Mass coral mortality under local amplification of 2°C ocean warming

A 2 °C increase in global temperature above pre-industrial levels is considered a reasonable target for avoiding the most devastating impacts of anthropogenic climate change. In June 2015, sea surface temperature (SST) of the South China Sea (SCS) increased by 2 °C in response to the developing Paci...

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Main Authors: Cohen, Anne L., Wong, George T. F., Davis, Kristen A., Lohmann, Pat, Soong, Keryea, DeCarlo, Thomas Mario
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/110106
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author Cohen, Anne L.
Wong, George T. F.
Davis, Kristen A.
Lohmann, Pat
Soong, Keryea
DeCarlo, Thomas Mario
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Cohen, Anne L.
Wong, George T. F.
Davis, Kristen A.
Lohmann, Pat
Soong, Keryea
DeCarlo, Thomas Mario
author_sort Cohen, Anne L.
collection MIT
description A 2 °C increase in global temperature above pre-industrial levels is considered a reasonable target for avoiding the most devastating impacts of anthropogenic climate change. In June 2015, sea surface temperature (SST) of the South China Sea (SCS) increased by 2 °C in response to the developing Pacific El Niño. On its own, this moderate, short-lived warming was unlikely to cause widespread damage to coral reefs in the region, and the coral reef “Bleaching Alert” alarm was not raised. However, on Dongsha Atoll, in the northern SCS, unusually weak winds created low-flow conditions that amplified the 2 °C basin-scale anomaly. Water temperatures on the reef flat, normally indistinguishable from open-ocean SST, exceeded 6 °C above normal summertime levels. Mass coral bleaching quickly ensued, killing 40% of the resident coral community in an event unprecedented in at least the past 40 years. Our findings highlight the risks of 2 °C ocean warming to coral reef ecosystems when global and local processes align to drive intense heating, with devastating consequences.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1101062022-09-30T15:32:07Z Mass coral mortality under local amplification of 2°C ocean warming Cohen, Anne L. Wong, George T. F. Davis, Kristen A. Lohmann, Pat Soong, Keryea DeCarlo, Thomas Mario Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution DeCarlo, Thomas Mario A 2 °C increase in global temperature above pre-industrial levels is considered a reasonable target for avoiding the most devastating impacts of anthropogenic climate change. In June 2015, sea surface temperature (SST) of the South China Sea (SCS) increased by 2 °C in response to the developing Pacific El Niño. On its own, this moderate, short-lived warming was unlikely to cause widespread damage to coral reefs in the region, and the coral reef “Bleaching Alert” alarm was not raised. However, on Dongsha Atoll, in the northern SCS, unusually weak winds created low-flow conditions that amplified the 2 °C basin-scale anomaly. Water temperatures on the reef flat, normally indistinguishable from open-ocean SST, exceeded 6 °C above normal summertime levels. Mass coral bleaching quickly ensued, killing 40% of the resident coral community in an event unprecedented in at least the past 40 years. Our findings highlight the risks of 2 °C ocean warming to coral reef ecosystems when global and local processes align to drive intense heating, with devastating consequences. 2017-06-21T14:05:06Z 2017-06-21T14:05:06Z 2017-03 2016-09 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 2045-2322 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/110106 DeCarlo, Thomas M.; Cohen, Anne L.; Wong, George T. F.; Davis, Kristen A.; Lohmann, Pat and Soong, Keryea. “Mass Coral Mortality Under Local Amplification of 2 °C Ocean Warming.” Scientific Reports 7 (March 2017): 44586 © 2017 The Author(s) en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep44586 Scientific Reports Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ application/pdf Nature Publishing Group Nature
spellingShingle Cohen, Anne L.
Wong, George T. F.
Davis, Kristen A.
Lohmann, Pat
Soong, Keryea
DeCarlo, Thomas Mario
Mass coral mortality under local amplification of 2°C ocean warming
title Mass coral mortality under local amplification of 2°C ocean warming
title_full Mass coral mortality under local amplification of 2°C ocean warming
title_fullStr Mass coral mortality under local amplification of 2°C ocean warming
title_full_unstemmed Mass coral mortality under local amplification of 2°C ocean warming
title_short Mass coral mortality under local amplification of 2°C ocean warming
title_sort mass coral mortality under local amplification of 2°c ocean warming
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/110106
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