Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios
This paper presents an axiomatic foundation for developing firm-specific scenarios in the tradition of the Intuitive Logics School (ILS), a structured scenario creation process built on that foundation, and its application to a case. The ILS outlines a high-level scenario-development process, but wi...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | en_US |
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Elsevier
2017
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/111651 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3936-5440 |
| _version_ | 1811089841144725504 |
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| author | Phadnis, Shardul Caplice, Christopher Singh, Mahender Sheffi, Yosef |
| author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Transportation & Logistics |
| author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Transportation & Logistics Phadnis, Shardul Caplice, Christopher Singh, Mahender Sheffi, Yosef |
| author_sort | Phadnis, Shardul |
| collection | MIT |
| description | This paper presents an axiomatic foundation for developing firm-specific scenarios in the tradition of the Intuitive Logics School (ILS), a structured scenario creation process built on that foundation, and its application to a case. The ILS outlines a high-level scenario-development process, but without a theoretical basis or prescriptions for executing different process steps. The lack of theoretical grounding has led to a proliferation of methods for developing scenarios, without any basis for comparing them. We fill this gap in the literature by articulating a set of axioms characterizing the nature of human knowledge about the business environment and scenarios as depictions of that environment. Using this theoretical foundation, we devise a structured process for developing scenarios. Finally, we demonstrate this process by applying it to develop four scenarios for a firm in the U.S. healthcare sector. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T14:25:30Z |
| format | Article |
| id | mit-1721.1/111651 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| language | en_US |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T14:25:30Z |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/1116512022-09-29T09:25:33Z Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios Phadnis, Shardul Caplice, Christopher Singh, Mahender Sheffi, Yosef Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Transportation & Logistics Sheffi, Yossi Phadnis, Shardul Caplice, Christopher Singh, Mahender Sheffi, Yosef This paper presents an axiomatic foundation for developing firm-specific scenarios in the tradition of the Intuitive Logics School (ILS), a structured scenario creation process built on that foundation, and its application to a case. The ILS outlines a high-level scenario-development process, but without a theoretical basis or prescriptions for executing different process steps. The lack of theoretical grounding has led to a proliferation of methods for developing scenarios, without any basis for comparing them. We fill this gap in the literature by articulating a set of axioms characterizing the nature of human knowledge about the business environment and scenarios as depictions of that environment. Using this theoretical foundation, we devise a structured process for developing scenarios. Finally, we demonstrate this process by applying it to develop four scenarios for a firm in the U.S. healthcare sector. 2017-09-27T17:48:07Z 2017-09-27T17:48:07Z 2014-07 2014-06 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0040-1625 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/111651 Phadnis, Shardul et al. “Axiomatic Foundation and a Structured Process for Developing Firm-Specific Intuitive Logics Scenarios.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 88 (October 2014): 122–139 © 2014 Elsevier Inc https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3936-5440 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.06.019 Technological Forecasting and Social Change Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ application/pdf Elsevier Prof. Sheffi via Angie Locknar |
| spellingShingle | Phadnis, Shardul Caplice, Christopher Singh, Mahender Sheffi, Yosef Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios |
| title | Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios |
| title_full | Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios |
| title_fullStr | Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios |
| title_full_unstemmed | Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios |
| title_short | Axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm-specific Intuitive Logics scenarios |
| title_sort | axiomatic foundation and a structured process for developing firm specific intuitive logics scenarios |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/111651 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3936-5440 |
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