The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption

This paper studies government subsidies for green technology adoption while considering the manufacturing industry’s response. Government subsidies offered directly to consumers impact the supplier’s production and pricing decisions. Our analysis expands the current understanding of the price-settin...

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Main Authors: Lobel, Ruben, Cohen, Maxime, Perakis, Georgia
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Operations Research Center
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/111095
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9428-7748
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0888-9030
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author Lobel, Ruben
Cohen, Maxime
Perakis, Georgia
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Operations Research Center
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Operations Research Center
Lobel, Ruben
Cohen, Maxime
Perakis, Georgia
author_sort Lobel, Ruben
collection MIT
description This paper studies government subsidies for green technology adoption while considering the manufacturing industry’s response. Government subsidies offered directly to consumers impact the supplier’s production and pricing decisions. Our analysis expands the current understanding of the price-setting newsvendor model, incorporating the external influence from the government, who is now an additional player in the system. We quantify how demand uncertainty impacts the various players (government, industry, and consumers) when designing policies. We further show that, for convex demand functions, an increase in demand uncertainty leads to higher production quantities and lower prices, resulting in lower profits for the supplier. With this in mind, one could expect consumer surplus to increase with uncertainty. In fact, we show that this is not always the case and that the uncertainty impact on consumer surplus depends on the trade-off between lower prices and the possibility of underserving customers with high valuations. We also show that when policy makers such as governments ignore demand uncertainty when designing consumer subsidies, they can significantly miss the desired adoption target level. From a coordination perspective, we demonstrate that the decentralized decisions are also optimal for a central planner managing jointly the supplier and the government. As a result, subsidies provide a coordination mechanism.
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spelling mit-1721.1/1110952022-09-30T09:26:14Z The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption Lobel, Ruben Cohen, Maxime Perakis, Georgia Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Operations Research Center Sloan School of Management Cohen, Maxime Perakis, Georgia This paper studies government subsidies for green technology adoption while considering the manufacturing industry’s response. Government subsidies offered directly to consumers impact the supplier’s production and pricing decisions. Our analysis expands the current understanding of the price-setting newsvendor model, incorporating the external influence from the government, who is now an additional player in the system. We quantify how demand uncertainty impacts the various players (government, industry, and consumers) when designing policies. We further show that, for convex demand functions, an increase in demand uncertainty leads to higher production quantities and lower prices, resulting in lower profits for the supplier. With this in mind, one could expect consumer surplus to increase with uncertainty. In fact, we show that this is not always the case and that the uncertainty impact on consumer surplus depends on the trade-off between lower prices and the possibility of underserving customers with high valuations. We also show that when policy makers such as governments ignore demand uncertainty when designing consumer subsidies, they can significantly miss the desired adoption target level. From a coordination perspective, we demonstrate that the decentralized decisions are also optimal for a central planner managing jointly the supplier and the government. As a result, subsidies provide a coordination mechanism. 2017-09-01T13:01:33Z 2017-09-01T13:01:33Z 2015-09 2014-01 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0025-1909 1526-5501 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/111095 Cohen, Maxime C. et al. “The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption.” Management Science 62, 5 (May 2016): 1235–1258 © 2016 Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9428-7748 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0888-9030 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2173 Management Science Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) Prof. Perakis via Shikha Sharma
spellingShingle Lobel, Ruben
Cohen, Maxime
Perakis, Georgia
The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption
title The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption
title_full The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption
title_fullStr The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption
title_short The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption
title_sort impact of demand uncertainty on consumer subsidies for green technology adoption
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/111095
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9428-7748
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0888-9030
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