Tracing Technological Development Trajectories: A Genetic Knowledge Persistence-Based Main Path Approach

The aim of this paper is to propose a new method to identify main paths in a technological domain using patent citations. Previous approaches for using main path analysis have greatly improved our understanding of actual technological trajectories but nonetheless have some limitations. They have hig...

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Main Authors: Park, Hyunseok, Magee, Christopher L
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Data, Systems, and Society
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Public Library of Science 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/110026
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5316-8358
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author Park, Hyunseok
Magee, Christopher L
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Data, Systems, and Society
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Data, Systems, and Society
Park, Hyunseok
Magee, Christopher L
author_sort Park, Hyunseok
collection MIT
description The aim of this paper is to propose a new method to identify main paths in a technological domain using patent citations. Previous approaches for using main path analysis have greatly improved our understanding of actual technological trajectories but nonetheless have some limitations. They have high potential to miss some dominant patents from the identified main paths; nonetheless, the high network complexity of their main paths makes qualitative tracing of trajectories problematic. The proposed method searches backward and forward paths from the high-persistence patents which are identified based on a standard genetic knowledge persistence algorithm. We tested the new method by applying it to the desalination and the solar photovoltaic domains and compared the results to output from the same domains using a prior method. The empirical results show that the proposed method can dramatically reduce network complexity without missing any dominantly important patents. The main paths identified by our approach for two test cases are almost 10x less complex than the main paths identified by the existing approach. The proposed approach identifies all dominantly important patents on the main paths, but the main paths identified by the existing approach miss about 20% of dominantly important patents.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1100262022-10-01T13:09:15Z Tracing Technological Development Trajectories: A Genetic Knowledge Persistence-Based Main Path Approach Park, Hyunseok Magee, Christopher L Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Data, Systems, and Society SUTD-MIT International Design Centre (IDC) Park, Hyunseok Magee, Christopher L The aim of this paper is to propose a new method to identify main paths in a technological domain using patent citations. Previous approaches for using main path analysis have greatly improved our understanding of actual technological trajectories but nonetheless have some limitations. They have high potential to miss some dominant patents from the identified main paths; nonetheless, the high network complexity of their main paths makes qualitative tracing of trajectories problematic. The proposed method searches backward and forward paths from the high-persistence patents which are identified based on a standard genetic knowledge persistence algorithm. We tested the new method by applying it to the desalination and the solar photovoltaic domains and compared the results to output from the same domains using a prior method. The empirical results show that the proposed method can dramatically reduce network complexity without missing any dominantly important patents. The main paths identified by our approach for two test cases are almost 10x less complex than the main paths identified by the existing approach. The proposed approach identifies all dominantly important patents on the main paths, but the main paths identified by the existing approach miss about 20% of dominantly important patents. 2017-06-19T19:54:03Z 2017-06-19T19:54:03Z 2016-10 2017-01 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1932-6203 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/110026 Park, Hyunseok and Magee, Christopher L. “Tracing Technological Development Trajectories: A Genetic Knowledge Persistence-Based Main Path Approach.” Edited by Zhong-Ke Gao. PLOS ONE 12, no. 1 (January 2017): e0170895 © 2017 Park, Magee https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5316-8358 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0170895 PLoS ONE Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ application/pdf Public Library of Science PLoS
spellingShingle Park, Hyunseok
Magee, Christopher L
Tracing Technological Development Trajectories: A Genetic Knowledge Persistence-Based Main Path Approach
title Tracing Technological Development Trajectories: A Genetic Knowledge Persistence-Based Main Path Approach
title_full Tracing Technological Development Trajectories: A Genetic Knowledge Persistence-Based Main Path Approach
title_fullStr Tracing Technological Development Trajectories: A Genetic Knowledge Persistence-Based Main Path Approach
title_full_unstemmed Tracing Technological Development Trajectories: A Genetic Knowledge Persistence-Based Main Path Approach
title_short Tracing Technological Development Trajectories: A Genetic Knowledge Persistence-Based Main Path Approach
title_sort tracing technological development trajectories a genetic knowledge persistence based main path approach
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/110026
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5316-8358
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