:46:54Z 2017-05-22T19:46:54Z 2016-05 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0003-0007 1520-0477 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/109270 Brasseur, Guy P. et al. “Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II.” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97.4 (2016): 561–583. © 2016 American Meteorological Society https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4642-9545 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5925-3801 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9253-707X en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-13-00089.1 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society
spellingShingle Barrett, Steven R. H.
Prinn, Ronald G
Sokolov, Andrei P
Wolfe, Philip James
Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II
title Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II
title_full Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II
title_fullStr Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II
title_short Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II
title_sort impact of aviation on climate faa s aviation climate change research initiative accri phase ii
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/109270
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4642-9545
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5925-3801
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9253-707X
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